Monday, 14 October 2019

Sebi-RBI differences hold up DHFL resolution I Total set to enter Indian energy market I Retail inflation gives a price scare

MORNING NEWSLETTER

15 Oct, 2019 | 08:13 AM IST


Good Morning!

After a long time, IPO investors made decent money on the IRCTC issue as it had left enough for them on the table, unlike most private sector IPOs which are usually squeezed dry of value before they hit the market. Yet, sadly, PSU IPOs have a history of defusing such investor enthusiasm post listing. Many PSU IPOs that delivered large premiums at listing have since turned duds. That's because as long as the government holds majority stake, it continues the stranglehold to the detriment of the business.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian stocks inched higher on Tuesday as some investors held out hope that Britain still had a chance to avoid a messy exit from the EU at key negotiations this week. Read More

    SGX Nifty traded nearly 23 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling a positive start for Dalal Street. MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.01%. Australian shares were up 0.12%, while Japan's Nikkei gained 1.38%.
    US stocks ended flat in overnight trade amid continued uncertainty over a "phase one" trade deal with China. Dow ended slightly lower, while the Nasdaq was barely positive and S&P500 fell around 0.1%.

WTI crude dipped 0.22% to $53.47 a barrel following a 2% decline overnight due to worries that global energy demand will remain weak. Brent fell 0.29% to $59.18. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Made in India... Indian-American Abhijit Banerjee, along with Esther Duflo and Michael Kremer, won the 2019 economics Nobel for their work on finding new ways to tackle poverty. Duflo, a French-American, and Banerjee have been married for four years. They teach in Massachusetts Institute of Technology. They are the first couple to win the economics Nobel, and the sixth Nobel-winning couple. Kremer is with Harvard University. Read More

Up & Ahead… Two decades after India opened its insurance industry to private competition, LIC has continued to surge ahead of its rivals, logging a 6% jump in market share in FY20, even as the impact of state firms in other service-focused sectors such as telecom and aviation has become rather negligible. Read More

Total Entry… French energy giant Total will buy 37.4% stake in Adani Gas, marking another big-ticket entry of a global major in India's energy market after Shell and BP which are already in India, and Reliance Industries' talks for a possible sale of 20% of its core oil-to-chemicals division to Saudi Aramco. Read More

WHO'S
DHFL Roadblock… Differences between RBI and Sebi may delay or possibly even scupper resolution plans of defaulting firms such as DHFL, experts and industry insiders have warned. While RBI's word is binding on banks, mutual funds, who are also prominent lenders to many firms, are regulated by Sebi. The market regulator's views on certain aspects of the resolution proposed by banks are different from that of RBI and the clash may lead to delays. Read More

Price Scare... Retail inflation inched closer to the RBI's medium-term target of 4% in September for the first time in 14 months on higher food prices, although economists maintain that the economic slowdown will prompt a sixth consecutive interest rate cut in December. Wholesale inflation eased to its lowest level in more than three years. Read More

Meanwhile...
China wants to hold more talks this month to hammer out the details of the "phase one" trade deal touted by Donald Trump before Xi Jinping agrees to sign it. Beijing may send a delegation led by Vice Premier Liu He, China's top negotiator, to finalise a written deal that could be signed by the presidents at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit next month in Chile. Read More
KEY INDICES
15,593 + 34.45
12,788 + 15.52
28,182 + 139.45
15,278  -44.15
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Online payment services company Paytm is in talks with US asset manager T Rowe Price to lead a financing round aimed at raising $1billion, according to two people privy to the matter. The latest funding round may value Paytm at $13-15 billion, the people said.

    VTB Capital, an arm of the Russian financial services house VTB Group says it has enforced certain securities rights granted to the lenders to the promoters of Zee Entertainment in order to protect the interest of the lenders

    An ongoing probe against Jet Airways founder Naresh Goyal has revealed that the grounded carrier entered into illegal agreements with related offshore parties based in tax havens at rates way above market prices, causing losses to the airline as well as the national exchequer

    The arrested HDIL promoters allegedly siphoned off funds from PMC Bank via overdraft facilities and the money was "disguised" as loan accounts, an EOW probe found.

    NCLAT has directed ED to release assets of Bhushan Power and Steel attached as part of investigations into alleged loan fraud and money laundering by the company and erstwhile promoter Sanjay Singha

UnQuote: RURAL DEMAND
Demand environment will change for good if rural India revives
Jinesh Gopani, Axis Mutual Fund

Day Planner:

    Q2 Earnings: Kotak Bank, ACC, RIIL, MCX, SBI LIFE
    India Sept balance of trade
    BoJ Gov Kuroda Speech
    BoE FPC Minutes
    UK Aug unemployment rate
    China Sept inflation rate

OUTLOOK

NBFCs
    Anshul Saigal, CIO of Kotak Portfolio Management, says there will be a market share shift in the NBFC space. Quality, well-capitalised NBFCs will gain market share and the ones that have chunky loans will lose market share in favour of those which have granular loans

CRUDE OIL
    The oil market is taking a cautious stance as to what comes next in US-China trade talks given that the thorny issues of industrial policy, intellectual property rights, technology transfer among others were not addressed, says BNP Paribas oil strategist Harry Tchilinguirian

INFLATION
    Aditi Nayar of ICRA says the sharp jump in the CPI inflation in September 2019 was single-handedly driven by food items, a portion of which is likely to prove temporary. While the decline in core inflation provides some comfort, the unexpectedly sharp jump in September CPI inflation has pushed up the likelihood of a pause in the next MPC review, unless the headline retail inflation recedes sharply this month.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
IndusInd Bank Ltd. 15 Oct, 2019 | 08:10 AM IST buyBuy
Ashoka Buildcon Ltd. 15 Oct, 2019 | 08:08 AM IST buyBuy


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