Tuesday, 29 October 2019

Airtel Arpu drops in Q2, subscribers grow | Apollo gets shareholders' nod for demerger | Panel formed to ease telecom woes

MORNING NEWSLETTER

30 Oct, 2019 | 08:19 AM IST


Good Morning!

A paradigm shift in the government's policy approach from consumption-led growth to an investment-led growth model is clearly visible now. It's a risky route, but can create jobs, and as a top Dalal Street expert points out, the short-term pain can pave way for the investment cycle to take off, which can in turn help create demand in the economy on a sustained basis. The latest buzz about a possible overhaul of the tax regime for financial markets and imminent land and labour reforms are all lined up towards achieving this objective.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian markets stuck in tight ranges in early trade, as the prospect of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve was countered by worries a Sino-US first-stage trade deal could be delayed. Read More

    SGX Nifty traded 18 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling buoyancy on Dalal Street. MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 0.16% from Tuesday's three-month high, while Japan's Nikkei slid 0.07% after hitting a one-year high the previous day.
    On Wall Street, the S&P 500 index eked out a record intraday high but ended down 0.08%, while Dow fell 19 points and the Nasdaq 0.59%.

Oil prices slipped after an industry report that stocks at US' Cushing delivery hub rose last week, shrugging off a drop in overall inventories. Brent crude slipped 15 cents to $61.44 a barrel while WTI crude slid 18 cents to $55.36. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Ray of Hope… A panel of secretaries will take stock of financial stress in the debt-laden telecom sector and suggest steps to provide relief to carriers such as Vodafone Idea and Bharti Airtel that are facing an over Rs 80,000 crore payout in additional statutory dues. The panel will also consider a two-year moratorium on spectrum payments, besides reductions in the Universal Service Obligation Fund. Read More

Market Bonanza... A bonanza is in the offing for the stock market. The finance ministry and regulators are reviewing the possibility of scrapping the dividend distribution tax in a bid to regain investor confidence in the equity markets. Sources in the government said the ministry is also considering rationalisation of the long-term capital gains taxation structure by classifying three asset classes against six at present. Read More
IBC Strike Rate... Financial creditors have realised more than 34% of their outstanding claims from companies whose resolution proposals were cleared in the July-September period, compared with 14% in the previous quarter, according to data from the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India. The jump in recoveries was mainly due to the debt resolution of Bhushan Power & Steel. Read More

WHO'S
Apollo Hangover... The restructuring exercise by Apollo Hospitals Enterprise to divest front-end pharmacy business to Apollo Pharmacy has received approval of shareholders, paving the way for the final nod from NCLT. The stock crashed 6.5% per cent in Tuesday's trade amid reports that the complex structure for the demerger would hurt minority shareholders. Read More
Airtel Pain Points... Bharti Airtel reported a drop in its average revenue per user in the September quarter, with growth in its subscriber base outpacing revenue growth from mobile services in India. The telco recorded an ARPU of Rs 128 in September quarter, down from Rs 129 in June quarter. Revenue from India mobile services stood at Rs 10,811 crore in the three months from Rs 10,724 crore in June quarter. Read More

Meanwhile...

The Donald Trump-led US administration has rejected nearly one fourth of all fresh H-1B applications through the third quarter of the financial year 2018-19, according to a US body. The rejection rate has jumped three times in FY19 compared with FY15, according to an analysis of H-1B data from US Citizenship and Immigration Services by the National Foundation for American Policy. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,478 + 205.55
13,384 + 73.3
29,873 + 356.75
15,181 + 225.0
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    IndiGo placed an order for 300 Airbus aircraft – its largest so far – worth an estimated $33 billion to replace old planes in its fleet and operate nonstop flights to long-haul destinations such as London and Tokyo.

    RBI has imposed a penalty of Rs 1 crore on Bandhan Bank for not bringing down the promoter shareholding to 40 per cent.

    The government is weighing options of terminating the production-sharing contract or invoking arbitration to penalise RIL for selling to itself all the coal bed methane gas that it produces in violation of policy.

    The Tata Group has agreed to reduce the stake it had proposed to acquire in GMR Airports to about 15% from the previously announced 20%, which will likely allow the GMR Group-Tata deal to sail through.

    Analysts have given the thumbs up to SBI following its strong results for September quarter as it used the one-time gain from the sale of SBI Life Insurance shares to clean up its books and raise provisions coverage.

    Biocon plans to sell recombinant human insulin to low- and middle-income countries at a price of less than 10 cents a day, drastically lower than the current $5, as it aims to enable universal access.

    Travel services provider Thomas Cook India on Tuesday said its chairman and managing director Madhavan Menon has resigned from the board of Quess Corp Ltd with immediate effect.

    Petronet LNG, the country's biggest importer of liquefied natural gas, on Tuesday reported nearly doubling of net profit in September quarter on back of improved margins.

UnQuote: STATE OF ECONOMY
Unlike FY2009, we don't have fiscal and monetary ammunition to revive the economy quickly
Sanjeev Prasad, Kotak Institutional Equities

The DAY PLANNER

    Q2 Earnings: Concor | Escorts | JK TYRE | Tata Global | Tata Chemicals | UBI | Quess Corp
    US Fed Interest Rate Decision
    US Oct API crude stock change
    US Q3 GDP advance estimate

OUTLOOK

BANK STOCKS
    Deven R Choksey, MD, KR Choksey Investment Managers, says banks are flush with funds and he ill effects of NPAs have already been factored in. Credit offtake is taking place. We expect better performance in the second half of the financial year. This makes banks a relatively safer bet.

CRUDE OIL
    "While the oil market remains beaten down by demand concerns, traders could be waiting for signs that the economic data is bottoming and inventory surpluses are decreasing before fully committing to the long risk-on positions," says Stephen Innes, Asia Pacific market strategist at AxiTrader.

CAPEX REVIVAL
    Andrew Holland of Avendus Capital Alternate Strategies says companies are not going to run to start new capex just yet. They will probably wait another three to six months to get the feeling that the economy is fully on the rebound. If that is the case, then you will start to see the private capex cycle pick up.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Bank of India 29 Oct, 2019 | 11:29 AM IST buyBuy
Canara Bank 29 Oct, 2019 | 11:27 AM IST buyBuy


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