Thursday, 17 October 2019

Brexit suspense shifts to UK Parliament | China economy grows at weakest pace in 27 years | IndiGo cockpit battle reaches US

MORNING NEWSLETTER

18 Oct, 2019 | 08:29 AM IST


Good Morning!

The British PM faces an uphill task in getting the critically important Parliament approval to the new Brexit deal, with his key ally already backing off over a new customs border that it proposes between Northern Ireland and mainland Britain. But after months of exasperation and hardball tactics, the new deal has at least largely removed the risk of a catastrophic no-deal Brexit. Yet, as market veteran Mark Mobius points out, nobody really knows the full impact of Brexit when it takes place.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian stocks edged higher on Friday, tracking the global lift in sentiment after the UK and the European Union struck a long-awaited Brexit deal, but concern about the Chinese economy is likely to cap gains. Here's what to watch…

    SGX Nifty traded nearly 20 points down at 7 am (IST), signalling weakness ahead on Dalal Street. MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.1%. Australian shares were off 0.6%, while Japan's Nikkei added 0.5%.
    Wall Street logged small gains overnight. Dow gained 0.09%, the S&P500 0.28% and Nasdaq 0.4%

Oil prices were stable on Friday ahead of data that analysts say could show China, the world's largest oil consumer, just recorded its weakest quarter of economic growth in nearly three decades. Brent crude oil futures fell by 9 cents to $59.82 a barrel while WTI crude futures rose by 4 cents to $53.97. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Brexit Suspense... EU leaders unanimously backed a new Brexit deal with Britain on Thursday, leaving Prime Minister Boris Johnson facing a battle to secure the UK parliament's backing for the agreement if he is to take Britain out of Europe on Oct. 31. The Northern Irish party that Johnson needs to help ratify any agreement has refused to support it. Opposition Labour is unhappy and says it would vote against it. Johnson does not have a majority in the 650-seat parliament. Parliament defeated a previous deal struck by Johnson's predecessor Theresa May three times. Read More

Auto Upgrade… Utility vehicles are set to overtake hatchbacks as the top-selling automobile segment in India next year, suggest sales trends, thanks to buyers' growing preference for the spacious and safer SUVs. Utility vehicles accounted for 40% of the total passenger vehicle segment in September, driven by a set of new SUVs. That was just five percentage points behind hatchbacks. Read More

Retail Trust… Yes Bank has seen the addition of 7.56 lakh new retail buyers over the past year, with the September quarter alone adding more than a third to the total, in an apparent vote of confidence by retail investors in the new management's ability to raise funds and quickly engineer a turnaround. Three global private equity investors are said to be in the race to buy a substantial stake in the Mumbai-based lender. Read More

WHO'S
Under Watch… The government is probing Flipkart and Amazon over alleged predatory pricing, commerce minister Piyush Goyal said. Warning of stringent action in case of violation, he said detailed questionnaires have been sent to the companies. Flipkart and Amazon both said they were complaint with laws. Read More

Cockpit Battle… The simmering feud between IndiGo's founders has now reached the US courts, with co-founder Rahul Bhatia seeking a legal order from a Maryland court to retrieve correspondence from IndiGo independent director Anupam Khanna. Bhatia has alleged that Khanna has been "acting in concert" with co-founder Rakesh Gangwal. Read More

Meanwhile...
China's economic growth slowed more than expected to 6.0% year-on-year in the third quarter, the weakest pace in at least 27-1/2 years, as demand at home and abroad faltered amid a bruising Sino-US trade war. Friday's data marked a further loss of momentum for the economy from the second quarter's 6.2% growth. Read More
KEY INDICES
15,887 + 281.5
12,914 + 114.17
28,989 + 450.65
15,282  -63.05
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    DHFL says the quantum of its exposure to Sunblink was an outcome of market consolidation that caused several loans to various companies to be bunched together and Sunblink listed as the borrower.

    Vodafone Idea bond yields surged 42.91%, pulling prices down in a secondary market transaction on Wednesday as investors turned apprehensive over its financials.

    L&T Infotech reported a 10% fall in net profit, at Rs 360.4 crore for the quarter ended September 30, as wage hikes hurt the company's bottomline.

    Strong operating performance and likely divestments of an education business and a part of the promoters' stake in Zee should help it repay Rs 7,000 crore of outstanding debt, which is due in six months.

    Avantha Group's Jhabua Power has received expressions of interest from JSW, Adani Power, NTPC and Tata Power-backed Resurgent Power

    Altico Capital has proposed repaying banks in full over the next 4-5 years from the proceeds of asset sales, simultaneously offering to issue bonds upfront to its mutual fund lenders in a resolution plan

UnQuote: REAR VIEW
I am afraid people have no idea of the full impact of Brexit once it takes place
Mark Mobius, Founding Partner, Mobius Capital Partners

Day Planner:

    Q2 Earnings: RIL | L&T Finance I ICICI Lombard
    Minutes of RBI Oct policy review
    RBI's Oct-end forex reserve
    China Q3 GDP growth rate
    IMF-World Bank annual meetings
    Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

OUTLOOK

BREXIT DEAL
    Michael Geraghty, equity strategist at Cornerstone Capital Group in New York, says it seems as if the Brexit deal is being viewed as a modest positive by investors, but along with the tentative US-China trade deal, the devil is in the details. "From where we are right now investors are viewing the glass as half full."

GBP-USD
    Dean Turner of UBS says, "If a Brexit deal is at last reached, we may even see GBPUSD rally to 1.35. If MPs do not agree on a deal after all and we are faced instead with an extension, followed by a general election, we would more likely see GBPUSD settle between 1.26 and 1.32. "

IT
    Dipan Mehta of Elixir Equities is underweight on IT as he feels it will be challenging times for the IT industry and the commentaries that came from Infosys, TCS and Wipro suggested that growth is not really picking up. "It is flattening out and even getting to double-digit growth rates is going to be a challenge," says he.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Federal Bank Ltd. 18 Oct, 2019 | 08:20 AM IST buyBuy
DB Corp Ltd. 18 Oct, 2019 | 08:17 AM IST buyBuy


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