Wednesday 23 October 2019

Sebi probes Infy derivative trades | IRCTC dream run raises eyebrows | Probe finds fund diversion at DHFL

MORNING NEWSLETTER

24 Oct, 2019 | 08:17 AM IST


Good Morning!

Enam's Manish Chokhani has an interesting thesis for India investing: If you disaggregate India into three buckets, there is a 2% of India which is like Australia and has one-third of GDP; there is a 20% of India which is like the Philippines and has another one-third of the GDP, and then there is an 80% of India which is like sub-Saharan Africa and has the remaining one-third of GDP. The first 2% can expand 10x to become the 20%, the 20% can expand 4x to become the 80%. And that's how India can get you a crazy growth number

71732085

STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian shares pulled ahead on Thursday with corporate earnings buffeting trading. Here's what to watch

    SGX Nifty traded 27 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling buoyancy ahead on Dalal Street. MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.2% while Japan's Nikkei gained 0.5% to hit a one-year high. Australian shares climbed 0.5% while South Korea's KOSPI inched 0.4% higher.
    US stocks edged higher on Wednesday. Dow rose 45.85 points, S&P500 8.53 points and the Nasdaq 15.50 points

Oil prices dipped amid lingering concerns about a weak demand outlook, after surging more than 2% in the previous session. Brent crude futures fell 39 cents, or 0.6%, to $60.78 a barrel, while WTI crude futures dropped 46 cents to $55.51. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Good Show… L&T on Wednesday reported strong growth in consolidated profit, sales and order inflows in the second fiscal quarter, which the management referred to as a "contrarian performance" in a challenging economic environment. Analysts said the heavy-lifting done by the engineering giant in a tough economic environment might prompt potential investors to buy into it. Read More

Revival Package... The government has approved a Rs 70,000 crore-plus package for reviving BSNL and MTNL that involves merger of the two state-run telecom operators and a voluntary retirement scheme. The CCEA has approved the revival package that includes raising Rs 15,000 crore via government-guaranteed bonds, allocation of 4G spectrum worth Rs 20,140 crore, and a Rs 38,000 crore asset — mainly land bank — monetisation plan over four years. Read More

    Entry barrier in fuel retailing gone >>>
    Steep hike in MSP for rabi crops >>>

Dream Run!... Shares of IRCTC have nearly trebled in less than two weeks of listing as investors continue to take advantage of the attractive pricing and monopolistic nature of business. The stock ended up 6.5% at Rs 900 on Wednesday after touching a high of Rs 909 during the session. Some market participants say a reversal in this bullish momentum may be on the cards for the stock as it has run up "too much, too fast". Read More

WHO'S
Infy Futures Trade… Sebi is probing an unusual build-up of derivative positions in Infosys before the whistleblower letter alleging unethical practices surfaced last week, said two people familiar with the matter. The regulator will examine whether people with prior knowledge of the matter looked to profit from a fall in the share price sparked by the accusations. Read More

    US law firm files class action suit against Infosys >>>

DHFL in a Soup... The special audit of DHFL by KPMG has noted the alleged misuse of funds by the stressed home financier beyond specific applications previously approved by its financial lenders. Bankers aware of the contents of the report said the audit exercise found that DHFL disbursed loans and advances to inter-connected entities that appear to be linked to its promoters. Repayments by 28 such entities worth Rs 12,541 crore are not traceable. Read More

Meanwhile...Warren Buffett's second investment in a listed Indian company has hit a rather rough patch, underscoring the challenges of investing in an economy where bonds are yet to become the main corporate borrowing source. The Buffet-owned Berkshire Hathaway recently purchased 6.1 lakh shares of RBL Bank, the price of which has crashed more than 60% and 45% in the past six and three months, recently. Berkshire's first major India investment Paytm has nearly tripled its losses in FY19. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,248 + 21.15
13,223 + 32.69
29,460 + 48.45
14,833 + 144.7
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Canada pension fund CDPQ is consolidating its relationship with Ajay Piramal by hiking stake in his flagship Piramal Enterprises through a preferential allotment of shares. The CDPQ infusion is part of a $750 million fundraising exercise which will include a rights issue

    The merger of Indus Towers and Bharti Infratel has hit another roadblock as Indus Towers shareholders Vodafone Group and Vodafone Idea are reluctant to extend the date unless the pricing mechanism is revised to safeguard the cash the Indian telco expects from the transaction,

    India's largest operator of multi-screen theaters may launch a qualified institutional placement within two weeks to raise nearly Rs 700 crore, or $100 million. The QIP, at the current market price, will lead to a 7-8 percent dilution of PVR's equity

    Deutsche Bank is contemplating legal action against Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance after the insurer allegedly reneged on a trade deal to deliver the bonds sold to an arm of the global bank on the NSE platform

UnQuote: INVESTING TIP
Correct asset allocation is 90% of the game, have exposure to every major investible class
Shankar Sharma, Vice Chairman & Jt. MD, First Global

The DAY PLANNER

    Key Q2 Earnings: Bandhan Bank, ITC, IndiGo, Maruti, PNB Housing,
    Maharashtra, Haryana election results
    ECB President Mario Draghi's last policy meeting
    India Oct Deposit Growth
    India Oct Forex Reserves

OUTLOOK

TWO-WHEELER STOCKS
    Rahul Shah of Motilal Oswal says in the past couple of months, re-rating has been happening in the auto sector and Bajaj remains the top bet in the two-wheeler space. Valuations are quite compelling and going forward, numbers could be much better. As the data suggests, there could be some more bounceback in the numbers.

PSU STOCKS
    Ramesh Damani, Member, BSE, says there has been a flight to safety and that will reward you if you are moving from unorganised to organised sector. As the growth of those companies slow down, there will be a flight to other companies and the PSU sector offers the opportunity of leadership, because the government wants to unlock value.

CRUDE OIL
    US Energy Department's report showing a surprise draw in US crude stocks has put some buyers in the market, but it will be interesting to see if it lasts. While this will distract from demand destruction, the market will eventually come back to it, says Gene McGillian, vice president of market research at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Wipro Ltd. 23 Oct, 2019 | 12:21 PM IST buyBuy
Biocon Ltd. 23 Oct, 2019 | 12:23 PM IST SellSell


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