Wednesday 30 October 2019

Fed cuts rate, but signals no more | Revenue worry stalls plan to cut DDT, LTCG | Lenders put Zee on notice

MORNING NEWSLETTER

31 Oct, 2019 | 08:30 AM IST


Good Morning!

Investors are clearly itching to buy beaten-down stocks on signs of bottoming out of the market. One must not lose sight of the fact that the market tends to see a lot of rotation across sectors and stocks at such points. New winners would emerge as money rotates across ideas. Something that performed very well earlier would start to moderate. Those who have mastered this will make money.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian shares rose and US stock futures edged higher after the US Fed cut interest rates as expected to keep economic expansion on track. Read More

    SGX Nifty traded 46 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling buoyancy ahead on Dalal Street. MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.2%. Japan's Nikkei stock index rose 0.41%, but Australian shares fell 0.24%.
    Dow Jones swung between gains and losses after the Fed rate cut, before ending 115 points higher. S&P500 added 9.88 points and the Nasdaq 27.12 points

Oil prices fell for a fourth day on Wednesday, extending losses after a surge in US inventories surprised investors, overshadowing an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Brent crude futures slipped 6 cents to $60.55 a barrel, while WTI crude futures fell by 16 cents to $54.90. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Fed Rate Cut… The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut interest rates for the third time this year to help sustain US growth despite a slowdown in other parts of the world, but signaled there would be no further reductions unless the economy takes a turn for the worse. The Fed's new stance also vouched for both the seeming durability of a US economic expansion that is now the longest on record. Read More

    J&K will be split up into two Union Territories today >>>
    NPS now open for overseas citizens of India >>>

Where is the Money?... Investors could add PSU funds as a tactical play to their equity mutual fund portfolios as they believe low valuations, coupled with chances of a strategic sale or disinvestment in public sector units, could trigger a rerating for the sector. The S&P BSE PSU Index is trading at a PE multiple of 10.11, an almost 20 per cent discount to its own 10-year average of 12.01. Read More

WHO'S
Tax Cut Put on Wait... Abolishing dividend distribution tax, securities transaction tax and long-term capital gains tax on shares could burn a Rs 80,000 crore hole in tax revenue, making it difficult for the government to offer any immediate concessions. The government has already slashed corporate tax rates, foregoing Rs 1.45 lakh crore, and more tax concessions will have to be made up for by increasing income-tax on the super-rich or cutting welfare spending, both of which are not feasible. Read More

Zee Put on Notice... Lenders to Essel Group promoters expressed misgivings about the lack of information regarding additional stake sale in Zee Entertainment and shot down a proposal to park all the promoter stake in an escrow account till the completion of the transaction. The lenders, including mutual funds who are still holding Zee shares as collateral, demanded details of the sale of additional 10%. Read More

DHFL's Gangster Link... Banks with exposure to DHFL are set to expand the purview of a forensic audit to include its business dealings with companies allegedly linked to gangsters Iqbal Mirchi and Dawood Ibrahim Kaskar. The forensic audit by KPMG revealed alleged routing of at least Rs 20,000 crore by DHFL to several shell companies. Read More

Meanwhile...
Amazon has invested around Rs 4,500 crore into its Indian subsidiaries as the Seattle-based e-commerce giant ramps up operations in one of its fastest growing markets. Documents filed with the RoC showed Amazon had pumped the money into its retail, food and payments units, but there is no clarity how the money would be used. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,583 + 105.05
13,431 + 47.85
29,988 + 114.45
15,396 + 214.25
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Discussions between RIL and a group of financial investors and sovereign wealth funds for a controlling stake of its pan-India fibre InVIT have stalled over differences in commercial and operating terms

    HDFC Life Insurance shares rose 3.6% to Rs 632.45 despite the 5% stake sale by co-promoter UK's Standard Life as analysts feel increase in public holding would help the stock raise its weightage in MSCI index

    The RBI-appointed administrator has asked the Mumbai Police to release properties attached in the PMC Bank case so that they can be auctioned to provide relief to aggrieved account holders.

    Blackstone Group has acquired a 37.5% stake in Aakash Educational Services, one of India's largest medical test preparation providers, for Rs 1,350 crore, valuing the company at Rs 3,600 crore.

UnQuote: STOCKS REBOUND
There will be huge opportunities to buy slowly in this market
Aveek Mitra, Aveksat Financial Advisory

The DAY PLANNER

    Q2 Earnings: IOC | Syndicate Bank | Jindal Saw | Dhanlaxmi Bank | Blue Dart
    BoJ Interest Rate Decision
    Japan Sept industrial output
    India Sept Budget deficit
    US Oct jobless claims

OUTLOOK

SILVER
    "We are very bullish on silver. It should touch $21 per troy ounce within six months to one year. From February-March next year silver will start moving further. Silver has underperformed and there is room for silver to move ahead," says Chirag Sheth, senior research consultant at Metals Focus.

AUTO STOCKS
    Nitin Raheja of AQF Advisors says clearly, the worst in the auto pack is probably behind them. The good thing is that once the dealer stocks have gone down, you are going to see wholesale numbers, which are the real numbers, being better than what they were. Considering that the inventory is down, though not to the level that one would have liked, all the stocks have become value plays.

CEMENT
    "We should see an improved demand outlook for cement from here on. The fourth quarter would be far better from the demand perspective. In the medium term, it is a great industry. It is a domestic play though commodities is influenced by global forces, The top four-five players will consolidate further as we go forward," says S Krishna Kumar of Sundaram AMC.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
REC Ltd. 30 Oct, 2019 | 12:12 PM IST buyBuy
Motherson Sumi Systems Ltd. 30 Oct, 2019 | 12:27 PM IST buyBuy


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