Monday, 17 August 2020

UBS downgrades Tata Motors | What has put ALL in a fast lane | Elon Musk now world's 4th richest

MORNING NEWSLETTER

18 Aug, 2020 | 08:47 AM IST


Good Morning!

Shankar Sharma has a tip for your stock portfolio: 2 stocks or five stocks and 10 will not make you money. Have at least 25! "By natural selection, if you do reasonable home work, you should be able to find one or two good names in that list. If you are very good, you might find five. But if you buy only five, you may not find even one," says he. The seasoned investor also tells you not to go gung-ho on stocks. "Equities should not be more than 30-40% of your asset pie. It is unwise to be 70% in equities, unless you are extremely proficient at this game. But, in the market you can become a pro only when you turn 50," says he. That's wisdom acquired from experience; better pay heed!

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MARKET CUES: Where do we stand >>>

    Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded 17 point lower at 7 am (IST) this morning, signaling a weak start for Dalal Street.

    On Monday, as Nifty50 snapped a three-day losing streak and closed above the 11,250 level, it formed an indecisive Doji and an Inside Bar on the daily chart. Analysts said the consolidation in the index may continue

    Asian stocks drifted Tuesday after the S&P500 Index failed at another attempt to break a record high amid an impasse over US stimulus measures. Stocks slipped in Japan and South Korea, and fluctuated in Hong Kong, China and Australia.

    The Nasdaq surged to a record high close on Monday at 11,129, while S&P500 approached its own record, as both indices were lifted by Nvidia and other technology stocks. While Dow fell 0.31%, the S&P500 gained 0.27% and the Nasdaq 1%.

    The rupee on Monday pared most of its intra-day gains to settle marginally higher by 2 paise at 74.88 against the US dollar.

    The dollar teetered near milestone lows on Tuesday, after a triple blow of retreating yields, soft U.S. economic data and a dip in safe-haven demand exerted broad selling pressure. It is poised to re-test multi-month or multi-year troughs against the euro, Aussie, pound, Swiss franc and yuan.

    Oil prices edged lower, holding onto overnight gains after OPEC+ said the grouping is fully complying with output cuts to support prices. Brent fell 6 cents, or 0.1%, to $45.31 a barrel while WTI crude slipped 8 cents, or 0.2%, to $42.81

    Indian gold prices edged lower on Monday, tracking a drop in global rates. On MCX, October gold futures fell Rs 52,207 per 10 gm while silver futures edged up 0.35 per cent to Rs 67,403 a kg. In global markets, spot gold fell 0.2% to $1,941.90 an ounce.

LOOK WHO'S

Economic recovery sustains pace… The Indian economy has sustained an increasing pace of recovery through August so far, after a prolonged period of plateauing trends in July, Japanese brokerage Nomura said in a note on Monday. The Nomura India Business Resumption Index went up to 73.7 for the week ended August 16 from the previous week's reading of 72.3. This came after the weekly tracker of the pace at which economic activity normalises stagnated at the 70 mark for three weeks in July. Read More

FT closed debt schemes get more cash… The six debt schemes of Franklin Templeton Mutual Fund that have been shut received payments of Rs 708 crore from various issuers in the first two weeks of August. With this, the schemes have managed to get back Rs 4,988 crore from maturities of securities, pre-payments by issuers and coupon payments since it announced their closure on April 23. Almost Rs 26,000 crore of investors money is stuck in the six funds. Read More

India hiring recovers from April lows… Overall hiring in India has recovered from the lows of April with software engineers, business development and sales managers being among the jobs with highest demand, according to a report. It noted that those working in recreation and travel sectors, the hardest hit by Covid-19, are almost seven times more likely to look for a job in a different sector. Read More

Sebi panel weighs one commodity, one bourse… The Commodity Derivatives Advisory Committee, one of Sebi's 21 active panels, will discuss the contentious concept of "one commodity one exchange" at its meeting slated for next month. The concept involves exclusive permission, for 3-5 years, to a single stock exchange to prospectively develop a yet-to-be-listed commodity from among the 91notified ones or a newly notified one. Read More

AND WHO'S

SC asks why JIO shouldn't pay RCom AGR dues… The Supreme Court on Monday asked the government to explain why Reliance Jio should not be asked to pay the AGR dues of RCom, especially when the Mukesh Ambani-owned telco was using its spectrum to earn revenues. This, after Jio argued that such liabilities cannot be transferred to it under the spectrum-sharing arrangement between the two companies. The three-judge bench asked RCom to explain the sharp drop in the value of assets in a year. Read More

Indian economy shrinks by 1/4th in Q1... India's economy may have contracted by as much as one-fourth in the June quarter because of Covid-19 and the lockdown that ensued, according to a poll of 11 economists conducted by ET. They warned that a recovery may take a while as the virus spread prompted further localised closures. Their contraction estimates ranged from 13.6% to 25.7% and are in line with those seen in other Covid-hit countries. Read More

Auditors red-flag Tata Steel Europe… The auditors of Tata Steel Europe have said there is 'significant doubt' regarding the company continuing 'as a going concern' owing to concerns over its ability to raise adequate funds for working capital requirements over a period of time. The auditors said while TS Global Procurement Company has given an undertaking "to provide working capital up to a specified amount" in the short run, it does not constitute "a promise" for meeting Tata Steel Europe's "future funding plans". Read More

Meanwhile...
60% moratorium loans may seek recast… As many as 60% of loans under moratorium, which make for 4% to 8% of the banking sector loan book, could seek restructuring under RBI's special window. Out of these loans, as much as 50% could slip into non-performing assets, resulting in a slippage of 2% or 4% of loans in the next two years, brokerage firm Jefferies said in a note. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,455 + 72.2
13,972 + 116.93
21,701 + 21.45
18,224 + 200.95
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

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Stocks to Watch >>>

Indiabulls Real Estate and Embassy Group will finalise the valuation and swap ratio for their proposed merger on Tuesday.

Trai on Monday sought more time from the telecom appellate tribunal to conclude its ongoing inquiry on whether Vodafone Idea's RedX and Bharti Airtel's Platinum plans spoil the quality of services of other users

Sanofi's chief executive Paul Hudson is dipping into coffers filled by recent disposals to buy US-based Principia Biopharma for $3.7 billion as he fills his medicine cabinet with speciality drug prospects from smaller companies.

Billionaire Anil Agarwal-controlled Vedanta Resources raised about $1.4 billion in overseas bonds to help fund the proposed delisting of its holding company listed in India.

RBI has removed the restrictions imposed on Bandhan Bank's MD Chandra Shekhar Ghosh following the compliance of the promoter holding norm

UBS has downgraded Tata Motors to sell from buy with a target price of ₹100 as it believes that subsidiary Jaguar Land Rover's weak market traction has not been priced in the market.

Cafe Coffee Day 's deceased promoter V G Siddhartha-owned Sical Logistics has unpaid dues of around Rs 151 crore to banks and financial institutions as on March 31, 2020

Walmart-owned Flipkart is looking to enter the e-pharmacy space as demand for online medicine delivery remains strong, two people aware of the matter said.

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OUTLOOK

How to pick smallcap stocks
    Devina Mehra of First Global says smallcaps are usually in that framework where you cannot buy everything because they are much tougher basket than largecaps in general. "That is not a homogeneous kind of a basket. Some of them may not survive, some of them might flourish. So, you have to be very picky when looking at smallcaps. Here it has to be a stock-by-stock approach, even more than industry by industry. You can play largecaps sector wise, in smallcaps you have to drill down," says she. Read More

Why market should consolidate now
    Prateek Agarwal of ASK Investment says after the market has had a good run from the bottom, most valuation parameters are looking more expensive than historical averages. "It's expensive even on bond yield-to-earnings yield parameters. So while there is an upside, and we do believe we will get the earlier highs over the next few months, but for some time it is good to consolidate where we are and let the economic activity pick up. That will give more legs to the rally," says he.Read More

Where is margin of safety now
    Independent market expert Sandip Sabharwal says most of the fancied stocks or sectors have already moved up substantially and they leave little margin of safety. "Where the companies are strong and will bounce back in 2021 and are trading substantially below their peak valuations, will be the stocks which should be in the limelight and people should be buying them for next year. My guess is that it could continue. Many of them have been smashed down to extremely cheap valuations and we could see some trend coming up there," says he. Read More

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Tata Steel Ltd. 17 Aug, 2020 | 10:39 AM IST SellNeutral
Abbott India Ltd. 17 Aug, 2020 | 02:03 PM IST buyBuy


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