Wednesday, 19 August 2020

Fed minutes stall market rally | Low-debt stocks leading D-Street surge | Apple makes Wall Street history

MORNING NEWSLETTER

20 Aug, 2020 | 08:26 AM IST


Good Morning!

US-China hostilities have delivered fringe benefits to an indiscernible party: the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. A host of secondary floats by US-listed Chinese companies, which face the prospect of forced delisting from the US bourses, have delivered a revenue windfall and added billions of dollars to trading turnover. Besides, a Stock Connect programme that allows international investors to access mainland Chinese stocks has pooled in solid volumes. The bourse's profit for the first half of the year has hit a record high, and a rally in the bourse's own stock has made it the most valuable stock exchange in the world.

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MARKET CUES: Where do we stand >>>

    Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded 130 points lower at 7 am (IST) this morning, signaling a major downturn ahead on Dalal Street.

    On Wednesday, Nifty50 formed a bearish candle on the daily scale after breaking out of a crucial range in the previous session, which sent out a weak signal.

    Asian stocks were under pressure on Thursday after the US Fed minutes signalled tempered optimism about second-half growth and Sino-American tensions simmered. Stocks fell in Japan, China and Australia, with Hong Kong and South Korean shares underperforming.

    Wall Street stocks retreated and later closed lower on the Fed news. Dow fell 0.31%, the S&P500 lost 0.44% and the Nasdaq 0.57%.

    Oil prices fell on Thursday as major producers warned of a risk to the recovery in demand. Brent slipped 28 cents, or 0.6%, to $45.09 a barrel, while WTI crude fell 31 cents, or 0.7%, to $42.62.

    The rupee pared its initial gains and settled 6 paise lower at 74.82 against the US dollar on Wednesday, even as the domestic equity market gained.

    The dollar clung to overnight gains after the Fed minutes. The euro fell 0.7% and the pound was dumped back to $1.3103. The dollar jumped 0.7% on the yen.

    Gold prices fell to Rs 53,394 per 10 gm on Thursday following a drop in international prices while silver slipped to Rs 67,072 per kg. On MCX, gold October futures plunged 1.77% to Rs 56,622 while silver futures for September fell 2% to Rs 68,129. In international markets, the yellow metal rose 0.3% to $1,934.41 an ounce early Thursday.

LOOK WHO'S

Stick to low debt stocks… Notwithstanding the growing risk appetite among investors amid a rebound in the broader market, analysts are advising clients to stick to companies with lower debts. With the stock market punishing most companies that have huge debt burdens, many have made an effort to trim their liabilities. Data show shares of companies with debt-equity ratio of less than one outperformed those with this measure reading more than one in the past five years. Read More

Apple tops $2t m-cap, makes Wall Street history… Apple Inc made Wall Street history on Wednesday when its 2020 stock surge pushed the market value past $2 trillion, the first time a US company has surpassed that level. Shares of the iPhone maker rose as much as 1.4% to $468.7 in midday trading. The stock has more than doubled off a March low, in a rally that has been driven by strong earnings results and optimism over its upcoming 5G iPhone. Read More

Carlyle to infuse cash in Axis Bank… Private equity giant Carlyle is closing in on a deal to invest Rs 5,000 crore in Axis Bank as the country's fourth-biggest lender seeks to fortify its capital base with a second major fundraising programme. Axis raised Rs 10,000 crore earlier in August through a QIP that saw marquee public market investors including Norges Bank Investment Management, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and Fidelity sign up. Read More

MFs seek safety in IT stocks… Domestic fund managers increased their allocations to technology stocks to a four-and-a-half year high of 10.5% of total portfolio in July 2020 compared with 8.7% in June and 8% at the beginning of the year. The trend reflects flight to safety as other sectors seem to be more vulnerable to the economic impact of the Covid pandemic. Read More

Covid shot in the arm for health insurers... The Covid-19 pandemic has provided a booster shot to the health insurance business in the country. With 130 new products launched in four months, the segment has overtaken motor to become the largest business for non-life companies. Motor insurance, which accounted for 38% of industry premiums, has fallen to 30% while health, which was 30% last year, has risen to 33%. Data collated by the General Insurance Council shows the retail health portfolio of non-life insurers up to July was Rs 3,596 crore, an increase of 17%. Read More

AND WHO'S

Fed offers grim view of recovery… US Fed policymakers are considering tweaks to monetary policy that could result in the US central bank sticking with aggressive stimulus measures far longer than under its previous rubric, minutes from their last policy meeting showed. The readout of the Fed's July 28-29 meeting, published on Wednesday, also showed policymakers concerned that a recovery from the economic downturn triggered by the coronavirus pandemic faced a highly uncertain path. Read More

World Bank sees steeper contraction in India… The World Bank said on Wednesday that it may project a steeper contraction for Indian economy in its revised outlook, which will be available in October, as the coronavirus continues to spread and authorities unveil localised lockdowns. It also urged the government to continue with implementation of critical reforms in key areas like health, labour, land, skills and finance to come out stronger from the impact of the pandemic. Read More

No headway in PSU share sale… Almost five months into the financial year, Dipam is yet to open its account, although it is chasing a record disinvestment target of Rs 2.1 lakh crore, raising doubts over its ability to complete transactions. The plan to sell off several loss-making companies has been a non-starter, but the government is unwilling to call them off either. There are murmurs within the government over Dipam holding back on IPOs and follow-on public issues, despite a recovery in the stock markets. Read More

Cabinet okays leasing out of 3 airports… The Cabinet on Wednesday allowed relaxation in working capital lending limits for discoms. It also okayed proposals to hike Fair and Remunerative Price for sugarcane by Rs 10 to Rs 285 per quintal and to lease out airports at Jaipur, Guwahati and Thiruvananthapuram under PPP for a 50-year period. Read More

Meanwhile...
Sebi to tweak rules for firms out of insolvency… Sebi has proposed changes to the minimum public shareholding requirements and enhanced disclosures for companies emerging out of the insolvency process. The regulator on Wednesday proposed three options to increase public holding post the CIRP. All listed companies are required to maintain a minimum public shareholding of 25%. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,764 + 103.75
14,318 + 164.14
22,286 + 115.3
18,211  -59.5
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

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Stocks to Watch >>>

Adani Green Energy is planning to raise about $1.35 billion through an offshore loan to fund the building of four projects in the next two years

SBI on Wednesday raised nearly Rs 9,000 crore via a primary bond sale in which India's two large domestic institutional investors – LIC and EPFO — participated.

Infosys will begin offering promotions to junior and mid-level employees by September as it seeks to retain talent and service clients on the back of strong deal wins.

Lenders seeking to recover over Rs 40,000 crore in dues from RCom told the Supreme Court that the telco may go into liquidation if the right to use spectrum cannot be transferred through the insolvency resolution process.

Bombay High Court has rejected a Yes Bank petition that sought to prevent ZEEL from selling shares and disposing of assets, saying there's no case for any interim relief.

The government will reduce its shareholding in Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation (IRCTC) through an offer for sale.

The board of PNB Housing Finance on Wednesday approved a plan to raise Rs 1,800 crore via preferential or rights issue.

UnQuote: THE BIG IDEA
If you want 10x to 100x returns, got for technology plays
Manish Gunwani, CIO, Equity, Nippon India Mutual Fund

The DAY PLANNER

    Earnings: HCG | IOB | MOIL | McDowell
    RBI Money Policy Review Minutes (05.00 pm)
    China Loan Prime Rate (07.00 am)
    Euro Area June Construction Output (02.30 pm)
    US Aug 15 Initial Jobless Claims (06.00 pm)
    Russia July Unemployment Rate (06.30 pm)
    UK-EU Brexit Talks

OUTLOOK

Market looking at high-beta stocks now
    Hemang Jani of Motilal Oswal says there have been some very smart moves across the larger sectors, wherever things were good. "People are now looking out for ideas in the midcap and smallcap space, which had not really moved up as much. So within that theme, some of these companies like DLF or some of the auto ancillaries, some companies in the oil and gas would probably fit in. I do not think the market would wait for an exact point where you will see the revival," says he. Read More

In auto, opportunity is in ancillaries
    Kunj Bansal of Sarthi Group says the sequential recovery in the auto space was more in June and July. "Pentup demand is sustaining. We have to see how the festival season demand shapes up. In terms of investment opportunity, these stocks have moved up sharply, rising 50-90% from the March lows, but from a valuation perspetive, the auto OEMs have become more expensive. Auto ancillaries are still available at attractive prices in some of the cases and that is where we could see the buying opportunities," says he. Read More

HNIs, retail investor hunt stock ideas
    Rahul Sharma of Equity99 Advisors says retail investors and HNIs are generally very cautious with stock trades. "But at this point, they are seeking opportunities where the valuations and the prices are low, so that they can have maximum returns. They seem to be more concerned about sectors in which they want to invest or they should invest . So people are just asking each and every day which are the sectors they should invest in and what are the stock-specific suggestions from our end," says he. Read More

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Infosys Ltd. 19 Aug, 2020 | 12:14 PM IST buyBuy
Gulf Oil Lubricants India Ltd. 19 Aug, 2020 | 11:12 AM IST buyBuy


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