Thursday, 20 August 2020

Saudi PIF wants to buy more Jio stake | Banks stare at major trading losses | PNB Housing on a roll

MORNING NEWSLETTER

21 Aug, 2020 | 08:29 AM IST


Good Morning!

The startup investing opportunity in India is significant, yet less than 1% of an estimated $3 trillion wealth in private hands in the country is getting invested in new enterprises. While the risk in this space is a lot more, Infosys Co-founder Kris Gopalakrishnan says once in a while the reward can be significantly higher than what one would make in other categories of investments. "There has been a mindset change towards start-ups now, as more and more startups move faster towards profitability," says he. The recent spate of deals in this space as big businesses lap up startups to hit the ground running with their newest ventures can help improve those numbers rapidly in the years ahead.
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MARKET CUES: Where do we stand >>>

    Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded 24 points higher at 7 am (IST) this morning, signaling a positive start ahead for Dalal Street.

    As Nifty50 came under selling pressure on Thursday, it index negated higher highs and lows, and formed an indecisive 'Doji' candle. This raised concerns among analysts whether the index saw a 'false breakout' on Tuesday.

    Asian stocks climbed this morning. Shares rose in Hong Kong, China, Japan and Australia, with volumes below average. South Korean stocks pared some of Thursday's outsized slump as data showed a slide in exports eased.

    Overnight, a tech-driven rally on Wall Street helped Nasdaq hit a record high despite downbeat data. The Dow rose 0.17%, the S&P500 rose 0.32%, and the Nasdaq 1.06%.

    Prices rose in early trade on Friday, on track for a third straight week of gains. Brent futures rose 16 cents, or 0.4 per cent, to $44.07, heading for a weekly rise around 0.5 per cent. WTI crude prices rose 0.2% to $42.89.

    The rupee plunged 20 paise and settled below the 75 per US dollar mark on Thursday as strengthening greenback and losses in domestic equities weighed on investor sentiment.

    The dollar was on the defensive against most currencies on Friday after a rise in US jobless claims. The British pound held on to a 0.8% gain made on Thursday, the euro held its gains even as the greenback nursed losses against Swiss franc and yen.

    Gold prices fell for the second consecutive day to Rs 52,319 per 10 gm in line with falling international prices, while silver dropped to Rs 66,153 per kg. On MCX, gold October futures slid 1.07% to Rs 52,061 while silver September futures fell 0.36% to Rs 67,719. Gold prices rebounded overnight and spot gold added 0.8% to $1,945.61 an ounce.

LOOK WHO'S

Saudi fund seeks to invest more in Jio… Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund has initiated discussions with RIL for investing as much as $1 billion in Jio's fibre assets adding to a stake purchase in Jio Platforms. The sovereign wealth fund is in the process of rejigging its $300 billion portfolio — booking profits from its large Silicon Valley, Big Oil and aviation bets and withdrawing from English Premier League club investments. Read More

EPFO sees rebound in subscriber additions… The EPFO saw a robust rebound in net new subscribers with addition of 655,000 subscribers in June as industries and services resumed operations after two months of lockdown. Barely 20,000 and 172,000 subscribers were added to the EPFO in April and May respectively, resulting in net additions of about 847,000 in the first quarter of this financial year. Read More

US approved record H-1B visas in Q3… The US has approved 95.5% of the total H-1B visa applications filed in the third quarter of the ongoing fiscal year, the highest ever since President Donald Trump took power. The data is for the quarter ended June 30, days after Trump suspended new non-immigrant visas, including the H-1B and L-1, through a Presidential Proclamation citing threats to American jobs. Read More

Rly starts work on freight corridors… Indian Railways has begun initial work on four more dedicated freight corridors in the country, although the eastern and western freight corridors being currently implemented have been pushed back by six months due to Covid-19. The 1,483 km long western dedicated freight corridor between Uttar Pradesh and Mumbai and the 1,839 km eastern dedicated freight corridor between Punjab and West Bengal were set to be completed by December 2021. Read More

AND WHO'S

Banks stare at major trading losses… Domestic banks are anticipating major trading losses, unless the regulator eases its cap on the amount of bonds banks hold in the held-to-maturity segment. That will encourage lenders buying government bonds in the weekly primary auctions, which remained partly unsold last Friday. A section of the market has already reached out to the central bank with the proposal. Read More

Pharma profit booster set to fizzle out… Ipca Laboratories, Glenmark and Zydus Cadila, companies making drugs that are being used in the treatment of the pandemic, have seen sales increase in lockstep with the rising number of confirmed Covid cases in the country. But analysts say they are going to see a profitability squeeze when more drugmakers begin to produce the prescribed antivirals and prophylactics. Read More

RBI puts check on Mauritius cash for NBFCs… Investments coming from Mauritius are once again facing increased regulatory scrutiny — now from RBI. Over the past few weeks, the central bank has reportedly turned down several applications from NBFCs due to their connections with Mauritius, three executives privy to the development told ET. Read More

Anil Ambani firm taken to bankruptcy court… The bankruptcy court has decided to appoint an interim resolution professional to examine SBI's petition seeking to recover more than Rs 1,200 crore from Anil Ambani, and assess the industrialist's assets and liabilities. SBI earlier this year moved the NCLT in Mumbai, invoking the personal guarantee clause of the bankruptcy law. The lender claims that Ambani had personally guaranteed loans taken by Reliance Communications, and is seeking to recover the money from him. Read More

Meanwhile...
Inflation fears halted RBI rate cut… Fear of inflation dominated the monetary policy committee meeting of RBI on August 6. Members said supply disruption was pushing up prices even as consumption patterns changed in favour of food, which was increasing the risk of inflation becoming broad-based. In the meeting, the members had unanimously voted for a pause in monetary policy action and left the repo rate unchanged at 4%. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,900 + 136.15
14,422 + 103.39
21,999  -286.45
18,126  -84.75
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

For in-depth stock analysis, live market updates & more, download ET Markets App

Stocks to Watch >>>

The government is planning to sell part of its stake in IRCTC this financial year, and has invited bids from merchant bankers for managing the sale process.

Shares of Tata Power jumped 8.4% to ₹61.50 on Thursday as investors cheered the company's business restructuring plan — termed as 2.0 — aimed at cutting debt and trebling profits by FY25.

Axiata Group Berhad has sold its residual stake in Vodafone Idea and exited India's telecom sector, having taken a substantial hit on its investments after a high-profile entry more than a decade ago.

RBL Bank has raised Rs 1,566 crore through a preferential share issue from a set of investors led by US private equity giant Baring.

UnQuote: WHERE'S THE MONEY?
I invest about 10-15% of my wealth in start-ups
Kris Gopalakrishnan, Co-founder, Infosys

The DAY PLANNER

    Earnings: OIL | PNB | Rossari | Union Bank | Kolte Patil | Indiabulls Housing Finance
    Japan July Inflation Rate (05.00 am)
    Japan Jibun Bank Services PMI Flash Aug (06.00 am)
    UK July Retail Sales MoM (11.00 am)
    RBI Forex Reserve as of Aug 14 (05.00 pm)
    US July Existing Home Sales (07.30 pm)
    UK-EU Brexit Talks

OUTLOOK

Is it risky to play PVR, IndiGo?
    Saurabh Mukherjea of Marcellus Investment Managers says PVR is the best multiplex play in our country and InterGlobe by some distance play is the best on airline. "The reason we have never been convinced enough to put our money behind these is because we do not see free cash flow and that means earnings growth can become a challenge. These are the two best plays in their sectors and yet their ability to generate return on capital above cost to capital remains a challenge," says he. Read More

Stocks that have run up fast may correct
    Independent market analyst Sandip Sabharwal says investors should be cautious in those sectors where stocks have run up swiftly. "The run-up has been very sharp where most traders have got in. Those are the most vulnerable sectors, like auto where the stocks have moved up so much that they are factoring in a complete revival and growth over the next one or two years, which in my view is tough. Most of the positives are factored into those prices. The opportunity is to buy only those stocks or sectors where there is an underestimation of growth prospects" says he. Read More

Why global investors looking to India
    Sunil Khaitan of Bank of America Securities says India is at the crossroads in some ways from a global investors' perspective. "You are looking at a global investor, which is saying I have issues in terms of going deeper into China, given the global perspective that the US has on that country. So, I can deploy a large size of capital, which I may have been forced to take out of China over the past four months or so. Around $6 billion has exited China. India in some ways is providing that opportunity, especially with this slew of large capital raises," says he. Read More

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Tech Mahindra Ltd. 20 Aug, 2020 | 12:12 PM IST buyBuy
India Cements Ltd. 20 Aug, 2020 | 11:29 AM IST SellSell


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