Sunday, 24 November 2019

Look what's shaken up stockbrokers | 21 stocks offering value in this market | Mutual funds to go after DHFL promoters

MORNING NEWSLETTER

25 Nov, 2019 | 08:37 AM IST


Good Morning!

While the Q2 earnings season by and large managed to create some kind of a feel good factor, a lot of the earnings growth came from the corporate tax break. A deeper probe reveals while largecaps showed negative top line growth along with flattish Ebitda, the tax effect helped some to increase EPSes. Analysts see a cue for investors there. The fact that some firms posted positive Ebitda despite negative top line growth means they were able to use the downturn to improve operational efficiency, which is a healthy thing for the longer term.


SGX Nifty traded some 14 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling a possible positive start on Dalal Street. Asian shares made guarded gains as investors braced for another week of likely conflicting commentary on the Sino-US trade dispute, while the outperformance of recent US economic data gave the dollar a legup on its peers. HERE'S WHAT TO WATCH

    MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan bounced 0.26%, after losing 0.4% last week. Japan's Nikkei firmed 0.8% in early trade, while Australian stocks rose 0.5%.

    US stocks closed higher on Friday, but halted their multiweek gains. Dow rose 109 points to 27,875, while S&P500 advanced 6.75 points and the Nasdaq 13.67 points.

    Oil prices held near two-month highs helped by expectations of an extension to production cuts by the Opec + grouping. Brent crude futures firmed 19 cents to $63.58, while US crude rose 24 cents to $58.01 a barrel.

    The rupee furthered its gains by 5 paise to close at 71.71 against the US dollar on Friday, helped by sustained foreign fund inflows and lower crude oil prices.
LOOK WHO'S

Paytm Gets Large Funding... Digital payments company Paytm said it has raised $1 billion in a financing round led by US asset manager T Rowe Price with existing investors Ant Financial and SoftBank Vision Fund also participating. This is the largest amount raised by an Indian startup this year. The company said this values it at close to $16 billion. Discovery Capital, an existing shareholder in the Noida-headquartered firm, also took part in the latest funding round. Read More

PMO Focus on Land Reforms... The Prime Minister's Office has set up a group of 12 ministers to resolve differences over the proposed Model Agricultural Land Leasing Act, 2016. The GoM includes the ministers of defence, home, agriculture and rural development. The model legislation, drafted by the Aayog three years ago, is yet to be adopted by states. Most state governments have either legally banned or slapped restrictions on agricultural land leasing that have forced tenancy to be informal, insecure and inefficient. Read More

South Delhi Realty Unscathed… The real estate industry might be going through a crisis, but posh areas in South Delhi seem to be untouched by it. Real estate consultant CBRE said capital values in South Delhi increased 10-15% during 2017-19, while the number of units sold has also grown by almost 50% since 2016. According to the developers and property agents, this growth is fuelled by the third and fourth generation of owners seeking better returns from the property. Read More

WHO'S
MFs Go After DHFL... Many mutual fund houses having exposure to DHFL are keen to turn the heat on the promoters of the crippled mortgage lender. These institutional lenders want Wadhawans, the promoter group, to arrange funds in the light of the findings of the forensic audit conducted by a Big4 firm. MFs will soon raise the issue in the three-member committee formed by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to help the administrator in recovering about Rs 84,000 crore that DHFL owes to the system. One of the members is a senior office bearer of AMFI, the MF industry lobby. Read More

Race for RCom Assets… Bitter telecom rivals Reliance Jio Infocomm and Bharti Airtel, besides private equity firm Varde Partners and infrastructure-focused I Squared Capital fund, are set to compete for Reliance Communications' assets, bids for which will be opened Monday. While Airtel and Jio are expected to bid mainly for RCom's 850 MHz spectrum, I Squared Capital is likely to vie for the telco's data centres and optic fibre assets. RCom's 43,000 towers, housed under Reliance Infratel, are also up for sale. Read More

Meanwhile...
The stock broking industry is undergoing an unprecedented shakeup. The trigger is the capital market regulator's seemingly innocuous set of rules on separation of client shares from broker accounts, a move aimed at preventing misuse of investors' stocks and money. But the step is having unexpected ramifications, including a slew of defaults — the most recent being Karvy Stock Broking — and an increase in the cost of business that has made it unviable for many small firms to continue. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,868 + 5.3
13,354  -3.34
31,112  -238.35
14,996  -298.05
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    SoftBank-backed hospitality chain Oyo and British private equity firm Apax Partners have joined the race to buy a significant stake in Café Coffee Day (CCD)

    Tata Steel is raising up to $1.75 billion (?12,563 crore) in syndicated offshore loans through its European unit to lower borrowing costs in the first mega fundraising at India's biggest and the oldest maker of the alloy

    Forensic auditors have been asked to investigate Altico Capital's books after the troubled real estate financier defaulted on its payment obligations and was reported to CRILIC, a data base capturing the payment behaviour of large borrowers

    The government has set a 50-day deadline for an outside 'asset valuer' to carry out the valuation of all assets of Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd (BPCL). Meanwhile, thousands of BPCL workers will go on strike on November 28 to protest the government's decision to privatise the company,

    The Centre wants Coal India to speed up exploration and development of all its blocks or return them for auction to private parties or allotment to state-run firms.

    After sacking founder Gautam Thapar as the chairman of the company, fraud-hit CG Power & Industrial Solutions has moved to declassify him as promoter.

UnQuote: SAVE vs INVEST
Saving is important, asset allocation or SIPs take care of rest
S Naren, ICICI Pru AMC

The DAY PLANNER

    Japan Sept leading economic index
    ECB Lane Speech
    Dallas Fed Nov manufacturing index
    US 2-Year Note Auction

OUTLOOK

Q2 GDP
    Pankaj Murarka of Renaissance Investment Managers says the GDP numbers that will come out are more of a foregone conclusion because all of us know that the second quarter GDP growth is going to be much worse than the first quarter and growth has been at a cyclical low. Markets are forward looking animals and markets are looking at initiatives that can help revive growth over the medium to long term.

PHARMA
    Prasanth Prabhakaran of Yes Securities says he continues to avoid pharma as US FDA regulations have remained an overhang on this industry apart from a margin pressure expansion. "The only 'buy' recommendation that we have had in the sector, which has already run up to a 52-week high, is Ipca Labs. Apart from that, the entire sector is an 'avoid'. We are only bullish on the India facing story," he says

RUPEE
    IFA Global says while the rupee has been the worst performing Asian currency over the last month, it has been the best performing currency over the past week. Supreme court clearing the Arcelor Mittal takeover of Essar Steel has turned around sentiment onshore with traders becoming skeptical of placing on bearish rupee bets fearing US dollar selling on account of inflow.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Petronet LNG Ltd. 25 Nov, 2019 | 08:36 AM IST SellSell
Grasim Industries Ltd. 25 Nov, 2019 | 08:02 AM IST buyBuy


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