Monday, 18 November 2019

Big job cuts loom over Indian IT | Sebi mulls new definition for promoters | Zee gets suitor for Kidzee

MORNING NEWSLETTER

19 Nov, 2019 | 08:37 AM IST


Good Morning!

While Dalal Street indices may be ruling near record highs, this euphoria is not broadbased, which is a cause for alarm. Yet, market veterans say value trades happen when things look bleak. The cheaper prices are available because things do not look rosy. If and when they start looking rosy, these prices will not be available. It's an opportunity going abegging.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian shares started softer this morning for another day awaiting clearer news on the progress of US-China trade negotiations. HERE'S WHAT TO WATCH

    SGX Nifty fell 31 points at 7 am (IST), signalling a possible negative start for Dalal Street. MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.1%. Japan's Nikkei traded 0.2% lower in early trade. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index was flat

    In overnight trade, Dow rose 31 points to 28,036, while S&P500 gained 1.57 points and the Nasdaq 9.11 points

    US oil prices fell for the second straight day on Tuesday amid market jitters over limited progress between China and the US on rolling back trade tariffs, exacerbated by a rise in US inventories. WTI crude fell 10 cents to $56.95 a barrel while Brent crude futures were down 12 cents at $62.32

    The rupee pared early morning gains to settle down by 6 paise at 71.84 against the US currency on Monday due to continued forex outflows and gains in the dollar in global markets.

LOOK WHO'S

New 'Promoter'... Listed Indian companies may soon see a radical shift in the way 'promoters' are classified. Sebi is planning to overhaul the concept of promoters that could lead to the introduction of 'controlling shareholders' — a structure new to India but prevalent in various developed markets. The capital markets regulator thinks the promoter concept is outdated, as many promoters have little or no say in the way companies are run but have the power to create nuisance value. Read More

Zee Deal... EuroKids, a leading playschool chain in the country controlled by US private equity firm KKR, is in preliminary talks to acquire Asia's largest preschool chain Kidzee from Zee Learn for Rs 1,000–1,200 crore. The deal, if it goes through, will help Subhas Chandra-promoted Essel Group further deleverage its consolidated balance sheet. New York-headquartered KKR — which bought 92% stake in Euro-Kids for about Rs 1,500 crore in September — is believed to have made a non-binding offer to acquire educational portfolio of Zee Learn. Read More

Pay Bonanza... Performance-linked incentive is set to become the buzzword for about eight lakh PSU bank employees, which they may receive for the first time from next financial year over and above their revised salaries. This is a major shift from managements' insistence on variable pay, or performance-linked pay, which was earlier proposed as part of wage increase. Read More

WHO'S
IT Job Cuts... Technology services companies could shed as many as 40,000 mid-level jobs by next year as India's biggest export industry, battling mounting cost pressures, looks to cut more expensive resources and replace them with headcount at the base. Mid-level resources, with work experience of 10-20 years, account for one-fifth of the workforce across IT companies. That works out to about 6,00,000 professionals, and about 7% of such jobs could be axed in next 12 months. Read More

Telecom Tariff Hike... Vodafone Idea and Bharti Airtel said they would increase tariffs in December, the first price hike in more than three years that could help shore up revenue and operating income for the two loss-making telecom companies but also cause some subscribers to shift to rival Reliance Jio Infocomm. In separate statements on Monday, the two companies cited financial stress, current low tariffs and the need to invest in networks to keep up with surging data demand as reasons for the move. Read More

Meanwhile...
Wedding season demand for gold has dropped this winter. Although the price of gold, of which India is among the two biggest consumers in the world, has moderated by about 5% from record highs over the past six weeks, off-take has trailed expectations of most jewellers. The All India Gem & Jewellery Domestic Council says that demand has shrunk 40%, though India Bullion & Jewellers Association (IBJA) pegged the drop at 15% compared with last year's wedding season. However, both associations believe the worst may be over. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,931 + 127.6
13,363 + 36.21
30,992  -16.3
15,295  -15.4
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Haldiram's, Vedanta and Indonesian billionaire Robert Hartono are among the eight suitors competing to acquire Videocon Industries under the insolvency and bankruptcy code framework for resolution of stressed companies. All eight suitors have submitted formal expressions of interest and will soon start due diligence on the company, for which a process to find a buyer was formally kickstarted in August.

    PE firm Carlyle Group, which acquired 9% stake in SBI Life Insurance in March this year, is planning to sell 3%, or 3 crore shares, of the insurance firm through a block deal route on Tuesday at an impressive 86% profit in just eight months

    Maruti Suzuki is witnessing a sudden surge in demand for its diesel models, compelling the maker of the Vitara Brezza and Dzire to ramp up production of some of the variants that it plans to phase out before the new emission standards come into effect in April.

    ArcelorMittal expects to complete its acquisition of Essar Steel India (ESIL) before the end of the year, following the Supreme Court's approval of its resolution plan for the company.

    US-based private equity fund Advent International has signed a definitive agreement to acquire a majority stake in Bharat Serums and Vaccines, a leading biopharmaceutical company with presence in India and emerging markets

    Prestige Group has picked up 28.99% stake in commercial development of a DB Realty project. The property in Mumbai's Bandra locality has a development potential of over 7 lakh sq ft and is valued at about Rs 2,100 crore,

    Replacing all Pratt & Whitney engines on IndiGo's fleet of almost 100 Airbus planes by January 31, as ordered by India's aviation watchdog, will be challenging but the airline aims to complete the work, CEO said.

    Tata Steel plans to cut jobs across its European operations as it wrestles with excess supply and high costs, the company said on Monday.

UnQuote: VC PUSH
India needs to build venture capital industry
Uday Kotak, Executive Vice-Chairman & MD, Kotak Mahindra Bank

The DAY PLANNER

    Fed Williams Speech
    US Oct housing starts
    US Oct building permits
    US Sept foreign bond investment

OUTLOOK

REAL ESTATE
    Anshul Saigal of Kotak PMS says there is tremendous consolidation happening in the real estate space. "There are players in that space which offer extremely robust balance sheets and managements who are fully clued in to the business and who are in the same boat as the minority shareholders. They want to create wealth through their business of real estate. Some of these players are north based," says he.

CRUDE OIL
    Vandana Hari of Vanda Insights says both Brent and WTI crude are sitting at about eight-week highs. There have veen cautious but steady gains in crude prices. "They are factoring in the optimism that the US and China will sign sooner rather than later a limited deal and the removal of tariffs is expected to be a part of that deal. That is very crucial for the oil market because if there is no rollback of tariff, then you can forget about the economic headwinds that they expect," she said.

EARNINGS
    Gautam Duggad of Motilal Oswal Securities says Sept quarter earnings season was in line but the expectations are very muted to begin with. "These numbers were baked into the expectations which is why we have not seen much of a market reaction. If you slice the numbers a little bit more, you will find that the Nifty PBT of the three corporate banks has actually declined by 11 per cent," says he.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Balkrishna Industries Ltd. 19 Nov, 2019 | 08:37 AM IST buyBuy
MphasiS Ltd. 19 Nov, 2019 | 08:35 AM IST buyBuy


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