Sunday, 8 September 2019

Buffett-backed Duracell set to buy Eveready | DHFL may get emergency funding | Thappar takes on CG Power Board

MORNING NEWSLETTER

9 Sep, 2019 | 08:17 AM IST


Good Morning!

Analysts' consensus estimates of 25-30% earnings growth for India Inc in FY20 had an important rider: bulk of it was supposed to come from banks and other financial firms; some had calculated this increment at as much as 59 per cent. Low base effect apart, a lot of it hinged on resolution of NCLT cases, which has been slow. A crippling slowdown now threatens to trigger a spike in bad loans while major mergers loom over PSU lenders. Result: they are now talking of mid-teens growth!

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian stocks saw gains this morning, as traders weighed further stimulus from China amid weak economic data. On Friday, the People's Bank of China said it would cut the amount of cash banks must hold as reserves to the lowest level since 2007, injecting liquidity into the economy. Read our full market wrap here

    SGX Nifty traded 21 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling buoyancy on Dalal Street. Shares in South Korea outperformed but the advance was more modest in Japan, China and Hong Kong.
    US stocks booked slight gains on Friday. Dow rose 69 points and S&P500 2.71 points while the Nasdaq slipped 13 points

Crude oil prices rose after a Saudi official said there would be no change in Saudi Arabia's OPEC policy as Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman was made the new energy minister for the world's biggest crude exporter. Brent was up 7 cents at $61.61 a barrel. Read More
LOOK WHO'S

On a High... India's mutual fund industry is on a high, amid strong demand for products despite weakening financial markets. Their hiring increased 28% in FY19, while internal pay increases were solid at 8-12% along with 20-30% market-liked increments and bonuses. ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund has increased staff by 62% to 2,100 in FY2019, while headcount at HDFC AMC rose 25% to 1,600. Reliance Nippon Life Mutual Fund's staff strength rose 26% to 1,700 while SBI Mutual Fund's headcounts jumped 31% to 1700. Read More

    Is RIL up for a big bull run from here on? >>>
    Bank mergers: What's in it for shareholders >>>

New Lease of Life… Lenders are considering Rs 7,000 crore in emergency funding to debt-laden DHFL even as creditors decide on the formula for conversion of debt into equity, which is a key part of the proposed restructuring plan. But mutual funds are unlikely to sign the inter-creditor agreement for DHFL, citing a regulatory rider known as side-pocketing or segregation of stressed assets. Only Tata Mutual Fund, which has already complied with relevant regulations, has agreed to be part of the ICA. Read More

WHO'S
Promoter Challenge… Gautam Thapar, who was ousted as chairman of CG Power & Industrial Solutions after a multi-crore rupee financial scam was unearthed, has sent a legal notice to the company board contesting his removal which he claimed was illegal. The board, which accused Thapar of siphoning funds from the company, will respond to the notice after consulting its legal team. Thapar was fired on August 29 after whistleblowers informed some board members about transactions allegedly not covered in the company's audited accounts. Read More

    4 sectors where demand slowdown will pinch >>>
    5 high-debt stocks at risk due to slowdown >>>

Under a Cloud... The slowdown has forced the Indian auto component industry to hold at least $2 billion (about Rs 14,330 crore) investment planned for this year, said Deepak Jain, the new president of the Automotive Component Manufacturers Association. He said investments in capacity expansion have been put on hold but the industry is still doing certain investments in innovation. Read More

Meanwhile...
The finance ministry has asked central PSUs to advance their capital expenditure plans and also ensure the timely release of payments to small and medium enterprises, as part of the government's efforts aimed at giving a boost to the sagging economy. North Block called heads of Maharatna and Navratna companies to review their expenditure plans on Friday. Read More
KEY INDICES
15,607 + 109.75
12,595 + 98.74
27,248 + 328.2
16,035 + 3.6
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to watch >>>

    Bankers of the loss-making Suzlon Energy are working on a plan to recover dues that may include a significant haircut on loans as the company does not have any active interest from potential buyers

    Duracell Inc, owned by Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, has pipped rival Energizer Holdings and is set to acquire BM Khaitan's flagship Eveready Industries' battery and flashlight business in a slump sale for Rs 1,600-1,700 crore

    State Bank of India is set to sell 6.6% stake in SBI Life that would boost its capital position as well as help its insurance unit to comply with the minimum public float requirement of 25%.

    The government has ordered IndianOil, BPCL and HPCL to cancel Rs 5,000 crore tender for purchase of cooking gas cylinders following detection of several discrepancies in the process

    Vistara and IndiGo are vying for the flying rights of grounded Jet Airways for the lucrative London route. Both plan to launch flights to London next year.

UnQuote: Realty Booster
Next set of announcements from FM to touch on real estate sector
Anurag Thakur, Minister of State for Finance

Day Planner:

    Modi address to COP14 to UNCCD
    UK Q2 GDP print
    UK July Industrial output
    US Consumer Inflation expectation

OUTLOOK

RUPEE
    IFA Global says how the world's two largest economies, the US and China, make their next move for starting another round of trade talks will drive the sentiment next week. With Yuan recovering in the last couple of sessions, the rupee may be seen taking a breather.

CRUDE OIL
    MR Raghu, at Kuwait Financial Centre says OPEC has traditionally resorted to production cuts in order to shore up prices. But this has come at the cost of reduction in OPEC's global crude market share from a peak of 35% in 2012 to 30% as of July 2019.

CEMENT
    Mayuresh Joshi of Angel Broking is optimistic on cement stocks because in the second half, demand should hold up, realisations are expected to rise and input stock si expected to stabilise. This will improve EBITDA per tonne for the sector as a whole.


STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Canara Bank 9 Sep, 2019 | 08:09 AM IST SellSell
Axis Bank Ltd. 9 Sep, 2019 | 08:05 AM IST buyBuy


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