Monday 23 September 2019

MFs begin to sell Zee shares | Sensex, Nifty targets soar | Petronet LNG tries damage control over Houston deal

MORNING NEWSLETTER

24 Sep, 2019 | 08:19 AM IST


Good Morning!

Amid the euphoria sparked off by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's corporate tax cuts, some traders have refused to cut their bearish bets. They remain short on auto, realty and PSU banks as they don't agree the tax cut would benefit all. Economists are not convinced about the fiscal maths; some project fiscal deficit to hit 3.7 per cent of GDP against the 3.3% target. It's only a matter of time before reality dawns!

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian stocks traded mixed while US stock futures gained in early trade after US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said US-China trade talks will resume early October. Read More

    SGX Nifty traded nearly 50 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling sustained bullishness on Dalal Street. MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan barely budged, up just 0.03% while Nikkei ticked up 0.10%.
    Dow eked out a small gain Monday even as US stocks finished mixed. The Dow rose 15 points, snapping a modest two-day losing streak. The S&P500 finished flat while the Nasdaq fell 0.1%.

Oil prices eased in early Asian trade as weak manufacturing data from Europe and Japan focused market attention on a gloomy outlook for demand, though lingering uncertainty over Saudi supply disruption braked the drop. Brent crude futures fell 29 cents to $64.48 a barrel, while WTI futures slipped 24 cents to $58.40. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Bullish D-Street... Brokerages have raised their targets on India's main stock indices after the government on Friday announced corporate tax rate cut to 25.17% from 35% in a bid to revive the country's economic growth rate. Goldman Sachs has raised its 12-month target on the Nifty to 13,200 from 12,500. Nomura has raised its Nifty target for March 2020 to 12,545. Citi has raised the Sensex target for March 2020 to 40,500 from 39,000. Read More

Motown Rebound... India's biggest automaker, Maruti Suzuki India, expects sales of its cars in September to be higher than the previous month, Chairman RC Bhargava said. August domestic sales at Maruti Suzuki fell 34.3%, one of the biggest monthly drops in sales in recent times. Indian auto sales fell for the 10th straight month in August, marking one of the worst slowdowns in the industry's history. Read More

WHO'S
MF Selloff in Zee… Mutual funds have started selling pledged shares of Zee, rejecting the promoter's plea for an extension of the repayment deadline. ZEE shares slumped 10% on Monday to close at Rs 272 despite a stellar broader market rally as SBI Funds Management sold shares worth Rs 200 crore. Funds like ICICI Prudential and Kotak Asset Management are also believed to be on the verge of offloading the shares ahead of the repayment deadline of September 30. Read More

Look, Who's Shorting... The stock market witnessed its best two-day run in over a decade with the benchmark indices gaining 8.1 per cent on Friday and Monday. But the bullish momentum has failed to convince some traders from cutting their bearish bets. They have retained their short positions in auto, real estate and public sector banks as they are uncertain whether the cut in corporate tax rate would benefit companies in these sectors. Analysts said the benefit of the tax cut is not going to be uniform across sectors. In the auto space, concerns over pickup in demand still continues. Read More

Thomas Cook Goes Belly Up... Hundreds of thousands of holidaymakers were stranded on Monday by the collapse of the world's oldest travel firm Thomas Cook, sparking the largest peacetime repatriation effort in British history. The liquidation marks the end of a British company that started in 1841 running local rail excursions and grew to pioneer the family package holiday. Thomas Cook's demise, announced in the early hours of Monday after it failed to secure a deal with creditors or a government bailout, sparked alarm at hotels where some customers have been asked to pay their bills anew by out-of-pocket resort owners. Read More

Meanwhile...Many companies have stopped expansion plans and are reaching out to tax experts after the corporate tax for new companies has been lowered to 15%. Instead of investing directly, they are looking at formation of separate entities for new investment, as it could offer a tax arbitrage of about 10 per cent. Tax experts said most companies that have expansion plans, including the ones in pharma and engineering sectors, are evaluating setting up new entities to take advantage of the lower tax structure. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,745 + 411.6
13,565 + 360.67
30,566 + 1584.65
15,041  -450.45
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Meanwhile watch them >>>

    PricewaterhouseCoopers India will challenge the Rs 230 crore fine slapped on it by the ED for allegedly violating provisions of FEMA. PwC will contest the basis on which the ED has levied the fine

    Bharti Airtel has warned Trai that it would be forced to reduce ringing time for outgoing calls from its network to 20 seconds – the same as Reliance Jio – which will greatly inconvenience consumers, unless the regulator directs the Mukesh Ambani-owned operator to increase its call ringing duration.

    Petronet LNG launched a damage-control exercise after its proposed $2.5 billion US gas purchase deal led to a slide in its stock on Monday, saying the agreement signed in Houston over the weekend was "non-binding" and would be pursued only if it made "commercial sense".

    SBI has linked all floating rate loans to MSMEs to the RBI's benchmark repo rate effective October 1. SBI's move follows an RBI direction to all banks asking them to link lending rates to an external benchmark to improve transmission of monetary policy.

    Home loan major HDFC is set to buy out the co-promoters of student loan company Credila as it looks to grow quickly and prepare it for listing in a couple of years, sources said.

    Billionaire Gautam Adani is set for another acquisition this year as a committee of creditors has approved Adani Ports and SEZ's bid for the troubled Dighi Port in Maharashtra under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code.

    Sebi has imposed about Rs 22.6 crore penalty on Aurobindo Pharma, its promoter PV Ramprasad Reddy, his wife P Suneela Rani and other connected entities for violating insider trading norms between July 22, 2008 to March 20, 2009.

UnQuote: SLOW & STEADY
It will take next 3 quarters to get high growth numbers
Jayesh Mehta, BofA ML

Day Planner:

    UN General Assembly
    India coal workers strike over FDI in mining
    Modi event in New York
    Fed Daly Speech
    BoJ Gov Kuroda Speech

OUTLOOK

FISCAL DEFICIT
    Pranjul Bhandari, Chief India Economist, HSBC, says the government had budgeted 3.3% of GDP fiscal deficit for this financial year. By estimates show fiscal deficit could go up to about 3.7 per cent of GDP and on the back of this fear, bond yields sold off 20 bps on Friday.

BANK STOCKS
    Mahesh Nandurkar, India Strategist of CLSA, says he considers it safer to go with the private banks and a few other companies. But select PSUs have also begun to look interesting. Some of the names to look at can be strategic disinvestment candidates and large state-owned banks.

CRUDE OIL
    Many serious oil market players do not believe the Saudis have nearly 2 million bpd spare capacity, as it would imply production of over 12 million bpd. Instead, many believe the Saudis have sustainable spare capacity of no more than around 0.5-1.0 million bpd.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
State Bank of India 23 Sep, 2019 | 09:27 AM IST buyBuy
JSW Steel Ltd. 23 Sep, 2019 | 09:26 AM IST buyBuy


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