Thursday 19 September 2019

Zee debt returns to haunt fund houses | US, China resume face-to-face talks | Rana Kapoor sells YES Bank shares

MORNING NEWSLETTER

20 Sep, 2019 | 08:24 AM IST


Good Morning!

There has been heavy selling of Nifty calls expiring September 26 on Dalal Street, which has caused the open interest Put-Call Ratio of near-month Nifty options to slip to 0.9 from 1. Selling more Calls relative to Puts implies traders do not expect the expiry to happen above the sold strike price combined with the premium received. It means unless the market recovers fast, we might head for more pain and see a deeper plunge in the market.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian share prices inched higher this morning as economic stimulus around the world eased fears of economic deceleration. Read More

    Nifty futures were mildly up early this morning, signalling a possible rebound on Dalal Street. MSCI index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.08% in early trade but is on course to post its first weekly loss in five. Nikkei rose 0.34% to come within striking distance of its year-to-date peak.
    US stocks finished mixed overnight. Dow slipped 54 points, or 0.2%, lower, while the S&P500 ended flat and the Nasdaq rose 0.1%

Oil prices were on track for a more-than-7 per cent jump this week, their biggest in months, as early trading on Friday saw gains extended on fresh tensions in the Middle East after a key Saudi Arabian supply hub was knocked out in an attack last weekend. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

In Talking Terms!... Face-to-face trade negotiations between a Chinese delegation led by Liao Min, a vice-minister for finance, and Deputy US Trade Representative Jeffrey Gerrish began in Washington on Thursday and they are scheduled to continue Friday. The talks are expected to lay the ground-work for top-level negotiations between US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Vice Premier Liu He in October in Washington. The Trump administration said a Chinese delegation will visit American farmlands next week. Read More

    More room for rate cuts, says RBI Governor >>>
    GST meet today; FM may unveil more growth measures >>>

Lending Push… In a bid to push credit before the festival season and revive growth, the government has asked PSU banks to hold open houses in 400 districts of the country, tasking them with extending credit to five new customers for every existing borrower. In addition, banks will not declare any stressed assets of MSMEs as non-performing until March 31, 2020, to help them recover. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said banks have acquired Rs 9,155 crore worth of pooled assets of NBFCs and housing finance companies under the partial credit guarantee scheme, and talks on to acquire another Rs 32,000 crore. Read More

US GSP Compliant… India has met the criteria for trade concessions that the US eliminated in June. India's Foreign Secretary Vijay Gokhale said Washington should now take a call on reinstating trade concessions under the GSP that allows duty-free entry for up to $5.6 billion worth of annual exports to the US, citing lack of reciprocal market access. Read More

WHO'S
Zee Debt Woes… The debt woes of Essel Group promoters may worsen as mutual funds squabble among themselves on whether to give more time to Subhash Chandra's private firms to repay debt. With 11 days to go for Essel promoters to redeem the pledge on shares of Zee Entertainment by repaying loans to mutual funds and NBFCs, some big players are willing to grant Essel promoters three more months to repay, but a few others are against offering any leeway. Read More

Rana Kapoor Sells Shares... Morgan Credits, the holding company controlled by Yes Bank co-founder Rana Kapoor, has reduced its stake in the bank by 2.3% to prepay NCDs subscribed by Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management. Data from NSE showed that Morgan Credit sold 5.8 crore shares at Rs 58.16 apiece to generate Rs 337 crore, which will be used to pre pay the debentures. The shares were sold via a block deal in the market. The buyers of the shares were not immediately identifiable. Read More

Meanwhile...The trade war between the US and China has plunged global growth to its lowest levels in a decade, the OECD said on Thursday as it slashed its forecasts. It said the global economy is at risk of entering a new, lasting low-growth phase if governments continued to dither over how to respond. The global economy will see its weakest growth since the 2008-2009 financial crisis this year, slowing from 3.6% last year to 2.9% this year before a predicted 3.0% in 2020, it said. Read More
KEY INDICES
15,429  -251.65
12,703  -190.96
26,758  -415.0
15,522  -179.85
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Meanwhile watch them >>>

    Shares of IIFL Wealth listed at Rs 1,200 on BSE on Thursday, beating analyst expectations of Rs 900-1,000 apiece. The stock closed at Rs 1260.5, valuing the entity at Rs 10,726 crore.

    IFL Home Finance has got Rs 300 crore from Syndicate Bank in what will likely be the first flows from the liquidity tap the RBI recently turned on to make cash readily available to non-bank lenders.

    Axis Bank has fixed Rs 661 per share for its proposed $1.5-2 billion QIP, offering a 4% premium on Thursday's closing price of Rs 638.

    Sebi has asked LIC to trim its stake in NSE by 5%, as the state-run insurer's acquisition of IDBI Bank has caused a breach of the ownership cap set for the members of the stock exchange

    Deloitte, the Resolution Professional of RCom has moved the bankruptcy court, seeking a direction to the telecom department to not terminate licences of the bankrupt telco, and take back spectrum.

    Debt-laden IL&FS has started repaying the creditors of three group entities, with outstanding claims of ?5,071 crore, according to an affidavit filed before an appellate tribunal on Thursday

    Qatar Investment Authority is in negotiations with the Adani Group to buy a minority stake in the latter's flagship power transmission and distribution asset — Adani Electricity Mumbai Limited

UnQuote: GROWTH STRATEGY
Govt should start spending now, fiscal targets can come later
Sunil Subramaniam, Sundaram Mutual

Day Planner:
    GST Council meeting
    Sept India foreign exchange eeserves
    India Q2 current account deficit
    US-China trade talks
    US Baker Hughes oil rig count

OUTLOOK

AUTO
    Sandip Sabharwal of asksandipsabharwal.com says car sales went up 30% last year same month and now they are down 30%. A year down the line Ola, Uber should be more in prevalence so people should be buying even less number of cars, but car sales might be up 30%.

CRUDE OIL
    "The US produces so much oil now, it just has a bigger offsetting impact. Today we live in a different world. The higher fuel efficiency of today's US cars will also help soften the blow of price spikes," says Kenneth B Medlock III, senior director of the Center for Energy Studies at Baker Institute for Public Policy

RUPEE
    With crude oil cooling off, the rupee may get some reprieve, says forex advisory firm IFA Global. But with tension in the West Asia remaining elevated and outflows continuing from Indian equity markets, rupee could remain under pressure

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Raymond Ltd. 20 Sep, 2019 | 08:21 AM IST SellSell
Titan Company Ltd. 20 Sep, 2019 | 08:18 AM IST SellSell


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