Sunday 29 September 2019

Share pledge bar kicks in for India Inc | Curbs on onion stocking, exports I The Indian consumer returns to shop

MORNING NEWSLETTER

30 Sep, 2019 | 08:06 AM IST


Good Morning!

From the look of things, mutual fund investors are in for a raw deal if a plan for conversion of part of DHFL's debt into equity goes through. Non-bank entities will only get a share of the liquidation value, as they are not part of the inter-creditor agreement, and thus, face losses of 40% or more. Other investors and lenders get paid in full over time without any haircut. Sebi will surely look into the issue closely. SBI is said to have sought a one-time exception to the rule on segregation of assets from the markets regulator so that mutual funds can be made part of the plan

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian shares and the Chinese yuan were off to a cautious start on Monday as investors waited to see how Chinese markets react to the news that the US administration was considering delisting Chinese companies from US stock exchanges. Read More

    SGX Nifty traded nearly 12points down at 7 am (IST), signalling indecisiveness on Dalal Street. MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped 0.11% while Japan's Nikkei shed 0.61%.
    On Wall Street, US stock futures gained 0.24% in early trade, after Friday's fall, when Dow slipped 70.87 points, S&P500 dropped 15.83 points and the 91.03 points

Crude oil prices edged higher on Monday, rebounding from a two-week low. WTI crude futures rose 14 cents to $56.05 a barrel while Brent futures rose 21 cents to $62.12. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Return of the Consumer… Consumption picked up in the first weekend of festive season shopping, bringing relief to large retail chains, brands, malls and ecommerce marketplaces. A positive start to the Diwali sales period has assuaged concerns that the economic slowdown would hit consumption in what's traditionally the high point of India's shopping calendar. Several retailers, including Future Group, Spencer's Retail, Arvind Lifestyle, Reliance Digital, Vijay Sales and Great Eastern said their sales have grown by more than double digits in the first weekend of Navratri over same period last year. On an average, sales have jumped 10-14%. Read More

Bonanza for Borrowers… Borrowers could be paying less on their mortgages as banks shift to a new system of linking such loans to benchmarks prescribed by the central bank. That may result in lowering the cost of funding by as much as 30 basis points in some cases. SBI has pegged the spread at 2.65 percentage points above the repo rate, which is at 5.40%, resulting in an external benchmark rate of 8.05%. Read More

WHO'S
Share Pledge Bar… A key source of funding for promoters could dry up with new restrictions on transfer of shares between demat accounts set to kick in from October 1. NBFCs will no longer be allowed to ask promoters to shift shares to their accounts as collateral for lending. This could crimp promoters, especially of smaller firms, as NBFCs usually insist on them transferring shares rather than simply pledging them. Read More

DHFL Debt Rejig… Lenders may convert part of DHFL's debt into 51% equity even as non-bank entities such as mutual funds face losses of 40% or more, said two people with knowledge of the proposed resolution plan. The latter will only get a share of the liquidation value as they are not part of the creditors' consortium as per the plan. The remaining loans may be hived off and an equity investor could take a stake in the firm. Read More

Onion Curbs: India on Sunday banned exports of onions as prices remain high due to a seasonal shortage which has been worsened by flooding in several states. The government said exports would be prohibited with immediate effect. Read More

Meanwhile...The government may request an interim dividend of Rs 30,000 crore from RBI in order to meet its fiscal deficit target of 3.3% of gross domestic product. The government is likely to seek the dividend payment towards the end of the April-March financial year, government sources told PTI. A final assessment would be made in early January. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,272  -178.85
13,332  -108.56
29,877  -125.95
15,236  -76.5
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    The Indiabulls Group, which is actively chasing its merger with Lakshmi Vilas Bank, has indicated that if RBI wishes, then its chairman Sameer Gehlaut will neither be the chairman of the merged entity nor hold any board position.

    In a first for any major corporate, a resolution professional will chair and address the shareholders of the Anil Ambani-run bankrupt Reliance Communications at the annual meeting with shareholders on Monday.

    The war for telecom subscribers is at a "decisive" phase, says Bharti Airtel CEO Gopal Vittal. He said the telco will target crossing 35 per cent revenue market share mark in three quarters.

    A board meeting of CG Power and Industrial Solutions to decide on the continuity of KN Neelkant as CEO on Monday could turn out to be tense depending on the outcome

UnQuote: STOCK STRATEGY
Stock picking & not basket buying is the need of the hour
Rakshit Ranjan, Marcellus Investment

Day Planner:

    India Aug Infrastructure Output
    India Q2 Current Account Deficit
    India Q2 External Debt
    Chicago Sept PMI
    UK Q2 Current Account

OUTLOOK

GOLD
    Analysts expect gold to get support on the downside from global growth worries, uncertainty about US-China trade deal and the recent political turmoil in the US over impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump

CRUDE OIL
    Stewart Glickman, energy analyst at CFRA Research, says the initial up-swell in long positions in crude oil was a function of worries that the damage to Saudi facilities was going to take long to fix. By all indications, the Saudis, the majority of their processing capacity, is back.

AUTO
    Bharat Gianani of Sharekhan is cautious on auto stocks. "We have been advising investors to stay away from the sector. Despite the benefit from corporate tax cut, no volume recovery is seen yet and if the companies choose to pass on the entire benefit, then corporate tax cut benefit will get nullified," he says.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
MindTree Ltd. 28 Sep, 2019 | 10:51 AM IST buyBuy
Hero MotoCorp Ltd. 28 Sep, 2019 | 10:43 AM IST buyBuy


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