Tuesday 24 September 2019

FIIs finally turn upbeat on India | New twist in Zee-MF deal | SBI seeks Sebi exemption on DHFL

MORNING NEWSLETTER

25 Sep, 2019 | 08:18 AM IST


Good Morning!

While the corporate tax cut created prospects for about 8-odd per cent potential earnings upside, the 8.5 per cent Nifty rally over Friday and Monday captured about all of it. Yet, the good news for investors is that only 15 Nifty stocks have gone above their historical averages while the entire BSE midcap and smallcap packs are trading well below their historic levels. That's where the opportunity lies.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian stocks fell on Wednesday after US lawmakers called for an impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump, increasing the prospects of prolonged political uncertainty in the world's largest economy. Read More

    SGX Nifty traded nearly 36 points down at 7 am (IST), signalling weakness ahead on Dalal Street. MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.2%, Japan's Nikkei slipped 0.55%, while Australian shares dropped 0.66%.
    US stocks pared their gains following Trump's UN speech. Dow fell 200 points, or 0.8%, S&P500 slipped 1.1% and the Nasdaq 1.7%.

US crude futures dipped 0.73% to $56.87 a barrel as Trump sharpened his criticism of China's trade policies in a speech at the UN, dealing a blow to hopes for a resolution to the US-China trade war. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Diwali Bonanza! A cracker of a Diwali awaits thousands of homebuyers in Noida and Greater Noida as builders are readying to start offering possession earlier than expected, even before obtaining the occupancy certificate from the local authority, in a region which is dotted with long-delayed projects. Builders are planning to make use of an order issued by the Real Estate Regulatory Authority of Uttar Pradesh on September 16, saying if the authority fails to issue occupancy certificate or raise objection within a week of receiving application, they can start offering possession and agreement. Read More

Upbeat FIIs… Foreign investors' trading desks have cut bearish bets on India in the last three days encouraged by the government's tax bonanza for India Inc with a corporate tax rate cut. But, they have stopped short of going the whole hog as per their derivative trade data. This is reflected in the long-short ratio in the index futures, which has spiked to around 43% from 25% on Thursday – the day before the government announced the tax bonanza. Read More

India Deal… US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday he expected to have a trade deal of some kind between the US and India soon. "I think very soon we'll have a trade deal. We'll have the larger deal down the road a little bit, but we will have a trade deal very soon," Trump told reporters as he met Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi on the sidelines of the annual UN General Assembly. Read More

WHO'S
Zee Twist… HDFC AMC, Franklin Templeton and Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund are likely to give more time to the promoters of Essel Group to repay outstanding loans, as they believe the current price of the Zee Entertainment Enterprises stock makes it unattractive for the owners to sell and pay back investors. The stock, which lost 10% on Monday despite a broader market rally, witnessed delivery-based transactions of 18.6 million shares, totalling about Rs 520 crore. Capital International was reportedly among the buyers of the stock on Tuesday, while SBI Funds Management and Kotak Mutual Fund were among the sellers of the pledged equity. Read More

Bar of Bank… RBI has ordered Punjab and Maharashtra Co-operative Bank not to do any business for six months and capped depositor withdrawals at Rs 1,000, throwing the lives of thousands of traders, self-employed and daily wage earners into disarray. The regulator has also appointed an administrator for the bank. Read More

Meanwhile...SBI has approached the Sebi, seeking a one-time exception for mutual funds over a rule on segregation of assets so that they could be part of a resolution plan being worked on for DHFL. The nation's top bank is apprehensive of a systemic risk if the ongoing efforts to finalise the resolution plan for the indebted home financier fall flat, said two people with direct knowledge of the matter. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,634  -110.7
13,588 + 23.28
30,183  -383.1
15,339 + 298.0
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Morgan Credits, the holding company controlled by Yes Bank co-founder Rana Kapoor, prepaid another Rs 70 crore non-convertible debentures (NCDs) from Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management, taking its total prepayments to Rs 792 crore.

    IDBI Bank has put up loans worth Rs 9,500 crore for sale, and the accounts offered to potential buyers include the KKR-backed JBF Petrochemicals and JBF Industries, and Anil Ambani's Reliance Communications.

    Reliance Jio wants 5G auctions to be put off until telecom operators conduct trials and develop use cases for the airwaves priced "exorbitantly high", a senior executive said, in a rare instance where the telco seems to have found common ground with rivals Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea.

    PTC India, India's top power trading company, is in talks with potential suitors to sell two subsidiaries — non-bank lender PTC Financial Services and renewable energy firm PTC Energy.

    Canara Bank, Union Bank of India and Punjab National Bank, the acquiring banks in the mega mergers announced by the government last month, could face funding pressures in the near term that could either force them to curtail loans or book deposits at a higher cost, India Ratings said in its mid-year banking outlook for fiscal 2020.

UnQuote: WHAT NEXT?
Prices can sustain only with follow-up action from govt
Sanjeev Prasad, Kotak Institutional Equities

Day Planner:

    API crude oil stock change
    BoJ monetary policy meeting minutes
    US Fed Evans speech
    UN General Assembly
    ECB non-monetary policy meeting

OUTLOOK

REAL ESTATE
    Real estate is in trouble and may not get much of primary demand. The fundamentals in real estate would be weak for some more time and therefore one has to be very selective in the space. But there is a lot of secondary demand with people refurbishing, adding additional units to do their current homes or their current building. That is one part.

IT & PHARMA
    Rajat Sharma of Sana Securities says he still likes pharma and IT because of the negative news on these sectors. These are sectors where valuations are still very reasonable. Auto is the other one but then the only thing is you need never know is when the auto cycle revives.

RUPEE
    Fitch Solutions Macro Research says the Indian rupee is expected to remain on a "broad depreciatory path against the US dollar". "Over the short term, a narrowing of real interest differentials with the US and a worsening terms of trade would put pressure on the domestic currency, while RBI's focus on growth support would likely spur foreign exchange market interventions to limit rupee strength," the report said.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
InterGlobe Aviation Ltd. 24 Sep, 2019 | 09:22 AM IST buyBuy
Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. 24 Sep, 2019 | 09:21 AM IST buyBuy


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