Tuesday, 13 August 2019

Trump winked first & stocks bounced! Plus, what else to watch in today's market

MORNING NEWSLETTER

14 Aug, 2019 | 08:31 AM IST


Good Morning!

Did Donald Trump wink first? It is apparent that pressure from home businesses and concerns over economic fallout of the tit-for-tat tariff war are making the US President take a step back in the cut-throat trade war. But then, as one analyst said, we have seen this film before, and it might be naive to think too much on the back of this headline!

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Stocks bounced worldwide, the dollar rebounded and safe havens retreated after the US delayed tariffs on some Chinese products. SGX Nifty traded 20 points higher in Singapore at 7 am (IST), signalling a possible rebound for Dalal Street after Tuesday's massive fall. Read More

    Asian shares joined a global equities rally. MSCI's Asia-Pacific index (ex-Japan) rose 0.4%, KOSPI 1.2% and Nikkei 0.8%.
    Wall Street rallied overnight. Dow rose 372 points, or 1.44%, the S&P500 42 points, or 1.48%, and Nasdaq 152 points, or 1.95%
    Oil prices fell after industry data showed US crude inventories unexpectedly rose last week. Brent crude fell 35 cents to $60.95 a barrel while US oil slipped 46 cents to $56.64.

LOOK WHO'S

Thaw. Is it?... US President Donald Trump on Tuesday backed off his Sept 1 deadline for 10% tariffs on remaining Chinese imports, delaying duties on cellphones, laptops and other consumer goods, in the hopes of blunting their impact on US holiday sales. The move sent stocks sharply higher and drew cautious relief from retailers and technology groups. On Wall Street, market bellwether Apple soared 4.2% while Nasdaq gained 2%. Read More

    Back home, Sun Pharma earnings rose in double digits for first time in 2 years, signalling a likely pharma revival

Morale Booster... The government will not operationalise the new CSR provisions in the recently-amended Companies Act that make violations punishable by jail, following intense lobbying by a jittery India Inc. The followup rules required to implement the provisions will not be issued, the government said. Read More

    FinMin may soon consult the Law Ministry on how best to provide relief to FPIs from the super-rich surcharge
    Partial guarantee scheme for stressed NBFCs operationalised to let PSU banks buy assets and provide liquidity

WHO'S
Slow, slower, slowest...

India's auto sales recorded their steepest fall in nearly two decades in July as weak consumer sentiments, fuelled by high vehicle ownership costs and sparse credit availability hit demand again. SIAM data showed vehicle sales last month dropped 18.71 per cent. Previously the sharpest decline of 21.81% was recorded in December 2000. Read More

Spoiler Alert!... Malls and restaurant owners are wary of RIL's 'first-day, first show' movie plan for premium Jio Gigafiber customers, which they said could impact the mall economy and jeopardise revenue streams. RIL said its first-day, first-show movie service will be launched in mid-2020. Read More

Meanwhile...
The outlook for Indian real estate fell to a 21-month low in the quarter to June, indicating a significant decline in optimism regarding the performance of the sector in next six months, showed a joint survey done by Ficci, Nardeco and Knight Frank. Read More
KEY INDICES
15,602  -345.55
12,519  -180.07
27,729  -702.8
15,424  -396.95
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to watch

    As a precursor to Future Retail's impending stake sale to Amazon, its key shareholders and group firm Future Coupons have entered into a shareholders' agreement, allowing the latter to attend board meetings and have key shareholders' rights.

    Infosys' Australia revenue has crossed $1 billion, making it the third-largest export market for the company. It gets 85% of its revenue from the US and European markets.

    HPCL has finally recognised its majority owner ONGC as its promoter in public filings, following a harsh directive from the market regulator.

    Reliance Infra on Tuesday reported a 20% rise in consolidated net profit for June quarter, even as auditors said there were concerns over its ability to continue its business.

    Standard Life is looking to sell up to 3.2% in HDFC Life, the largest life insurer by market capitalisation through an offer for sale.

    KKR is set to acquire about 92% of the preschool and school chains that comprise EuroKids, Kangaroo Kids and Billabong High for about Rs 1,500-2,000 crore in the largest FDI in educational sector.

UnQuote: The Rot Within!
Revive animal spirits? Where is the demand to boost earnings growth?
Raunak Onkar, PPFAS Mutual Fund

Day Planner:

    Q1 Earnings: Grasim | IDBI | IDFC | Reliance Capital | GMR Infra
    India July WPI inflation print
    India July balance of trade data
    US API crude stock change data
    China July factory output print

OUTLOOK
RUPEE
    Rushabh Maru of Anand Rathi Stock Brokers says the rupee remains under pressure as the Chinese yuan continues to weaken. It may gradually head towards the 72 mark in the short term

GOLD
    Analysts say gold is attractive in a world of uncertainty, and a case can be made for it to rise to $2,000 level, based on the activities of the world's central banks and $14 trillion negative-yielding debt

ZINC
    While zinc futures gained on Tuesday, but analysts said the metal continues to be under pressure from rising supplies of concentrate and expectations of a market surplus in the second half of the year.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
United Spirits Ltd. 13 Aug, 2019 | 09:14 AM IST buyBuy
Marico Ltd. 13 Aug, 2019 | 09:12 AM IST buyBuy


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