Tuesday, 6 August 2019

Indian economy showing Lipstick Effect! Plus, what to watch in today's market

MORNING NEWSLETTER

7 Aug, 2019 | 08:26 AM IST


Good Morning!

The Lipstick Effect is now at play in the Indian economy! The economic jargon used to define stingy consumer behaviour in crisis times, when they spend more on low-ticket luxury and instant gratification items, is on full display in latest Nielsen data, which showed urban Indians are increasingly shifting to cheaper daily essentials, amid a feeling that they have lost net worth!

70563183

STREET PULSE: Where we stand
    Nifty futures on Singapore Exchange traded nearly 47 points down at 7 am (IST), signalling a possible tepid start for Dalal Street. Asian stocks opened mixed this morning, despite US shares having clawed back some of Monday's rout. Japanese shares saw modest drop, while Korean equities edged higher. On Wall Street, the Dow rose 311 points, the S&P500 gained 37.03 points and the Nasdaq 107.23 points. Read More

    Brent crude has slid into the bear market, as the US-China trade spat threatened to expand into a currency war and investors despaired about the damage to crude demand. On Tuesday, Brent fell 1.5 per cent, thus completing an over 20 per cent drop from a late-April peak to meet the common definition of bear market. On Wednesday, prices fell amid demand worries, although a drop in US inventories cushioned the drop. Brent futures slipped 24 cents to $58.70 a barrel while WTI futures fell 20 cents to $53.43. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Respite?... Senior People's Bank of China officials reassured foreign companies on Tuesday that the yuan won't continue to weaken significantly, after the Chinese currency fell below 7 per dollar for the first time since 2008. They said the companies' ability to buy and sell dollars would remain normal. Read More

D-Street gets an upgrade... Credit Suisse has upgraded Indian market to a 'small overweight' from 'market weight' owing to improvement in valuations relative to Asian markets, high real interest rate, a negative correlation with global bond yields and low sensitivity to the dollar and the renminbi. Read More

WHO'S
Look, who is tightening the purse strings...

Growth in the fast-moving consumer goods sector has slumped in last four quarters in a row since July-September 2018, both by value and volume, as consumers shifted to cheaper daily essentials in urban markets and rural growth slowed. Value growth, or revenue earned, fell from 16.5 per cent in July-September 2018 to 10 per cent in the June quarter this year, Nielsen data showed. Growth by volume, or the number of packs sold, dropped from 13.4 per cent to 6.2 per cent in the same period. Read More

Cockpit row... IndiGo cofounder Rakesh Gangwal has told other directors of the airline that he cannot vote for a special resolution to expand the size of the board, until they agree to prevent fellow co-founder Rahul Bhatia from getting more powers and put in place a new policy on related-party transactions. Read More

Meanwhile...
About 60 of the 220 NSE-listed companies that have published annual reports so far for FY19 have not fully spent the amount mandated for corporate social responsibility activities. They include India's most valuable firm TCS, lenders Kotak Mahindra Bank, Karur Vysya Bank Federal Bank, AU Small Finance, RBL Bank, and Zee, among others. Read More
KEY INDICES
15,804 + 314.7
12,495 + 210.74
28,022 + 374.05
15,515  -3.75
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to watch

    Airtel Digital TV, Warburg Pincus and Dish TV have reached an agreement on merging the two businesses. A formal announcement is expected in four-six weeks.

    IIFL Wealth and Asset Management has emerged frontrunner to buy out L&T Finance Wealth Management, which handles client money to the tune of Rs 25,600 crore.

    RIL and BP have agreed to set up a 51:49 joint venture to operate their fuel retailing business, targeting expanding number of filling stations to 5,500 in five years and offer home delivery of fuel.

    Tata Steel has terminated the definitive agreements to sell its Southeast Asian businesses to China's Hesteel Group after the Chinese steel major failed to get regulatory approvals.

    Temasek is set to increase its stake in Jaipur-based AU Small Finance Bank by the end of this calendar year even as the fast-growing bank has set its sights on converting into a full-fledged commercial bank.

    Ujjivan Financial Services has decided to dilute about 13-15% of its stake in Ujjivan Small Finance Bank to raise about Rs 1,000-1,200 crore through share sale via IPO.

UnQuote: Silver lining!
Pessimism is overdone in a lot of sectors and stocks
Sanjiv Bhasin, IIFL Securities

Day Planner:

    Q1 Earnings: HCL Tech, M&M, Tata Steel, Adani Ports, Cipla,
    RBI's bimonthly money policy
    US API crude oil stock change
    BoJ summery of opinions

OUTLOOK
CRUDE OIL
    Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch says concerns about demand and escalating trade conflict are going to keep the oil market in a stranglehold for sometime

IRON ORE
    Iron ore has collapsed into a bear market after soaring in the first half of 2019 as the steel-making commodity has fallen out of favour amid a broader slump in metals amid the trade war.

SECTOR
    Neeraj Dewan of Quantum Securities says domestic consumption, which earlier had come to the market's rescue, may do so again if things were to revive from these levels.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Somany Ceramics Ltd. 6 Aug, 2019 | 01:09 PM IST buyBuy
V Mart Retail Ltd. 6 Aug, 2019 | 12:07 PM IST SellReduce


No comments:

Post a Comment