Thursday, 8 August 2019

FinMin meeting with FPIs to decide shape of Budget rollback. Plus, what to watch in today's market

MORNING NEWSLETTER

9 Aug, 2019 | 08:22 AM IST


Good Morning!

Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Thursday made a strong pitch to settle the Article 370 debate, calling upon political parties to rise above differences in national interest and promising Kashmiris a new deal for rapid development, better pay & perks for govt servants, more opportunities for youth, efficient local governance, early polls and quick efforts to resurrect the state as a tourist hub. Political analysts said success of Modi's valiant move will be incumbent on delivery on these promises.

70597867

STREET PULSE: Where we stand
    SGX Nifty traded flat at 7 am (IST), signalling a possible positive start for Dalal Street. Asian shares caught the tail of a Wall Street rally this morning, helped by China's better-than-expected export figures. Nikkei advanced 0.6%, while Australian stocks stood flat and the KOSPI gained 1.0%. On Wall Street, the S&P500 registered its largest one-day percentage gain in two months on Thursday, while Dow and Nasdaq climbing over 1%. Read More

    Crude oil prices rose, supported by expectations of more production cuts by OPEC. Brent futures rose 23 cents to $57.61 a barrel while WTI futures gained 25 cents to $52.79. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Ready for Rollback?... Leading FIIs will meet top finance ministry officials, led by Economic Affairs secretary Atanu Chakraborty, on Friday as the government seeks to ease concerns over dwindling foreign portfolio inflows after a Budget move to increase income-tax surcharge on them. Besides the tax surcharge, these investors are likely to raise issues such as restricted access to corporate bond markets and tighter KYC norms. Read More

Desperate Push... In an all-out bid to convince RBI, Indiabulls founder Sameer Gehlaut has promised to relinquish all control and rights, have no say in the management and bring the promoter group shareholding below 10 per cent in the proposed bank to be formed after the merger of Indiabulls Housing Finance with Lakshmi Vilas Bank. Read More

WHO'S
Trade war threatens to recoil on the originator...

The escalation in US-China trade war has brought forward the next US recession, according to a majority of economists polled by Reuters who now expect the Fed to cut rates again in September and once more next year. The economists who took part the August 6-8 poll saw 45% chances of the US economy slipping into a recession in two years, up from 35% who said so in the previous poll and the highest since this question was first asked in May 2018. Read More

Bad Start... Many retail investors missed out on the Affle India IPO as their bids got rejected because of their inability to navigate through the newly-introduced UPI payment platform. Nearly 14,000 retail investors who applied through the UPI platform -- which was 50% of total UPI applications received -- did not go through, said an investment banker. Read More

Meanwhile...
In a relief for new enterprises, taxation authority CBDT has clarified that scrutiny of startups not recognised by the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade on the 'angel tax' issue will be conducted only after sanction from higher authorities. This followed an assurance from the Finance Minister in her Budget speech. Read More
KEY INDICES
15,795 + 110.05
12,574 + 92.43
28,110 + 408.4
15,868 + 284.6
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to watch

    DHFL says it may not be able to meet its repayment obligations due in the immediate future to the lenders, who are part of the inter-creditor agreement. The NFBC said despite facing a liquidity crisis since September 2018, it has so far paid back over Rs 41,000 crore

    Yes Bank has embarked on a plan to generate $285 million (Rs 2,000 crore) by selling shares through a qualified institutional placement, the success of which will be crucial for the bank's survival, said people with the knowledge of the matter.

    M&M says it plans to open a plant in Flint, Michigan, to make vehicles including mail delivery trucks for the US market, a move that could create up to 2,000 jobs

    Auto parts maker Jamna Auto Industries says it might shut all its plants in August due to weak demand from its customers, underscoring the extent of a slowdown in the auto sector.

    Uco Bank has approached LIC to acquire up to 15% stake in it as the bank is looking to pare government holding to below 75% to comply with sectoral regulations.

    Subhash Chandra's Essel Infraprojects is in the final talks with the Adani Group to sell parts of operational solar energy portfolio for about Rs 2,000 crore.

UnQuote: EYEING MIDCAPS?
We need growth to rebound to buy smallcap or midcap stocks
Amit Jeswani, Stallion Asset

Day Planner:

    Q1 earnings: Hindalco | OIL | Pfizer | Shree Cement | Spicejet | SAIL
    India forex reserve data
    Japan Q2 GDP data
    China July inflation print

OUTLOOK
GOLD
    Analysts at Societe Generale say gold fever could be sustained by factors including the current stage of the economic cycle, the scarcity of safe-haven assets and central bank purchases.

BANKING
    Nischal Maheshwari of Centrum Broking says it would be better to stick with the corporate banks at the moment, given that we are seeing some amount of NPAs getting resolved.

VALUE BUYING
    Kuntal Shah of Oaklane Capital Management says the best way to go value buying is to develop insight into a business, the management and its competition over time and then work backwards.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Titan Company Ltd. 8 Aug, 2019 | 01:30 PM IST buyBuy
HCL Technologies Ltd. 8 Aug, 2019 | 01:15 PM IST SellNeutral


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