Thursday 16 April 2020

China posts first GDP decline on record | Sebi snoops around for market raiders | NBFCs send out SOS to RBI for moratorium

MORNING NEWSLETTER

17 Apr, 2020 | 08:53 AM IST


Good Morning!

Only clear signs of FPIs' return can offer some certainty about a decisive turn of the tide in the market. The market hopes with a flood of money sloshing around globally, it is only a matter of time before FIIs hit the Indian shores in search of yields as interest rates have become negative or zero in much of the developed world. India stands out in among the emerging markets with strong forex reserves, and inflation and CAD largely in check. How fast that flow starts will depend on how quickly India can get out of the current health crisis without risking a second wave, and without the economy bearing much brunt. Now, that's not an easy ask.

75192125

STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded 211 points higher at 7am (IST), signalling some more gains ahead on Dalal Street. Elsewhere in Asia, stocks recovered to one-month high following Wall Street's lead overnight, as investors sought silver linings in a run of data that showed the world is in its worst recession in decades. Read More

    South Korea's Kospi jumped 3.3 per cent, Taiwan's TWSE 3.08 per cent, Japan's Nikkei 2.7 per cent, Hong Kong's Hang Seng 2.26 per cent and CHina's Shanghai Composite 1.28 per cent.

    US stocks ended higher in overnight trade. The Dow climbed 33 points, or 0.14 per cent; S&P500 rose 16 points, or 0.58 per cent, and the Nasdaq 139 points, or 1.66 per cent.

    Oil prices rose on Friday with Brent gaining nearly 3% after President Donald Trump laid out guidelines on reviving a US economy. Brent prices rose by 75 cents, or 2.7%, to $28.57 a barrel, while WTI crude for May delivery, rose by 1 cent, or 0.1%, to $19.88

    The rupee tanked 43 paise to settle at an all-time low of 76.87 against the US dollar on Thursday, amid rising concerns over coronavirus-led economic slowdown.

LOOK WHO'S

US PLANS TO END LOCKDOWN... US President Donald Trump laid out new guidelines on Thursday for US states to emerge from a coronavirus shutdown in a staggered, three-stage approach. The push to states to lift restrictions came after Thursday's data showed a record 20 million Americans sought unemployment benefits amid shuttered stores and restaurants, pushing the unemployment rate to 8.2%. Read More

INDIA INC READIES TO RESUME WORK... At least eight publicly listed companies have taken steps to restart operations with a limited workforce after obtaining permission from the authorities, stock exchange filings showed. They included adhesive maker Pidilite Industries, dry cell maker Eveready Industries, fluorochemicals leader Navin Fluorine, pharma ingredients manufacturer Hikal, extruded ring snacks maker Prataap Snacks, carbon steel pipe maker Man Industries, and intermediate oils supplier Yasho Industries. The stocks gained 1-10% on Thursday on BSE. Read More

JOB/PAY CUTS UNDER PMO WATCH... EPFO and ESIC have been asked to collate data on job losses, salary cuts and delayed payment. Once the data is collated, a report will be presented to the Prime Minister's Office. The labour ministry initiative comes as stressed economic situation has raised fears of widespread layoffs/salary reductions in India's organised sector despite Prime Minister Narendra Modi's repeated appeals to employers to be considerate to their employees. Read More

WHO'S

SEBI VIGIL AGAINST FPI RAIDERS... Sebi on Thursday evening asked custodian banks to identify offshore funds whose 'beneficial owners' are from nations like Pakistan, Taiwan, North Korea Iran, Myanmar and a few other Asian countries, and give details by Friday morning. Earlier this week, custodian banks were told to give details of 'ultimate beneficial owners' of FPIs based in China and Hong Kong amid concerns that in a falling market, many listed Indian companies could face takeover threat from well-heeled investors who could be backed by the Chinese government. Read More

USFDA LET GUARD DOWN?... The USFDA may have dropped standards in hunt for chloroquine to fight coronavirus. Reuters quoted US government sources as saying that there is reason to be concerned about the quality of Resochin and its makers, located in India and Pakistan, which the US is using in the fight against COVID-19. Although some rules can be waived in an emergency, the FDA dropped its quality-control standards too far as it scoured the world for scarce supplies of chloroquine drugs, the sources said on the condition of anonymity. Read More

AUTO FIRMS CUT PAYS... Auto companies are set to cut salaries as they seek to reduce costs with the Covid-19 lockdown having worsened already bleak prospects, said people with knowledge of the matter, adding that they are trying to avoid sacking people. Bajaj Auto and TVS Motor have already resolved to cut salaries, at least temporarily. Commercial vehicle makers such as Ashok Leyland and Tata Motors, the hardest hit in FY20, may also do so shortly. Read More

Meanwhile...
NBFCs SEND OUT SOS… Non-bank lenders with large exposure to construction finance and housing finance firms have written to the RBI governor, saying they will run out of cash by May-June if the moratorium is not extended to them. NBFCs are also worried that rating agencies will soon start downgrading them. Read More
KEY INDICES
12,760 + 226.85
10,544 + 177.12
19,400 + 342.95
12,464  -239.0
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

For in-depth stock analysis, live market updates & more, download ET Markets App

Stocks to Watch >>>

    RIL on Thursday raised Rs 8,500 crore through an NCD issue, the proceeds of which will be used to refinance debt.

    Tata Steel is seeking a 45-day delay in payments to vendors, citing the Covid-19 lockdown.

    TCS says it expects peak disruption to its business due to Covid-19 in June quarter but hopes demand to recover in third quarter.

    Blackstone, Warburg Pincus and India's sovereign fund NIIF have joined the race to buy 30% stake in Container Corporation of India.

    Brokerages slashed target prices on Wipro by 2-27% after the company disappointed on revenue and margin fronts in March quarter.

UnQuote: NOT BANKS
If you want to play safe, look beyond banks
Pratik Gupta, Kotak Institutional Equities

The DAY PLANNER

    RBI Forex Reserves
    China Q1 GDP Growth Rate
    China March Industrial Output
    Euro Area March Inflation Output
    US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
    IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings

OUTLOOK
PICK UP BLUE CHIPS
    Sanjiv Bhasin of IIFL Securities says this is a very good time to pick up some of the blue chips you have been missing in last three years like Bajaj Finance, HDFC, HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. "I wholeheartedly think a 16-week SIP over here would be the ideal investment you made in last three years," says he. Read More

BANKS HAVE PAIN AHEAD
    Siddhartha Khemka of Motilal Oswal says whenever credit growth revives in the economy, some of the lenders will lose market shares and some of the larger ones, like the HDFCs of the world or Kotaks or ICICI Bank or even for that matter an SBI, which have huge market shares and base, may gain over some of the mid-sized banks. Over all it is definitely going to be a big pain period for overall banking space," says he. Read More

SWINGING BETWEEN HOPE & FEAR
    Nilesh Shah of Kotak Mutual Fund says between hope and fear, certainty and uncertainty, the market is trying to find a balance, which is why it is seeing extreme volatility. "Since this is a medical crisis, it will be difficult to say markets and economy have bottomed out till such time we find a medical solution, which allows economic activity to resume on a normalcy," says he. Read More

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Balkrishna Industries Ltd. 17 Apr, 2020 | 08:53 AM IST buyBuy
Hero MotoCorp Ltd. 17 Apr, 2020 | 08:52 AM IST buyBuy


No comments:

Post a Comment