Monday, 27 April 2020

Govt plans major credit line for MSMEs | Axis Bank to acquire 30% in Max Life | RIL plans first public fund raise in 29 years

MORNING NEWSLETTER

28 Apr, 2020 | 08:48 AM IST


Good Morning!

RBI's Rs 50,000 crore special credit line for the Rs 45,000 crore credit risk fund industry was timely intervention to help restore investor confidence in mutual funds, in particular, and financial markets in general. But on the ground, its implemention might not be smooth. For, most fund houses may have exhausted selling top-rated papers to meet redemption pressure in last two months and could be left with only lower-rated securities. In that case, banks might be hesitant to keep non-investment grade paper as collateral to lend to these funds.

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MARKET CUES: Where we stand >>>
    Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded 43 points lower at 7 am (IST) in signs that Dalal Street could be headed for a weak session

    Nifty50 climbed over 1 per cent on Monday but could not breach the stiff resistance in the 9,350-9,390 region on a closing basis. It formed a Gravestone Doji on the daily chart, as the bears made a comeback and cut gains

    Options data indicated Nifty's immediate trading range between 9,000 and 9,500 levels. India VIX fell 2.76 per cent to 38.04 level, extending its gradual fall since last four weeks.

    Elsewhere in Asia, shares traded mixed on Tuesday after a strong Wall Street session as easing lockdown restrictions by some countries. Shares slipped in Japan, ticked higher in Hong Kong and fluctuated in South Korea and China.

    Wall Street saw a modest rally overnight. Dow rose 1.51%, the S&P500 1.47% and the Nasdaq Composite 1.11%.

    Oil fell on Tuesday, adding to huge declines in the previous session, on worries about limited capacity to store crude worldwide. WTI crude futures dropped by as much as 7.1% to $12.01 a barrel while Brent crude futures fell 3.5% to $19.72

    The rupee rose by 21 paise to close at 76.25 against the US dollar on Monday, tracking positive domestic equities and weakening of the American currency in the overseas market.

LOOK WHO'S

Big MSME credit line planned... The government is considering a proposal to guarantee Rs 3 lakh crore of loans to small businesses as part of a plan to restart the economy reeling under the impact of a 40-day lockdown. Under the proposal, small firms will be eligible to borrow an additional 20% of their credit limit. The extra debt will be fully backed by the government, which will set up a special fund to pay for any defaults. Read More

Axis Bank buys stake in Max Life... Axis Bank is set to acquire nearly 30% of Max Life Insurance from Max Financial Services, the flagship listed company of Analjit Singh, for Rs 1,600 crore, ET reported. India's fourth-largest private sector bank will become a strategic partner of the life insurance firm, in which Max Financial will eventually hold 70% after a two-stage transaction. Read More

IPO-bound LIC on a high… LIC underwrote the highest number of policies for a financial year in over six years despite a washed-out closing fortnight in March. January-March is the period when life insurers typically process higher volumes of business. In terms of individual new business, LIC issued 21.9 million policies during the financial year just gone by. The IPO-bound insurer's first-year premium income grew 25% to Rs 51,000 crore compared with an industry growth of about 11.6 per cent. Read More

RIL plans public fund raise.... RIL is planning a rights issue, its first public fund raise in 29 years. Its board will meet on April 30 to "consider a proposal to issue equity shares to existing shareholders on rights basis." Through a stock exchange notice on Monday, RIL said its board would meet on April 30 to "consider a proposal to issue equity shares to existing shareholders on rights basis". Earlier this month, the RIL board had approved a proposal to raise Rs 25,000 crore through NCDs. Read More

AND WHO'S

Graded exit from lockdown... The national lockdown is likely to be replaced with a graded and somewhat piecemeal lifting of restrictions with the least curbs in green zones or districts with low prevalence or no Covid-19 cases, while tough stipulations will remain in red zones, which currently include major cities like Delhi, Mumbai and Ahmedabad. Officials said the sum of consultations the Prime Minister had with chief ministers on Monday was that most states wanted the lockdown to continue with some easing of curbs, depending on the situation in a particular area. Read More

RBI buying govt debt?... RBI bought chunks of debt just after the government sold it, the latest data showed, further fueling talk that the central bank is supporting the nation's fund-raising efforts. Traders have been speculating over the central bank's role in bill auctions this month as a handful of bids lapped up sales and drove yields to the lowest in more than a decade. While RBI hasn't taken part in any government auctions, the latest data suggest that it could be buying short-term debt in the secondary market within hours of a sale. Read More

Firms with Franklin exposure hit... Companies with investments in the six shuttered credit funds run by Franklin Templeton now stare at a possible downgrade of their credit ratings as their liquidity profile could undergo a change if they are unable to redeem their investments. Rating firms have begun to demand from clients their exposure to the fund to figure out the magnitude of the hit that these companies could face. Read More

Meanwhile...
States told to grab Covid opportunity... PM is learnt to have suggested that states should explore the possibility of attracting investments in view of the likelihood of many companies exiting from Chinese cities in the wake of the Covid-19 virus. The PM told the states CMs that they should be ready for such investments as India, with abundant manpower skill and improved infrastructure, has the potential to become an alternative destination. Read More
KEY INDICES
12,894 + 198.0
10,780 + 146.02
20,081 + 494.5
13,121 + 304.95
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

For in-depth stock analysis, live market updates & more, download ET Markets App

Stocks to Watch >>>

    ONGC has raised Rs 1,000 crore via commercial papers at a discount rate of 4.13% per annum, signalling the debt market's strong interest in India's largest explorer despite an oil price crash.

    IndusInd Bank reported a 16% fall in net profit on-year due to a spike in bad loan provisions, but said it is back on track to improve its deposits after a brief flight.

    HDFC Life's profit declined 14.5% for the fourth quarter ended March to Rs 311.65 crore due to a drop in investment income and a rise in provisions.

    US private equity firm KKR has agreed to buy five solar assets totalling 317 MW from Shapoorji Pallonji Group for Rs 1,554 crore ending months of negotiations.

    Vodafone Group's $200 million (about Rs 1,530 crore) infusion into Vodafone Idea is grossly inadequate, according to analysts.

    Bharti Airtel has awarded a multicrore-rupee contract to Nokia to expand and modernise its 4G network in nine circles, including rural areas.

UnQuote: Stock Ideas
Use market correction to load up on healthcare, pharma & consumer stock
Nilesh Shah, Envision Capital

The DAY PLANNER

    Q4 Earnings: Axis Bank | Atul
    Japan March Unemplyment Rate (05.00 am)
    Russia March-end YoY GDP Growth (08.30 pm)
    US CB Consumer Confidence April (07.30 pm)

OUTLOOK
OMCs stare at big loss
    Independent market analyst Anand Tandon says inventory loss is inevitable for OMCs. "It depends on how much inventory they were carrying and at what price. That said, it is still pretty much a regulated market, and you have a price which is already fixed for the consumer. I would imagine that marketing margins would have been fairly strong and would probably sustain. Once does hope that the government will do the strategic sale when the market stabilises," says he. >>>>>>

Be cautious on banks
    Dipan Mehta of Elixir Equities says one is better off being a bit cautious on the banking side, purely on account of the uncertainty as far as their loan book is concerned. "One does not see what kind of slippages may come and how the NPAs may move up. At the same time, some of the smaller banks may struggle even in terms of raising resources. As for banks, NBFCs, markets are completely justified in trading these stocks much lower," says he. >>>>>>

Stay put in pharma, chemicals
    Srinivas Rao Ravuri of PGIM India MF says a portfolio will be safe in pharma, chemicals and utilities. "These three sectors are hardly impacted by the short-term events that we are seeing. In fact, the pharma sector actually would see a big benefit and positive impact. Stocks from this sector had actually gone nowhere in last three-four years whereas most of the companies continued to invest in building their capabilities and capacities both in terms of R&D and physical capacities," says he. >>>>>>

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 28 Apr, 2020 | 08:42 AM IST buyBuy
Hero MotoCorp Ltd. 28 Apr, 2020 | 08:33 AM IST buyBuy


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