Tuesday 21 April 2020

Facebook invests $5.7b in Reliance Jio | Oil bulls on MCX take a hard knock | Vodafone Idea pays up more AGR dues

MORNING NEWSLETTER

22 Apr, 2020 | 08:57 AM IST


Good Morning!

Sebi curbs on short-selling and enhanced margins have sent most of the FPI trade overseas, as is evident from the 250% jump in Singapore Exchange's Nifty futures contracts in March. In its determined effort to check volatility on domestic bourses, Sebi has further extended the restrictions till May 31. That makes the current market setup artificial in the absence of bets on both sides. And it might turn out to be a trap for retail investors as shorts will come back with a vengeance when these curbs go.

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MARKET CUES: Where we stand >>>
    Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded 70 points lower at 7 am (IST) signalling more distress ahead on Dalal Street.

    Nifty50 slipped below the 9,000 level on Tuesday and analysts said only a close above the 9,100 level can instill confidence among traders. The RSI has turned southward from the neutral zone of 50, suggesting weakness.

    India VIX moved up 4% to 45.20 level. Its rebound from the support of its previous swing highs may cause a pause in recent market bounce

    Elsewhere in Asia, stocks retreated after a risk-off session on Wall Street. Shares fell in Tokyo, Seoul and Sydney, though declines were shallower than those in the US on Tuesday.

    US stocks fell sharply for a second day on Tuesday, taking a cue from a further slide in oil futures. Dow dropped 632 points, or 2.7%; the S&P500 lost 87 points, or 3.1%, and the Nasdaq 297 points, or 3.5%.

    Crude edged up after a two-day tumble. June delivery WTI crude futures rose as much as 20% to $13.93 a barrel, after tumbling more than 50% over the past two sessions.

    The rupee settled 30 paise lower at 76.83 against the US dollar on Tuesday, tracking weak domestic equities and strengthening of the US dollar overseas.

LOOK WHO'S

Facebook pumps $5.7b into Jio... Facebook on Wednesday announced a $5.7 billion investment in Reliance Industries' telecom unit, making it the largest minority shareholder in Jio Platforms. The social media giant said it would focus on collaborating its messaging platform WhatsApp with Reliance's e-commerce venture JioMart to enable people to connect with businesses, shops and purchase products. Read More

Special loan recast for India Inc... The Indian Banks' Association is finalising a special restructuring proposal to be offered to companies impacted by the Covid-19-induced disruption. The proposal is to allow banks to extend loan tenures without classifying them as nonperforming assets. Bankers feel companies hit by the lockdown will need at least a year to recover, and the March-to-May moratorium is not adequate. The draft proposal could be sent to RBI for approval by Wednesday. Read More

Two-wheeler firms seek to claw back... Bajaj Auto and Honda Motorcycle expect the two wheeler market will slide into a steeper decline in FY21 as lockdown has brought factories and dealerships to a complete standstill. Both are planning for a minimum of 20% decline as the best case scenario, if things were to get back to normalcy sooner rather than later. Honda Motorcycle said it will try to claw back 50% of business within a month once supply chain woes are sorted. Read More

Rights issue rules eased... Sebi has temporarily eased some fund-raising regulations for listed entities to give them faster access to capital markets amid the ongoing coronavirus dislocation. The average market capitalisation required for rights issue has been cut to Rs 100 crore from Rs 250 crore and minimum listing period lowered to 18 months from 3 years. The minimum subscription required for a rights issue has been cut to 75% of the offer size from 90%, subject to certain conditions. The validity of Sebi observations on all IPOs and rights issues has been extended by six months. Read More

WHO'S

MCX oil bulls take a knock... Crude oil bulls on MCX have been badly singed as they cumulatively have to cough up Rs 332.3 crore more after the exchange in a circular on Tuesday fixed the due date rate of the April 20 expiry crude contract at a negative Rs 2,884 a barrel. The hapless bulls saw their punts evaporate on Monday night when the Nymex crude contract, that MCX crude mirrors, hit a negative $37.63 a barrel after the domestic bourse closed at 5 pm. Brokers are now on edge as some of them fear that their clients might not pay up or chose the arbitration route instead. Read More

H-1B visa holders jittery... President Donald Trump has said he will sign an executive order to 'temporarily suspend' immigration into the US, citing "the attack from the Invisible Enemy". The announcement threw into turmoil the already-fraught careers and lives of more than three million guest workers and students — including nearly a million from India. US Citizenship and Immigration Services data shows nearly three out of four current H-1B visa holders (approximately 310,000) are from India. Read More

DA hike put on hold... The government has decided to put on hold any further increase to dearness allowance for its employees this year, because of the strain on its finances in the wake of Covid-19, a source said. The Cabinet will take up a proposal on this regard today. It had approved a 4% increase to DA in March, to 21%. The government's tax revenues have plummeted because of the Covid-19 lockdown. Read More

Meanwhile...
Startups defer IPO plans... Indian startups are deferring IPO plans, cutting investment round sizes and accepting unfavourable bridge rounds with compressed valuations. In a bid to extend their cash runway, startups across sectors, including BigBasket, Capital Float, Shop101 and BankBazaar, have raised bridge funding rounds from existing investors, and multiple such conversations are under way across firms and stages, fund managers said. Read More
KEY INDICES
12,709  -404.95
10,565  -322.06
19,409  -1113.3
12,409  -438.8
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

For in-depth stock analysis, live market updates & more, download ET Markets App

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Singapore's sovereign wealth fund GIC has raised its stake in Bandhan Bank by 1.1% to 4.49%, showing confidence in its business model.

    Vodafone Idea has paid its adjusted gross revenue-based dues of Rs 1,367 crore for the January-March quarter to the government.

    IndiGo is working with aircraft lessors to defer lease rental payments by six months as flight suspension has hit its finances.

    HUL and Nestle India have resumed operations at all manufacturing plants, but can't utilise full capacities due to curbs on worker movement.

    HDFC has slashed its lending rate by 15 basis points amid a gradual decline in cost of borrowing across the system.

    IDFC First Bank, Yes Bank and IndusInd Bank, considered vulnerable in a risk-off environment, together raised Rs 700 crore in short-term debt.

    Pilani Investment & Industries, the holding company of some of the Birla group of companies, is raising Rs 1,000 crore by issuing CPs.

    ICICI Bank has confirmed that it had a $100 million exposure to a trading firm Hin Leong being investigated by Singapore for irregularities.

UnQuote: Reality Check
Market perception far more optimistic than ground reality
Raamdeo Agrawal, Motilal Oswa

The DAY PLANNER

    Q4 Earnings: RIIL | Infomedia
    UK March Inflation Rate (11.30 am)
    US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (8 pm)
    US Feb House Price Index (6.30 pm)

OUTLOOK Pharma looks hot
    Daljeet Singh Kohli of Valentis Advisors says he has been a buyer in the pharma space. "Our preference has been mainly towards MNC pharma names, because in this dip, we have got an opportunity to buy some very good companies at very reasonable prices. We are more inclined towards companies with domestic market focus because we will probably have a lot of importance given to healthcare now," says he. Read More

Covid booster for insurance
    Susmit Patodia of Motilal Oswal AMC says insurance is a very interesting sector now. "We have been very bullish on the sector for last year and a half or so. In India, insurance has always been sold as a tax-saving instrument, never for protection. There may be 35 crore policies while the sum assured required is only a 10% penetration. This excites us as Covid-19 is likely to work as an accelerator," he adds. Read More

Stocks not looking safe
    Ajay Srivastava of Dimensions Corporate Finance Services says he is betting on keeping his money in the bank as safely as he can. "Other than whatever I have already invested, I would not put a penny more in this market. You are flying through the clouds. You do not know where the visibility is. You might as well be gambling with your money, which you cannot since all casinos are closed," says he. Read More

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd. 22 Apr, 2020 | 08:54 AM IST buyBuy
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd. 22 Apr, 2020 | 08:44 AM IST buyBuy


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