Tuesday, 7 July 2020

ADIA keen on a bigger slice of Reliance Jio | Banks, auto firms dole out pay hikes | Consumer goods bounce back

MORNING NEWSLETTER

8 Jul, 2020 | 08:50 AM IST


Good Morning!

Warren Buffett was a late investor in Apple; he bought his first 10 million shares only in May, 2016. He has even regretted it once: "I should have appreciated it earlier." This past February, the Oracle of Omaha called Apple "our third business." That was weeks after Berkshire Hathaway offloaded some $800 million worth of Apple stock. The company still held some 5.5 per cent, making it Apple's second largest shareholder. A rapid rise of 24% in the stock this year has now soared the value of that stake to $91 billion, or 43% of Berkshire's entire stock portfolio. It's never late to invest in a good business.

76845365
MARKET CUES: Where do we stand >>>

    Nifty futures on Singapore Exchange traded 51 points higher at 7 am (IST) signalling positive start for Dalal Street.

    On Tuesday, Nifty missed the 10,800 mark by a whisker and formed an indecisive candle on the daily chart, suggesting that it was in a consolidation mode.

    Asian stocks opened mixed on Wednesday amid concern over the economic impact of the coronavirus. Stocks saw modest gains in Japan and Hong Kong, slipped in China and Australia, and were little changed in South Korea.

    S&P500 futures edged higher this morning after negative close overnight. Dow fell nearly 400 points or 1.5%, while the S&P500 slipped 1.1% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq slipped from a record intraday high and closed 0.9% lower.

    The rupee extended the losses and settled 25 paise lower at 74.93 against the US dollar on Tuesday amid volatile trade in domestic equities.

    The dollar held on to Tuesday's gains, the yen retreated while the euro and the Swiss franc were little changed on the day. The pound was near three-week highs against both the greenback and the euro. The offshore yuan traded at 7.0245 per dollar.

    Oil prices eased in early trade on Wednesday as industry data showing a build in US crude stockpiles. Brent crude futures fell 13 cents, or 0.3%, to $42.95 a barrel while WTI crude futures dropped 10 cents, or 0.3%, to $40.52.

    Domestic gold prices fell by Rs 188 to Rs 48,444 per 10 gm on Wednesday while silver prices plunged by Rs 463 to Rs 48,870 per kg. The MCX price of August gold futures jumped 1.16% to Rs 48,785, while silver September futures soared 0.86% Rs 50,220. In international markets, gold traded within a striking distance of the key $1,800 per ounce level on Tuesday.
LOOK WHO'S
Consumer goods bounce back… Sales of consumer goods rebounded in June to levels seen before the lockdown, giving some companies the confidence necessary to forecast single-digit, top-line growth in a quarter expected to have been a washout for other pockets of the economy. Supply chain constraints and operational curbs didn't dent demand, companies said, with some segments of the broader consumer industry likely reporting higher sales than even the year-ago period. Read More

Worst over for job market… The worst seems over for India's job market, CMIE has said, adding that the country is likely to settle at an unemployment rate only slightly higher than that seen before the Covid-induced lockdown. The unemployment rate stood at 7.76% in February, a month before the lockdown. CMIE's latest weekly data showed the unemployment rate rose just 0.1 percentage points in the week ended June 28 to 8.6% and 0.3 percentage points for the week ended July 3 to 8.9%, after falling sharply from 23.5% in May 2020 to 11% in June. Read More

Private lenders offer increments… ICICI Bank has finalised an 8% pay hike for its 80,000 frontline employees despite the economic slowdown. HDFC Bank was the earliest to go ahead with its increments and bonuses. Axis Bank has announced a bonus for 80% of its sub-management-level employees and completed its promotions for the year, but is yet to announce increments. In the wake of the pandemic, RBI has asked banks to go into a capital-conservation mode and asked them to avoid paying dividends. Private lenders Kotak Mahindra Bank, Yes Bank and IDFC First Bank have even announced pay cuts for top managements. Read More

Auto firms to dole out pay hikes… Automobile companies are trying to ensure increments and bonuses are paid this year to keep employee morale high, as the industry battled a deep downturn amid the pandemic. New entrants to the Indian market Kia and MG Motor have already given variable pay and other incentives, while M&M, Hero MotoCorp, Ashok Leyland, TVS Motor, Toyota Kirloskar and Tata Motors are expected to do so in the next month or so. Read More

FM pushes PSUs for capex… Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Tuesday sought to push capital expenditure by the country's top public sector companies, as part of the government's drive to boost investment in the economy and revive growth. She discussed the capex plan of 23 PSUs with their CMDs and secretaries of ministries of petroleum, power, coal, mines and atomic energy. The companies, including IndianOil, NTPC, Coal India, NMDC and SAIL, have been the Centre's go-to entities to not just step up investment but also to milch them at the end of the year by seeking hefty dividends to meet its revenue targets. Read More

AND WHO'S
Thousands of Indian students in US hit… President Donald Trump's order directing foreign students to leave the US if they are not attending in-person classes will affect thousands of Indians, according to immigration experts, who said the controversial move could trigger a spate of legal challenges. In a statement on Monday, US Immigration & Customs Enforcement said students with non-immigrant visas cannot take a full online course load while remaining in the country. Read More

Templeton shut schemes to get more cash… Franklin Templeton Mutual Fund expects to receive over Rs 6,000 crore in its six shut debt schemes on account of coupon receipts, prepayment by issuers and maturity of papers, said the fund's chief investment officer Santosh Kamath. In an audio message to investors — his first communication after the debt scheme fiasco late in April, Kamath said the schemes will aim to sell the securities in the secondary market at an 'optimal cost', provided market conditions improve. Read More

Govt prods private banks to lend… The finance ministry is prodding private sector banks and non-banking financial companies to step up loan approvals and disbursals to small businesses under a government-guaranteed scheme after it emerged that most lenders, barring HDFC Bank, have been slow off the block. Of the Rs 48,000 crore sanctioned by private players, around Rs 20,000 crore is estimated to have been sanctioned by the country's largest private lender, officials said. Read More

Meanwhile...
99% Indian biz now MSMEs… A change in the definition of micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME) has turned India into a country of small businesses as nearly 99% of the entities now fall under the category based on the twin parameters of investment and turnover. An entity can be classified as a micro enterprise if investment is up to Rs 1 crore and turnover does not exceed Rs 5 crore. The corresponding figures are Rs 10 crore and Rs 50 crore for small and Rs 50 crore and Rs 250 crore for medium enterprises. Sources said numbers with the GST authorities show 99% of the entities have a turnover that fits into the MSME definition. Read More
KEY INDICES
15,364 + 66.95
12,840 + 73.18
22,628 + 429.05
15,785 + 320.0
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

For in-depth stock analysis, live market updates & more, download ET Markets App

Stocks to Watch >>>

After putting $750 million (Rs 5,684 crore) to work in Jio Platforms, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority has revived its discussions with Reliance Industries to invest around a billion dollars in its pan-India fibre assets.

The Telangana High Court on Tuesday reserved the judgment in two petitions by Karvy Stock Broking, questioning the government decision to order an SFIO probe into its affairs and asked SFIO not to proceed till the judgement

The board of directors of Yes Bank on Tuesday approved a further public offer of Yes Bank shares. The bank is likely to raise around Rs 15,000 crore to increase its capital adequacy to over 10%.

Reliance Jio has received Rs 43,574 crore from Jaadhu Holdings, a wholly-owned subsidiary of US social media giant Facebook, in exchange for a 9.99 per cent stake.

GMR Group said it has concluded the previously announced partnership for 49% stake sale in its airport arm to Groupe ADP with the original deal terms altered due to the corona pandemic.

The ED on Tuesday registered a money laundering case against GVK group, its chairman, Mumbai International Airport Ltd and its MD, among others, for alleged irregularities worth Rs 705 crore in the development of Mumbai airport.

UnQuote: POLICY PULSE
It's a bad idea to cut China out altogether
Swaminathan Aiyar, Consulting Editor, ET Now

The DAY PLANNER

    Japan May Current Account (05.20 am)
    US June Total Vehicle Sales (06.30 am)
    UK Supplementary Budget (04.30 pm)
    US July 3 MBA Mortgage Applications (04.30 pm)
    EIA July 3 Crude Oil Imports Change (08.00 pm)

OUTLOOK
Should you sell stocks & sit on cash
    Manish Singh of Crossbridge Capital while the case for the stocks to go higher is there, the summer months are going to be more of a sideways. "But there are signs that you should not sell. You should hold your position and you should not look to raise any cash. I am still not of the view you are going to see a rip-roaring rally over the next month. But I maintain that you will see S&P highs towards the latter part of this year or end of Q3 and Q4. So I am very positive and constructive, but I am not making a super-bullish case at this time," says he. Read More

Why are banks raising cash
    Saugata Bhattacharya of Axis Bank says the reason of fund raising depends from bank to bank. "The first thing that needs to happen is balance sheets, capital positions will need to be strengthened in the light of different risks that might emerge in the system at some point in time. And this is one reflection and this is an opportune time for raising money. Secondly, particularly for banks, in light of the pre-eminent position in the government stimulus programme, banks need to raise growth capital," says he. Read More

What kind of stocks one should pick
    Vinod Karki of ICICI Securities says in a portfolio, you cannot completely wish away expensive quality stocks. "You have to have such stocks in sufficient numbers even if they are expensive. "But we have also been constantly saying that high quality beta cyclical stocks, which are typically banks and some of the consumer discretionary stocks, also need to be in the portfolio. Thirdly, given the market crash, we have an opportunity of including stable businesses like utilities or telecom where the cash flow yields or the dividend yield or the earnings yield are high," says he. Read More

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Cummins India Ltd. 8 Jul, 2020 | 08:22 AM IST SellSell
NCL Industries Ltd. 8 Jul, 2020 | 08:03 AM IST buyBuy


No comments:

Post a Comment