Monday, 29 June 2020

RIL close to buying Future's retail biz | Voda Idea Q4 loss likely to fall | SBI MF, Damani take stakes in Andhra Paper

MORNING NEWSLETTER

30 Jun, 2020 | 08:40 AM IST


Good Morning!

A fund manager on Dalal Street makes a strong argument why it is the best time to invest in smallcaps. For long, access to capital, access to talent and access to market have been the three biggest challenges for any small company in India. "As the economy grows and matures, we are solving these problems. The mindset of the best talents wanting to work with larger companies to feel more secure, be able to deliver better and create better wealth for themselves is changing slowly," says he. Point to be noted.

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MARKET CUES: Where do we stand >>>

    Nifty futures on Singapore Exchange traded 55 points higher at 7 am (IST) signalling a positive start ahead for Dalal Street

    On Monday, Nifty50 formed a Doji candle on the daily chart for the second consecutive session. The back-to-back formation of such candles suggested investors were indecisive after the recent rally.

    Asian stocks advanced this morning, set to round out their best quarter since 2009, as optimism about a recovery overshadowed concerns over an increase in US coronavirus cases. Benchmark indices rose more than 1% in Japan, Australia and South Korea. Hong Kong gains were more modest after the Trump administration suspended some trade benefits for the city over China's new national security law

    Wall Street stocks closed higher on Monday as investors hoped for a stimulus-backed economic rebound and Boeing shares surged. Dow rose 580 points, or 2.32%, the S&P500 44.19 points, or 1.47%, and the Nasdaq 116 points, or 1.2%.

    The rupee settled 7 paise higher at 75.58 against the US dollar on Monday supported by weak American currency and easing of crude prices.

    Safe-haven currencies were on the back foot on Tuesday as hopes of an economic turnaround boosted stock prices. The dollar touched a three-week high against the yen, the euro gained a tad against the greenback, while safe-haven Swiss franc eased a bit against the US currency. Sterling was under pressure after UK government promise to boost public spending.

    Oil prices fell in early trade on Tuesday after weak Japanese industrial production data. WTI crude futures briefly traded higher then fell 38 cents, or 1%, to $39.32 a barrel while Brent futures fell 32 cents, or 0.8%, to $41.53

    Gold prices fell in India on Monday, though global prices continued to rally, edging closer to an eight-year high. Spot gold rose 0.1% to $1,772.61 per ounce in international markets. Back home, gold futures slipped by Rs 50 to Rs 48,250 per 10 gm on MCX while silver futures closed flat at Rs 49,245 per kg.
LOOK WHO'S
Nifty may see new faces in Aug rejig… The semi-annual review of the components of the Nifty by exchanges could lead to inclusion of more financials, say analysts. Edelweiss said two of the country's largest life insurance firms, HDFC Life Insurance and SBI Life Insurance, could make their way into the main index in the upcoming reshuffle. Divi's Laboratories and consumer major Dabur India are the others that stand a good chance of making it into the Nifty, the brokerage said. Vedanta, Zee Entertainment, Bharti Infratel and GAIL are likely to be excluded, the brokerage said. Read More

RIL close to buying Future Group…. Reliance Industries has moved close to clinching a deal to buy the retail businesses of Kishore Biyani's Future Group, which owns brands like Big Bazaar and EasyDay. The move will further cement RIL's position as the top brick-and-mortar player across categories like groceries, fashion and general merchandise, said two people briefed on the matter. The deal will involve at least three companies promoted by Biyani—Future Retail, Future Lifestyle Fashions and Future Supply Chain Solutions—going for a merger. Read More

Govt to licence A/C import… The Centre is looking to license the import of 10-12 items, including air conditioners and several of its components, and parts of television sets, as it discourages the entry of foreign goods, especially those from China, into the country. While work on licensing of products had started a few months ago, with agarbatti and tyres being among the initial set of items along with palm oil, the list has been expanded in recent weeks as tension on the LAC has escalated, government sources said. The focus on reducing import of products is also part of an exercise to boost domestic production. Read More

AND WHO'S
Tiktok, 58 other Chinese apps banned… A day before the third round of talks to resolve the border dispute with China, the Modi government on Monday "blocked" 59 apps owned or backed by the Chinese, including popular ones such as Tik-Tok, UC Browser, WeChat, Shareit and CamScanner for "engaging in activities prejudicial to sovereignty and integrity of India, defence of India, security of state and public order". The Centre said, without naming China, that the "targeted move" against the "malicious apps…used in mobile and nonmobile internet-enabled devices" comes "amid raging concerns" about the "data security and privacy of 130 crore Indians" and follows "several complaints…about misuse of some apps ... for stealing and surreptitiously transmitting users' data in an illegal manner to servers located outside India". Read More

Unlock 2.0 paused… In an indication that the Covid situation remains serious, the "unlocking" process has been paused with fresh guidelines stating that the lockdown shall continue to be strictly implemented in all containment zones till July 31 even as opening of schools & colleges, international passenger flights, Metro services, cinema halls, gymnasiums as well as social, political and religious congregations remain barred. The Unlock 2.0 guidelines issued by the home ministry under the Disaster Management Act for the next one month have relaxed the night curfew timings to between 10pm and 5am. There shall be no restriction on inter-state and intra-state movement of persons & goods. Read More

Airlines cancelling 10-25% daily flights… Domestic airlines are cancelling 10 to 25% of flights every day, leading to chaos, confusion and hundreds of disgruntled passengers, most of whom have not even got refunds, industry executives said. Airlines are selling tickets for up to one-third of their total flights but are operating only about one fourth, cancelling the rest due to either low demand or new norm in the constantly changing lockdown and quarantine rules of states. Read More

IT biggies reprioritize China biz… IT services providers such as TCS, Wipro and Infosys are likely to reprioritise their China businesses, as economic stress and unstable geopolitical relations are impacting their already struggling units that have failed to scale up in the Middle Kingdom, analysts said. For these software services providers, growth in China has been challenging as they have been focusing largely on Western companies with operations there. Read More

Meanwhile...
Auto firms red-flag China curbs… After telecom, the auto industry has raised a red flag over sudden restrictions on imports from China and subjecting parts and consignments to rigorous checks at ports, saying this would disrupt manufacturing in the sector at a time when it is struggling with the corona-induced slowdown. The objections have been made by companies as well as industry associations, which say that curbs will hinder operations as many critical parts related to new emissions norms such as BS6 as well as those related to electric vehicles come from China. Read More
KEY INDICES
14,735  -240.05
12,474  -155.84
21,359  -233.05
14,768  -226.65
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

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Stocks to Watch >>>

Financial creditors to the bankrupt Bhushan Power & Steel have rejected JSW Steel's request for time till March 2021 to take over the sick company.

Vodafone Idea is likely to report lower losses and higher revenue sequentially for March quarter, the first full quarter when the ailing telco will reap the benefit of up to 40% tariff hikes imposed in December 2019.

Interest in Andhra Paper, a debt-free company with a strong balance sheet, has spiked after market purchases by big investors like Radhakishan Damani and SBI Mutual Fund, the country's largest fund house.

Hindalco's overseas unit Novelis has sought an extension of its $1.1 billion bridge loan from 20 lenders as the proposed sale of two plants in Belgium and the US is stuck due to the global lockdowns.

Tata Steel reported a Rs 1,236 crore loss for March quarter against Rs 2,353 crore profit for the year-ago period as the pandemic forced it to scale down operations and it took a large write-down.

HDFC Bank is taking permission from shareholders to raise up to Rs 50,000 crore by issuing various instruments, including unsecured perpetual debt instruments, tier-2 capital bonds and long-term bonds.

UnQuote: DISTRESS SIGNS
Penny stocks hitting upper circuit a sign of worry
Sandeep Tandon, CIO, Quant MF

The DAY PLANNER

    Q4 Earnings: Voda Idea | CERA | NBCC | ONGC | BGR Energy | Deepak Fertiliser | ICRA
    Japan May Unemplyment Rate (05.00 am)
    China June Manufacturing PMI (06.30 am)
    UK Q1 GDP Growth Final (11.30 am)
    UK Q1 Current Account (11.30 am)
    Euro Area June Core Inflation (02.30 pm)
    India May Core Sector Growth (05.00 pm)
    India May Fiscal Deficit (05.00 pm)
    India Q1 Current Account Deficit (05.00 pm)
    Fed Chair Powell Testimony (10.00 pm)

OUTLOOK
Bank fund raising spree not good omen
    Sandee Tandon of Quant MF says the banks' urgency to increase their capital clearly indicates something is not right. I do not know what is wrong. "From a behavioural perspective, we can definitely say they probably feel the environment could get tough, maybe another round of NPA cycle is coming back, which most of us cannot visualise or see. Maybe banks being internal people have a better sense of it. That is the way I would like to maintain some sort of a negative stand on this entire space from a medium-term perspective," says he. Read More

Auto took 30 years to be self-reliant
    Pawan Goenka of M&M says the reason auto and pharma have succeeded the way they have succeeded is because there has been a very clear coordinated effort between the industry and the government where the government has supported the industry to grow and industry has invested and has come forward to say how do we become globally competitive. "It does not happen in one day. It is over the last 30 or 40 years that we have gotten to a point where we are absolutely self-reliant," says he. Read More

Strongest biz will survive bad times
    Anupam Tiwari of Axis Mutual Fund says good companies or good businesses are defined as the ones which have good cash flows, good ROE, RoCE and are strong and dominant players in their respective sectors. "We always believe that good times or bad times, it is the strongest who are going to win and will keep on gaining market share. We look for good management track record, how their execution and corporate governance is," says he. Read More

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Berger Paints (India) Ltd. 30 Jun, 2020 | 08:36 AM IST SellSell
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. 30 Jun, 2020 | 08:04 AM IST buyBuy


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