Tuesday, 3 March 2020

Fed rate cut fails to stem stock rout | NBCC gets all clear to acquire JP Infra | Investors have an option to bond with gold

MORNING NEWSLETTER

4 Mar, 2020 | 08:26 AM IST


Good Morning!

The equity investor's puzzle at this point is serious: does she use the dip to buy or does she use any rebound to sell what she holds. Marc Faber says investors who are overweight stocks — or have more than 25% of money in equities — should use any rebound to lighten position, because the market is not cheap. "Sometimes experts tell you, markets went up after SARS. But in 2003, Nasdaq declined close to 80% from the high of 2000. The market was at a totally different junction in the cycle than where it is today. Today all markets are in the sky." Point to be noted.
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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded nearly 25 points down at 7 am (IST), signalling possible weakness ahead on Dalal Street. Elsewhere in Asia, Asian shares wobbled and bonds held gains, as an emergency rate cut from the US Federal Reserve did little to soothe investor fears over the coronavirus's widening fallout. HERE'S WHAT TO WATCH

    MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan edged 0.2% higher, after easing hopes drove gains. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index fell 1.2% and Japan's Nikkei was either side of flat in choppy trade.

    US stocks ended sharply lower on Tuesday even after the US Fed delivered emergency interest-rate cut to stem the evolving risks to economic activity from the coronavirus crisis. Dow finished 785 points, or 2.9%, to 25,917, after being down by as many as 997.04 points at one point. S&P500 fell 86.86 points, or 2.8%, and the Nasdaq 268.07 points, or 3%.

    Oil prices steadied, with Brent settling at $51.86 a barrel and US crude 0.4% firmer at $47.37 a barrel.

    Falling for the third consecutive session, the rupee on Tuesday slumped 43 paise to close at a 16-month low of 73.19 against the US dollar as investor sentiment remained fragile amid concerns over the impact of coronavirus, and rising crude oil prices.

LOOK WHO'S

NBCC GETS JP INFRA… NCLT on Tuesday approved the proposal of state-run NBCC to acquire bankrupt realty developer Jaypee Infratech. Resolution of Jaypee Infratech's bankruptcy case will provide relief to around 20,000 homebuyers in the company's residential projects in Noida and Greater Noida. In its bid, NBCC had proposed to complete these stuck projects. NCLT has ordered that the Rs 750 crore that Jaypee Infratech parent Jaiprakash Associates had deposited with Supreme Court registry would be part of the resolution plan. Read More

AGR DUES FLOW IN… DoT on Tuesday received about Rs 8,000 crore from telcos, with Vodafone Idea, Bharti Airtel and Reliance Jio paying for airwaves bought in the 2014 auctions, and Tata Teleservices paying Rs 2,000 crore towards AGR dues. People familiar with the matter said that Vodafone Idea paid the DoT Rs 3,042.80 crore and rivals Reliance Jio and Bharti Airtel paid Rs 1,053 crore and Rs 1,950 crore, respectively, meeting a deadline for spectrum payments. Read More
BOND WITH GOLD… Investors looking for safety amid the wild swings in stock market triggered by the spreading coronavirus could opt for sovereign gold bonds. The 10th Series of the bond, which will close on March 6, will allow investors to bet on gold without buying it physically. International gold prices are near their yearly highs as the precious metal is seen as a less risky option in uncertain times like now. Gold prices in the domestic market, which closed at Rs 42,276 on Tuesday, hit an all-time high of Rs 43,250 late in February. Read More

WHO'S

RATE CUTS NOT ENOUGH… The US Fed slashed its policy rate by 50 basis points to help inoculate the global economy against a slowdown caused by the Covid-19 outbreak. Malaysia and Australia have already cut rates while central banks in Britain, Japan and France have signalled willingness to ease policy measures. RBI said earlier on Tuesday that it stood ready to safeguard the country's banking system from financial and market risks. But those moves have failed to stem the stocks rout. Wall Street fell further overnight. Analysts said investors deemed Fed's surprise inter-meeting rate cut insufficient to restore confidence in a market. Instead, the rate cut actually ended up stoking recession fears. Read More

IL&FS ASSETS UP FOR SALE… Lenders to bankrupt infrastructure financier IL&FS have cleared the sale of three road projects that would fetch them nearly Rs 6,250 crore. The committee of creditors approved the sale of Chenani-Nashri Tunnel to Cube Highways with a vote of over 90%. While the sale of Pune Sholapur Road to Italy-headquartered Autostrade was cleared with a vote of 84% and Jorabat Shillong Expressway will be sold to Edelweiss-backed Sekura Roads with a 100% vote. Read More

Meanwhile...
VIVAAD SE PUSH… The income-tax department is asking companies and individuals engaged in tax disputes to settle cases under the Vivaad Se Vishwas scheme even though the relevant law is yet to be passed by Parliament. Tax experts said that the department is pushing taxpayers, including those based overseas, to settle but the government maintains that it's only "encouraging" them to do so. Read More
KEY INDICES
17,004 + 332.6
13,774 + 169.67
29,177 + 308.65
15,723 + 295.55
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

For in-depth stock analysis, live market updates & more, download ET Markets App

Stocks to Watch >>>

    SBI board is learnt to have approved resolution plan for Reliance Communications, through which lenders are expected to recover around Rs 23,000 crore.

    Lenders led by SBI have finalised plans to sell about 2.8% stake in United Breweries to the beer maker's largest shareholder, Heineken, as they seek to recover money owed to them by Vijay Mallya.

    Deloitte has begun due diligence on the proposed bid for Air India by the Tata Group's airline company Vistara

    ArcelorMittal Nippon Steel has acquired a 500MW power plant from Edelweiss Asset Reconstruction Company for Rs 500 crore.

    L&T has bagged orders totalling Rs 1,000-2,500 crore for power transmission and distribution jobs, the engineering major said on Tuesday.

    Sun Pharma promoter Shanghvi Finance bought 19.8 lakh shares of the drug maker from open market on Tuesday, according to BSE data.

    Paytm's parent One97 has received a broking licence for its 100% subsidiary Paytm Insurance Broking. The company plans to leverage its online customer base and offline merchant network for distribution of insurance policies.

UnQuote: GLOOM & DOOM
Markets are not cheap, use any rebound to lighten position
Marc Faber, Author of Gloom, Boo, Doom Report

The DAY PLANNER

    India Feb Markit Services PMI
    Feb API Crude Oil Stock Change
    Australia Q4 GDP Growth Print
    China Feb Composite PMI
    BoC Interest Rate Decision
    US Feb Composite PMI
    US ADP Feb Employment Change

OUTLOOK

BANKS: BET ON CORPORATE LENDERS
    Siddhartha Khemka of MOSL says corporate private banks like ICICI Bank and Axis Bank are better poised, given the faster turnaround in the NPA cycle that they have seen and the benefit of the NBFC crisis in terms of market share gain. "Both in terms of the top line growth and credit growth that they have seen, the resolution of some of the large cases are helping them report a much better profitability," he said. Read More

AUTO: STAY AWAY
    Siddharth Sedani of Anand Rathi says he is not looking out for bargain hunting in the auto space. "The two-wheeler space can give an opportunity going forward and there, Bajaj Auto looks quite interesting. But given the current situation, exports will take a hit because of coronavirus," he said. Read More

CONSUMER: LOOK AT NBFCS
    Deven Choksey of KR Choksey Investment Managers says he continues to keep his faith in consumer-oriented businesses where ultimately, when consumption demand returns, some of these companies could possibly give relatively better performance than what they have given in the past. "We have been buying more with confidence in the corporate banks and some of the select NBFCs that have a retail focus," he said. Read More

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
LIC Housing Finance Ltd. 3 Mar, 2020 | 11:35 AM IST SellSell
HCL Technologies Ltd. 3 Mar, 2020 | 11:37 AM IST buyBuy


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