Monday, 9 December 2019

Brokers to face stricter scrutiny of accounts | Nippon India pares valuation gap with HDFC AMC | Park Hotels lines up Rs 1,000 crore IPO

MORNING NEWSLETTER

10 Dec, 2019 | 08:23 AM IST


Good Morning!

Can a range of forward contracts end India's seasonal onion woes, which have become an annual affair? While reliable cold storages that can protect crops from the monsoon, floods, damp and mould are imperative, and efficient ways of food processing to preserve onions as paste, fried rings or desiccated bulbs can help; functional futures and options that can flag incipient signs of stress or attempts to corner the supply may be a smart way of letting market forces take care of the demand-supply pressures.That way, markets can then induce efficiency and offer incentives to produce more.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Nifty futures on Singapore Exchange traded flat at 7 am (IST), signalling indecisiveness on Dalal Street. Elsewhere in Asia, equity markets were a tad lower on Tuesday as investors refrained from making major bets before Dec. 15, when the next round of U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports is due to take effect. HERE'S WHAT TO WATCH

    MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down just 0.04% as the Asian trading day began on Tuesday. Australian shares were also 0.04% lower, while Japan's Nikkei lost 0.23%.

    Tepid trade followed weakness on Wall Street overnight. The Dow fell 0.38% to 27,909, the S&P500 lost 0.32% to 3,135 and the Nasdaq dropped 0.4% to 8,621.

    Oil prices fell on Monday after data showed Chinese exports declined for a fourth straight month, sending jitters through a market already concerned about damage to global demand by the trade war between Washington and Beijing. Brent futures settled 14 cents, or 0.22%, lower at $64.25 a barrel, while WTI crude futures fell 17 cents to $59.02 a barrel

    The rupee pared initial losses and settled 16 paise higher at 71.04 against the US dollar on Monday amid softening crude oil prices and weakening of the greenback vis-a-vis other currencies overseas.
LOOK WHO'S

More FDI in Insurance?… The government may raise the overseas investment limit in insurance to 74% in the February budget, up from 49% now, possibly paving the way for foreign control of companies, said people with knowledge of the matter. The Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (IRDAI) sought the views of various stakeholders on the matter in a December 2 letter at the direction of the government, they said. The letter to insurance companies and others has called for suggestions on raising the foreign direct investment (FDI) limit. Read More

No China Tariff on Dec 15… The US is unlikely to impose extra tariffs on a new $160 billion swath of Chinese goods including toys and smartphones come Sunday, Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue said. The looming December 15 deadline for new tariffs is just one of a number of events this week putting concerns over trade back at the forefront for investors and policy makers around the world. Read More

WHO'S
Sebi Crackdown… Sebi has asked exchanges to focus on client fund utilisation and share pledging by brokers in forthcoming annual inspections, two people with knowledge of the development said. Brokerages have come under enhanced scrutiny after Karvy Stock Broking allegedly broke the rules by pledging client shares. Brokers can't deploy the unused funds of their clients nor can they pledge their customers' shares as per Sebi rules put in place earlier this year. While most brokerages have complied with the new norms, detailed scrutiny of the books will help in detecting any wrongdoing at an early stage, market participants said. Read More

Export Scheme Jitters... A two percentage point cut in duty incentives under an existing export scheme effective January 1 has panicked electronics manufacturers, who say the reduction has the potential to derail the $3 billion mobile handset export segment, halting capacity expansion and leading to job losses. Ahead of a new export incentive scheme to be rolled out from next year, the DGFT on Saturday issued a notice that the additional 2% benefits given under the existing Merchandise Export from India Scheme for all sectors, except garments and made ups, and including electronics manufacturing, would end on December 31. Read More

Meanwhile...
It's a firm no to AGR relief. The government has warned all telecom licence holders against any delays in the payment of dues related to adjusted gross revenue and has asked them to seek clarifications by December 13 on any doubts that may not have been covered in the recent Supreme Court judgment. DoT has asked all telecom licence holders, including non-telecom companies, to speed up the process of self-assessment of AGR-based dues and their payments in a letter written last week. Some 15 telcos need to pay over Rs 1.47 lakh crore, which could rise further, the government said. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,727  -4.7
13,280  -58.85
31,317  -24.9
15,157  -132.45
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Advent International, Bain Capital and GIC are in preliminary talks for a partial or full exit from Quest Global, valuing the engineering services firm at around $2.5 billion

    Hero MotoCorp will increase prices across its range of motorcycles and scooters by up to Rs 2,000 starting January 1, the automaker said Monday

    Tata Motors-owned Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) on Monday reported 3.4% decline in total retail sales at 46,542 units in November as compared to the year-ago period

    India's largest lender State Bank of India on Monday cut its lending rate by 10 bps, making it the 8th consecutive cut this fiscal year.

    The Park Hotels, managed by the Apeejay Surrendra Group, is planning a Rs 1,000 crore maiden public share sale and will file the draft red herring prospectus with Sebi later this month

UnQuote: INDIA OUTLOOK
Most foreign funds not massively overweight on India
Ayon Mukhopadhyay, IIFL Securities

The DAY PLANNER

    Fed money policy review begins
    China Nov inflation rate
    UK Oct balance of trade
    UK Oct industrial production
    BoE Financial Stability Report

OUTLOOK
CONSUMPTION STOCKS
    Andrew Holland of Avendus Capital says the best way to look at consumption is to have a broader basket of the best stocks in each of the sectors and that is what people have been doing. "That is why you are seeing that the multiples of a lot of these companies are very high. The auto sector did correct quite significantly in the past one year and that is where you saw value and some of these prices rebound. That will continue to happen. But it is a longer-term story here," he said.

CRUDE OIL
    Vandana Hari of Vanda Insights says for the time being, Brent would be trading just over $64 and WTI around $59. "Crude has factored in OPEC's latest decisions. Going forward, we would see crude paring some of those gains a little bit. That attention is now going to turn back to the macroeconomic picture and within that, what the US and China are going to do with the trade war," she said.

GROWTH REVIVAL
    S Krishna Kumar of Sundaram AMC says the extent of economic slowdown is getting reversed. "I am sure third quarter numbers are going to be around 5%, compared with 4.5% in second quarter. The jury is still out on whether the 5% could go up to 5.5% and then 6% in fourth quarter. You would probably end the year closer to 5.5% on the fourth quarter exit, rather than a 6% that one would have expected earlier," he said.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Berger Paints (India) Ltd. 9 Dec, 2019 | 12:20 PM IST buyBuy
Motherson Sumi Systems Ltd. 9 Dec, 2019 | 12:21 PM IST buyBuy


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