Thursday, 19 December 2019

Tata Sons may be classified as Public Co | D-Street expects moderate market returns in 2020 | DHFL creditors log Rs 1.20 lakh cr claims

MORNING NEWSLETTER

20 Dec, 2019 | 08:12 AM IST


Good Morning!

In the cautious euphoria caused by the steady rise of the market and the indices scaling new peaks, many investors have lost sight of the fact that in between the indices took a dip, and from there on a new set of stocks have taken charge of the rally. These are steel, pharma, auto and a new set of financial names different from the ones that had led the previous leg. Each of these sectors is staring at different prospects from here on. And that tells you where we are headed.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Nifty futures on Singapore Exchange traded some 4 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling fatigue on Dalal Street. Elsewhere in Asia, shares snoozed near 18-month highs on Friday as trade thinned in the run-up to Christmas and investors seemed content to digest the chunky gains already made so far this month. HERE'S WHAT TO WATCH

    MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was a fraction firmer in early trade, having gained 1.2% for the week so far and almost 5% for the month. Japan's Nikkei inched up 0.1% after reaching a 14-month top earlier in the week. South Korea's market added 0.25% on the day and 5.5% for December.

    On Wall Street, the S&P500 hit a sixth straight record high, its longest streak since January 2018, in overnight trade and the Nasdaq climbed for the seventh session in a row. Dow ended Thursday up 0.49%, while the S&P500 gained 0.45% and the Nasdaq 0.67%.

    Oil prices held steady near three-month highs on Friday on the back of easing Sino-U.S. trade tensions that have weighed on demand as well as the global economic growth outlook. Brent futures rose 2 cents to 66.56 a barrel while WTI crude fell 9 cents to $61.09

    The rupee depreciated by 6 paise to close at 71.03 against the US dollar on Thursday as steady rise in crude oil prices weighed on investor sentiment.
LOOK WHO'S

Here Comes Op Twist… RBI has launched its own version of 'Operation Twist' to drive down yields in a move aimed at reducing pressure on government borrowings. Essentially, the central bank would swap a set of bonds that are coming up for maturity in the near future with bonds that would mature at a longer date, eliminating the need to meet redemption. On Thursday, RBI announced the sale of bonds worth Rs 10,000 crore with longer maturity and buying bonds worth similar amount that are maturing next financial year. Bond traders are expecting more such 'switch' of government bonds between the treasury and the RBI, effectively reducing the pressure on government borrowings for next financial year. Read More

The Budget Pitch… India Inc has made a strong pitch for converging corporate tax rate to 15% over three years, ease of doing business and improving regulatory environment to safeguard investment as part of its budget wish list. At a pre-Budget meeting with finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman Thursday, industry captains sought measures to stimulate consumption, revive private investment and boost growth. Industry body CII sought policy stability for restoring investor confidence in sectors like retail, mining, auto and renewable energy. Ficci president Sandip Somany suggested that income-tax for those earning over Rs 20 lakh should be halved to boost consumption. Read More

WHO'S
Tata Sons a Public Co?… The Registrar of Companies (RoC) is studying Wednesday's judgment by the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) on the Tata-Mistry dispute, and may soon change Tata Sons' classification to a 'public company' from a 'private company'. The NCLAT, in its 172-page order reinstating Cyrus Mistry as executive chairman of Tata Sons, had termed the conversion of Tata Sons into a private company 'illegal'. Top officials in the corporate affairs ministry — which oversees the RoC — said the requisite documents are being sourced. Mistry's legal team is believed to be in touch with RoC officials to ensure the change happens quickly. Read More

Claims on DHFL… The administrator overseeing the affairs of DHFL is said to have received total claims of about Rs 1.2 lakh crore from creditors after the RBI referred the indebted NBFC for debt resolution. Lenders including debenture holders, secured lenders and depositors have submitted their claims and the figure is so far about Rs 1.2 lakh crore, a person privy to the matter said. The administrator will soon start the process of accepting and rejecting claims. NCLT Mumbai chapter admitted DHFL for insolvency resolution on December 2 and appointed R Subramaniakumar as the company's administrator. Read More

Meanwhile...
Bharti Airtel chairman Sunil Mittal has said the average tariff per telecom user needs to rise to Rs 300, or $4, over time, which would still be the lowest across the world and would revive the currently stressed sector in India. A balance needs to be found between consumer interests and financial resources for investments, Mittal told reporters on Thursday after a pre-budget industry meeting with the finance minister. He said the Trai needs to intervene and set a floor price for services. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,905 + 12.55
13,395 + 8.3
32,241  -2.8
15,813 + 102.3
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Bajaj Finance on Thursday said it has invoked 24 lakh pledged shares of Karvy Data Management Services to recover outstanding dues from a group firm.

    DGCA is likely to extend the deadline for replacement of all old Pratt & Whitney engines on about 100 Indigo Airbus 320 (neos) from January-end to a later date

    The bankruptcy court has directed the lenders of Jet Airways to take a decision on allowing fresh expressions of interest (EoIs) for the sale of the grounded carrier.

    The Supreme Court asked the RBI not to make public any inspection reports, risk assessment reports and financial inspection reports of banks, including SBI, under the RTI Act until further orders.

    Lemon Tree Hotels on Thursday signed a license agreement for a 44-room hotel at Baga, Goa.

UnQuote: INDIA FOCUS
New economy core to our changed India portfolio
Teresa Barger, Cartica Capital

The DAY PLANNER

    RBI's Dec forex data
    RBI's loan/deposit growth data
    Japan Nov inflation print
    Britain Q3 growth print
    BoE Quarterly Bulletin
    US final Q3 growth print

OUTLOOK
MARKET BIAS: LARGECAPS BETTER PLACED
    Kunj Bansal of Sarthi Group says the bigger companies are able to withstand the slowdown pressure in a much better way compared to the smaller companies. "That is the reason the money continues to flow into top companies and we are seeing the performance coming in from largecaps and not midcaps or smallcaps. Smallcaps and midcap have born the brunt because their sizes are smaller, their bases are smaller and they have lesser cushion," he says.

AUTO STOCKS: EXIT MARUTI, ENTER EICHER
    Dipan Mehta of Elixir Equities says he is looking at exit opportunities in auto stocks. "The way things are happening in the four-wheeler passenger industry, the disruption that is happening, the longer-term growth prospects of Maruti are not as great. If there is nice trading rally in Maruti, that will broadly be an exit opportunity from a long-term investment perspective. But it is a large sector and one stock you may still want to remain invested in is Eicher Motors," he said.

INDIA GROWTH: SLOW RECOVERY AHEAD
    Upasna Bhardwaj of Kotak Mahindra Bank says the growth in Indian economy is expected to remain muted. "We are looking at 4.7% for full year real growth. Nominal growth also will be meaningfully lower and that is important from a budgeting perspective. We are looking at 7.7% nominal growth this year as against near 11% growth which was budgeted in the fiscal numbers. We are close to bottom in the slowing cycle, and expecting a minor recovery next year," she said.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Havells India Ltd. 19 Dec, 2019 | 10:09 AM IST buyBuy
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. 19 Dec, 2019 | 10:03 AM IST buyBuy


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