Thursday, 18 July 2019

Heard that? Sebi has thrown a spanner at Nirmala's Budget plan

MORNING NEWSLETTER

19 Jul, 2019 | 08:06 AM IST


Good Morning!

Most midcaps and smallcaps have become untouchables on Dalal Street. After a steep drop in share prices following a series of defaults and corporate governance issues, brokerages have stopped coverage of nearly 350 companies in last one year while fewer analysts are covering 225 others. Winnowing does not work when there are no clear heavier and lighter components in the mixture.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand

    Nifty futures on Singapore Exchange traded 40 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling a positive start for Dalal Street. Asian stocks gained this morning. Australian stocks added 0.4%, KOSPI rose 0.8% and Nikkei advanced 1%. US stocks finished stronger on Thursday, snapping a two-day losing streak. Read More

    Crude oil prices rose more than 1% on Friday after the US Navy destroyed an Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent futures rose 82 cents to $62.75 while WTI futures firmed 61 cents at 55.91. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Silver lining... Hope springs for the auto industry which has been going through a long slump. Even as carmakers witnessed a 10% decline in sales between January and June this year, SUV sales have shrunk by a much more modest at 1.8 per cent. New launches of MG Hector, Hyundai Venue, Kia Seltos, Mahindra XUV 300 and Tata Harrier have been greeted with enthusiasm by prospective customers. Read More

Rate cut coming... A top Fed official on Thursday all but cemented expectations of a US interest rate cut later this month. New York Fed President John Williams said policymakers need to add stimulus early to deal with too-low inflation and cannot wait for economic disaster to unfold. Read More

WHO'S
Oops…another setback for FM?

Sebi has told the government that it would be difficult to implement the Budget proposal to raise minimum public shareholding of listed companies to 35 per cent from 25 per cent when PSU companies have been laggards in meeting even the current 25% norm. It could lead to a conflict of interest with the regulator having to enforce the shareholding cap and PSUs seeking delays and exemptions for various reasons. Read More

It's a NO, NO... Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman stuck to her Budget proposal and declined to relent on the demand by foreign portfolio investors structured as trusts that they be exempted from a higher surcharge. She said they should adopt a company structure in order to avoid the surcharge. Read More

Meanwhile...
The Asian Development Bank has trimmed India's growth forecast for the current financial year to 7% from 7.2% estimated earlier, as the fiscal 2018 outturn fell short. In April, the bank had lowered India's growth forecast for 2019-20 to 7.2% from 7.6%, owing to moderation in global demand and likely shortfall in revenue on the domestic front. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,791  -289.1
13,558  -158.3
30,431  -304.9
15,498  -177.5
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to watch

    The resolution professional in charge of Jet Airways has received claims worth close to Rs 25,000 crore, and has so far accepted only about one-third of the claims from financial creditors

    Mindtree founders have assured AM Naik, who took charge as Mindtree's non-executive chairman on Wednesday, to stay on to stabilise and grow the business at the mid-tier IT firm

    Brokerages have slashed target prices on Yes Bank by as much as 60% after the private sector lender reported weak asset quality for the June quarter.

    Vodafone Idea has hired Bank of America and Morgan Stanley to help sell its fibre assets as India's largest mobile carrier by users seeks to bolster its finances

    Toothpaste giant Colgate Palmolive posted a 4% rise in new sales in April-June quarter at Rs 1075.9 crore while net profit grew 5% to Rs 169.1 crore.

UnQuote: WHO TO BANK ON
The NPA cycle of Indian banks has very clearly bottomed out. Banks that have suffered on account of the NPA problems in last few years are incrementally showing meaningful drop in slippages.
Rupesh Patel, Tata Asset Management

Day Planner:

    Key earnings: RIL, Bandhan Bank, Dabur, IndiGo
    India July bank deposit growth data
    India July forex reserve data
    Japan June inflation data

OUTLOOK

CRUDE OIL
    Barclays on Thursday cut its 2019 Brent and WTI crude price forecasts by $2 to $69 per barrel and $61, respectively, saying it expected slower demand growth due to a weaker-than-expected global macroeconomic backdrop. It also cut its 2020 view for Brent by $6 to $69 and by $5 to $62 a barrel for WTI.

DOLLAR
    The International Monetary Fund on Wednesday said the greenback was overvalued by 6 to 12 per cent, based on near-term economic fundamentals.

SECTOR
    Siddhartha Khemka of MOSL says when not many defensives are doing well, IT as a defensive pack looks good on the back of stronger top line growth. Valuations have been comfortable, but margins have been declining in some of the key tier-one IT players.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
The Ramco Cements Ltd. 18 Jul, 2019 | 03:14 PM IST SellHold
Tata Chemicals Ltd. 18 Jul, 2019 | 12:50 PM IST buyBuy


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