Wednesday, 24 July 2019

How is DHFL recast plan shaping up; Plus, stocks to watch today

MORNING NEWSLETTER

25 Jul, 2019 | 08:16 AM IST


Good Morning!

After a major row over growth stats, now a large question mark over fiscal deficit maths of the Union Budget! With official watchdog CAG itself raising the red flag over deficit and debt, we're beginning to look like China, where the government is notorious for doctoring official statistics, using messed-up methodology and resorting to out-and-out fabrication.

70371985

STREET PULSE: Where we stand
    SGX Nifty traded 16 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling a possible positive start for Dalal Street. Asian shares traded cautious; the Nikkei gained 0.5% to hits a three-month high while South Korea's KOSPI traded in the red. Wall Street had a dream run overnight, with S&P500 and Nasdaq hitting record highs. Read More

    Oil ticked higher as tensions in West Asia underpinned prices. Brent futures rose 6 cents to $63.24 a barrel while WTI crude gained 12 cents to $55.99. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

The Contrarians... In a tough year for midcap stocks, when the S&P BSE Midcap Index lost 11 per cent, midcap funds have fared pretty well, with 14 of 21 scheme staying ahead and beating the benchmark. An outperformance over benchmark is used as an important signal to recommend a mutual fund scheme. Read More

A Fed U-turn... A quarter-point US Fed interest rate cut in July is almost a done deal, economists said in a Reuters poll. Over 95% of 111 economists now predict a 25 basis points rate cut at the July 30-31 meeting. Only two expected a 50 basis points reduction. Read More

WHO'S
When data is in doubt...

The CAG has said the central government's deficit figures may be considerably higher than those stated in the Budget. In a presentation to the 15th Finance Commission soon after the July 5 Budget, CAG asked whether extrabudgetary resources accounted for in the Budget reflect the correct picture. It found fiscal deficit for 2017-18 at 5.85% against the government calculation of 3.46%. Read More

Front-running?... A whistle-blower has alleged that select trading staff at Ambit Institutional Equities are involved in front-running, or illegally profiting from personal trades. The Mumbai-based brokerage has asked the employees to leave and initiated a forensic audit into the matter. Read More

Meanwhile...
In a major bureaucratic reshuffle, the Centre appointed 1985 batch Gujarat cadre IAS officer Atanu Chakraborty as new Economic Affairs Secretary, replacing Subhash Chandra Garg who will become the power secretary. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,003  -241.1
13,044  -162.66
28,952  -175.85
15,381  -112.65
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to watch

    DHFL is looking at a JV structure for its stake sale under the revival plan, which will cut existing promoter Wadhawans' stake to 20% from 39.8% now

    WestBridge Capital Partners, Farallon Capital and GIC are likely to be among top investors in the Yes Bank share sale to raise $350-400 million

    IndiGo is close to finalising a policy to regulate the issue of related-party transactions to address the concerns raised by co-promoter Rakesh Gangwal.

    JSW Steel plans to raise $500-700 million from overseas investors as the company aims to lower borrowing costs amid declining yields.

    An inter-ministerial panel has cleared Trai's Rs 3,050 crore penalties on Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea for allegedly denying Reliance Jio adequate points of interconnection in 2016.

UnQuote: Treading choppy market
Cash will be king over next two quarters; prepare for a steeper correction
Prasanth Prabhakaran, Yes Securities

Day Planner:

    Q1 earnings: Ambuja Cement, Bajaj Finserv, BoB, Biocon, Tata Motors
    US July initial jobless claims
    ECB interest rate decision

OUTLOOK

GOLD
    Gold prices have resumed a rally in global markets as analysts say the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf region have kept investors closer to safe-haven assets.

DOLLAR
    Wall Street bank JPMorgan Chase has predicted that the US dollar will struggle to remain the top international currency in the coming decades as the rising power of Asian economies is set to undermine its leading position.

SECTOR
    Ajay Tyagi, EVP, UTI Mutual Fund, says auto and pharma are two sectors where there is deep value and one has to fish for companies with solid business models, strong balance sheet and steady cash flow.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
HDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd. 24 Jul, 2019 | 03:01 PM IST SellHold
Larsen & Toubro Ltd. 24 Jul, 2019 | 01:45 PM IST buyBuy


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