Tuesday, 30 July 2019

100 BSE500 stocks slip below book value. Plus, a guide to opening trade

MORNING NEWSLETTER

31 Jul, 2019 | 08:19 AM IST


Good Morning!

For investors waiting for a rebound in midcaps, there is bad news. NSE Midcap index is now down 26% from its all-time high hit in January 2018, and trades at the lowest levels since February, 2017. Its trailing P/E is down to 28 times from the peak of 48 times, but higher than the 10-25 times range seen during 2005-2015. And FY20 earnings revisions have been much worse. The pain is far from over!

70458684

STREET PULSE: Where we stand
    Nifty futures on Singapore Exchange traded 32 points down at 7 am (IST), signalling more pain for Dalal Street. Asian shares weakened in early trade, rattled by a threat from President Trump to Beijing. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan traded 0.04% down while Nikkei slid 0.84%. Wall Street stock averages ended slightly lower on Tuesday. Dow shed 0.1%, and Nasdaq 0.2%. Read More

    Oil prices rose for a fifth day on Wednesday, buoyed by a bigger-than-expected drop in US inventories. Brent futures rose 33 cents to $65.05 a barrel while WTI crude gained 28 cents to $58.33. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Deal in sight?... After two nights of deliberations, Zee promoters seem to be leaning towards the binding agreement from a financial investor for a partial stake sale as the transaction moves towards closure. Zee has also received a non-binding offer from a consortium led by US cable major Comcast. Read More

A recast in the works... Distressed mortgage lender DHFL has submitted a restructuring plan to its core committee of creditors, Reuters reported quoting two sources involved in the matter. The plan includes the founder's family reducing stake and a restructuring of loans that would include easier repayment terms, such as longer tenure and reduced interest rates. Read More

WHO'S
Buying cheap is not always a good buy...

The sharp correction in the stock market over the past few months has pushed valuations of several stocks below their book values. About 105 of BSE500 companies, including some prominent names, are currently quoting below their book values, meaning they have become dirt cheap. However, analysts warn that it does not mean the worst is over for these stocks. Read More

Another blow.. . The government is looking to set a revenue threshold of Rs 20 crore and a limit of 500,000 users above which non-resident technology companies such as Google, Facebook and Twitter will have to pay direct taxes on profits earned locally. These limits are part of the 'Significant Economic Presence' concept introduced in last year's Budget. Read More

Meanwhile...
The government has drawn up a list of around a dozen PSU firms which can go for possible buybacks this financial year. The list has PFC, CCI and some rail sector CPSEs. Read More
KEY INDICES
15,705  -307.35
12,650  -275.96
28,792  -504.3
15,502 + 100.8
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to watch

    In a boost to homebuyers and lenders of Jaypee Infratech, an appellate tribunal on Tuesday directed the resolution professional to call fresh bids for debt resolution.

    In signs that IndiGo promoter feud is nowhere closer to a rapprochement, co-founder Rakesh Gangwal accused his rivals of hiding behind "sources" to spread a "false narrative"

    SBI plans to raise Rs 5,000-6,000 crore by selling a part stake in its credit card joint venture

    Blackstone has acquired about 6% stake in Future Lifestyle Fashion, the flagship fashion business of Kishore Biyani-owned Future Group, for about Rs 545 crore

UnQuote: WHY ARE FIIs FLEEING?
Lack of competitive climate a dampener for both foreign & Indian investors
Swaminathan Aiyar, Consulting Editor, ET Now

Day Planner:

    Earnings: Eicher, IOC, Zee, Allahabad Bank
    US Fed interest rate decision
    US-China trade talks
    India June infra output print
    India June fiscal deficit data

OUTLOOK

GOLD
    The yellow metal is on pace for its third month of gains and sitting at six-year highs as traders say regardless of the Fed's decision, gold is set to surge either way

SHALE GAS
    US shale gas production may be peaking as the industry faces many headwinds amid a glut of supply, slow demand on a steadily increases in renewable energy, low prices and poor financials

DOLLAR
    The US dollar was in the spotlight on Wednesday as the Fed meeting poses a major threat to the greenback and stands to spark currency volatility.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Escorts Ltd. 30 Jul, 2019 | 01:45 PM IST SellReduce
ICICI Bank Ltd. 30 Jul, 2019 | 01:23 PM IST buyBuy


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