Wednesday, 17 July 2019

Dalal Street awaits $25 billion windfall, and how!

MORNING NEWSLETTER

18 Jul, 2019 | 08:01 AM IST


Good Morning!

It's not going to be a windfall for the government from RBI. The Jalan Panel has not been very generous in its recommendation for transfer of RBI's 'excess' reserves, though the quantum specified is not known yet. The government has budgeted Rs 90,000 crore in dividends from RBI for this financial year against Rs 68,000 crore last year. Though this is different, it all comes from the same coffer.

70269903

STREET PULSE: Where we stand

    Nifty futures on Singapore Exchange traded 19 points down at 7 am (IST), signalling a possible weak start for Dalal Street, though the trend has been different in recent time. Asian shares wobbled in early Thursday trade amid signs that the trade war would hurt US corporate earnings. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Read More

    Crude oil prices fell for a fourth day on Thursday, after official data showed US stockpiles of oil products rose sharply last week, suggesting weak demand. Brent futures slipped 15 cents to $63.51 a barrel, while WTI futures fell 26 cents to $56.52. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Advantage lenders... The Modi Cabinet has approved key changes in the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code aimed at restricting the resolution process to 330 days, and ensuring the primacy of financial creditors over operational ones in recoveries. They give homebuyers a stronger voice in bankruptcy resolution of developers that haven't delivered projects and put the committee of creditors in driver's seat in the resolution process. Read More

Fringe benefit... Morgan Stanley estimates $25 billion inflows into Indian equities and sees the country's weightage in the MSCI Emerging Market index going up by 146 basis points after the government proposed raising public float of listed companies in the Budget. Read More

WHO'S
Hard cheese for FinMin…

Jalan Panel has recommended that the surplus reserves held by RBI be transferred to the government in tranches over three to five years. The recommendations were not unanimous as Finance Secretary Subhash Chandra Garg dissented. The amount determined by the committee for transfer was not known. The Finance Ministry was of the view that RBI's buffer at 28% of gross assets is well above the global norm of around 14%. Read More

Held to account... Rating company CARE has sent its managing director and CEO on leave after an anonymous complaint was filed against him at Sebi. On July 2, Moody's Investors Service's local affiliate and CARE's rival firm ICRA had sent its MD & CEO Naresh Takkar on leave, pending an enquiry into "anonymous" allegations against him. Read More

Meanwhile...
Gilt funds have been chart toppers among debt funds with 15.75 per cent returns in last one year, but fund managers believe a large part of the rally is over and it would not be possible to replicate the performance next year. Read More
KEY INDICES
17,080  -0.33
13,716  -0.07
30,736 + 0.54
15,676 + 0.61
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to watch

    While its bankruptcy resolution continues to negotiate fresh twists every passing month, Essar Steel has posted its best quarterly performance in the June quarter, logging an operating profit of Rs 1,120 crore for June quarter.

    Wipro struggled to grow business in Q1 as clients delayed projects in an uncertain market. It saw sequential revenue in the quarter drop by 0.7% while operating margins shrank 80 bps.

    GIC is in preliminary talks with GVK Power and Infrastructure to acquire its stake in Taj-GVK Hotels and Resorts as the sovereign investment vehicle of the Singapore government looks to consolidate its position in the Indian real estate and hospitality space.

    An appellate tribunal has asked counsel for lenders of Jaypee Infratech to provide terms and conditions for new resolution plans, opening the doors for new applicants including Adani Infrastructure for acquiring the debt-ridden real estate company.

    British energy giant BP and its partner Reliance Industries will invest $5 billion in bringing to production three sets of natural gas fields in the Krishna Godavari basin block in the Bay of Bengal by 2022.

UnQuote: GILT EDGE
India's 10-year G-Secs have more room to decline as rate-cutting cycle is not over
Radhika Rao, India Economist, DBS

Day Planner:

    Key earnings: ACC, ColPal
    Japan's June trade balance
    G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting
    US July jobless claims

OUTLOOK

SILVER
    Analysts say silver market has taken off this week as prices hit a nearly four-month high on Tuesday and an uptrend is now in place on the daily chart.

EURO
    Analysts say euro is unlikely recover significantly from current low level before next week's ECB meeting, where policymakers might unveil fresh monetary stimulus

SECTOR
    Nitin Raheja of AQF Advisors says one must be selective in IT because each company has its own strategy and is facing its own set of challenges. While mid-tier companies are creating focus areas and building strengths, large companies are trying to evolve themselves in terms of how to meet the new nimble-footed challenges of technology.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Manappuram Finance Ltd. 17 Jul, 2019 | 05:33 PM IST buyBuy
Karnataka Bank Ltd. 17 Jul, 2019 | 05:18 PM IST SellHold


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