Thursday, 6 February 2020

Voda seeks to shed Idea tag | Big bonanza for top India-listed MNCs | Adani & Total ink JV deal

MORNING NEWSLETTER

7 Feb, 2020 | 09:26 AM IST

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Good Morning!

Ingenuity trumped theory and convention when RBI on Thursday delivered more than a quarter point interest rate reduction without actually effecting it. The surprise weapon revealed by the central bank — to treat banks' additional lending to realty, car financing and small industry as part of the money banks are obliged to park with RBI to meet the cash reserve ratio — has been accepted by one and all as a masterstroke. There is little doubt that RBI's `whatever it takes' approach was the best it could do to stoke demand in the economy.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded flat at 7 am (IST), indicating indecisiveness on Dalal Street. A mid-week rally in Asian share markets halted on Friday and oil prices steadied as the growing death toll and economic damage from a new virus spreading from China curbed further gains. HERE'S WHAT TO WATCH

    MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan eased 0.5%. Japan's Nikkei and Korea's Kospi headed lower in morning trade, but were on track for their best week of the year after earlier rises.

    US stocks advanced for a fourth consecutive day and struck new record highs. Dow rose 0.3 per cent to return to a record high, while S&P500 gained 0.3 per cent and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 0.7 per cent.

    Oil prices fell hard as the coronavirus outbreak gained pace and have been slow to recover. WTI crude was firm at 51.37 per barrel, but is flat for the week and remains 13% below its January 21 level. Brent settled at $55.12.

    The rupee rose by 7 paise to close at 71.18 against the US dollar after RBI left policy rates unchanged but maintained its accommodative stance to boost growth.

LOOK WHO'S

The Big Dividend Deal… India's top 25 dividend-paying MNCs, including HUL, Maruti Suzuki, Nestle, and Colgate-Palmolive, are likely to save more than Rs 2,800 crore collectively after the government's move to abolish the levy on distributing dividends. The savings could either be used to increase dividend payouts for both local and overseas investors, or be transferred to the overseas bases benefiting foreign shareholders, experts said. Data compiled by ETIG from the previous year's annual reports of the 25 largest locally-listed MNC dividend payers showed that the companies had declared ?17,765 crore in aggregate dividends in FY19. Read More

RBI Delivers A Masterstroke… RBI on Thursday sought to ease access to loan funds for new retail buyers of homes and cars and for small-business owners, freeing up high-street lenders from the need to maintain mandatory cash pools against incremental advances to these categories of borrowers. The move to ease the CRR, or CRR-equivalent, on these borrowing segments will help free up more resources for lending — even in the absence of another round of policy rate reduction and cost of funds is likely to ease as well. Read More

Finally, Loans Get Cheaper… Indian banks are transferring the benefits of reductions in policy rates to borrowers faster than they earlier did, with monetary transmission turning positive for outstanding rupee loans for the first time since Mint Road had begun the current easing cycle in February 2019. What this means is that existing bank loans, drawn before or in the initial days of the easing cycle, have now started turning cheaper. The transmission had been slow for new loans even as the RBI reduced the benchmark policy rate by 135 basis points since February 2019. The effects were barely visible for existing loans. Read More

WHO'S
Depressed Motown… Maruti Suzuki, Hyundai Motor and M&M, the nation's top three passenger vehicle makers, expect the automobile market to grow in low single digits in fiscal 2021, after a slow start to the year. A favourable base to compare with after a steep fall in sales this year, low interest rates and new rules that give the taxpayer an option to choose lower I-T rates are among the key reasons driving their estimates. But they expect sales in the first two quarters to be flat or even fall marginally, owing to pricier BS-VI models. Read More

Hiring Amid Startup Layoffs… Startups such as Oyo, Ola, Quikr, Zomato and Paytm may be going through a spate of layoffs, but about half a dozen leading B-schools reported a spurt in hiring by ecommerce companies and startups during their recently concluded final placements. IIM, Kozhikode; MDI, Gurgaon and Bharatiya Vidya Bhavan's SPJIMR said the sector recorded the biggest on-year jump in the number of offers during final placements for the Class of 2020. Several ecommerce companies and startups have indeed decreased hiring this year, and some have even skipped placements. Read More

Meanwhile...
Switch Away From Dividend Hit... Financial Planners are advising investors with taxable income to consider switching from dividend options in equity-oriented mutual funds to growth. The advice comes after the budget put the onus on investors to pay tax on dividend income, based on their tax slabs, starting April. Also, any dividend above Rs 5,000 in a financial year will attract tax deduction at source. Read More
KEY INDICES
18,256 + 9.6
14,789 + 59.43
31,137  -166.75
16,453 + 81.75
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Adani Green Energy has entered a pact with French energy major Total Gas & Power Business Services SAS for an investment of around $510 million (Rs 3,633 crore) for a 50% stake.

    Wipro has received a multi-year technology services contract from automotive supplier Marelli to "standardize, simplify and further enhance their IT services at a global level.

    ArcelorMittal posted a net loss of $2.4 billion in 2019, a year when the world's largest steelmaker said its biggest achievement was the acquisition of Essar Steel in India.

    Vodafone Idea said on Thursday that all its postpaid products and services will be offered to customers under the Vodafone RED plan, thus dropping Idea as a brand name for this segment of users

    Cognizant reported a 3.8% on-year growth in revenue for the quarter ended December at $4.28 billion, compared with the $4.23 billion expected by analysts.
    Nirma Group's cement division Nuvoco Vistas on Thursday announced the buyout of the 8.3 mtpa business of Emami for an enterprise value of Rs 5,500 crore.

    DoT has approved the merger of Tata Teleservices' consumer mobility business with Bharti Airtel, paving the way for the closure of the sector's last major M&A deal.

UnQuote: STOCK PICKING
RBI ensuring short-term transmission of rate cuts take place
Nilesh Shah, Kotak AMC

The DAY PLANNER

    Q3 Earnings: ACC | Britannia | Corp Bank | India Cement | KEC | Kolte Patil | Max India | NCC | NTPC | Oberoi Realty
    India Jan Forex Reserve
    Japan MoM Household Spending
    China Jan Balance of Trade
    China Jan Forex Reserve

OUTLOOK

HFCs: ASSET QUALITY TO IMPROVE

    Keki Mistry of HDFC says asset quality issues of home finance companies will turning positive if the stuck projects start getting resolved. "The important thing is that thousands of stuck projects all over the country have to get completed because if these get completed, not only will the NPL issue get partly addressed, but more importantly, it will give confidence back to home buyers to purchase real estate in a stronger manner," he said

BANKS: CARRY DEAL ATTRACTIVE

    Nilesh Shah of Kotak AMC says it will be enormously profitable for banks to take money from RBI at 5.15% and invest into one-year and three-year government securities, SDL papers or corporate bonds and commercial papers that will give them decent carry. "The 2022-2024, one to four-year yields, have already started declining in response to this," he said.

MARKET OUTLOOK: WAY TO GO

    Sandeep Bhatia of Macquarie Capital says in terms of global liquidity and bottoming out of growth, markets are in the bull camp. "I would think we can remain structurally positive on this market, because elsewhere returns on other fixed income instruments will be much lower. So I would be in the bull camp, but I would not be very innovative to take too much risks," he said.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 7 Feb, 2020 | 09:14 AM IST SellSell
Pidilite Industries Ltd. 7 Feb, 2020 | 09:13 AM IST buyBuy


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