Thursday 21 May 2020

RIL inks KKR deal for 2.3% in Jio Platforms | FII ownership in Indian stocks hits 6-year low | Investors sue Templeton for refund

MORNING NEWSLETTER

22 May, 2020 | 08:50 AM IST


Good Morning!

Parts of India Inc are showing extreme behaviours. Some companies have suddenly gone on the front foot to disclose details of their operations, trying to become more transparent than they ever were. Industry watchers say some of them with very weak business models might be trying to use the Covid crisis to kitchen-sink some not-so-great stuff; while others, who have nothing to hide, may be increasing disclosures to communicate how comfortably they are positioned vis-à-vis their competition. Investors have a task cut out there to separate the wheat from the chaff.

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MARKET CUES: Where do we stand >>>
    Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded flat at 7 am (IST) in signs that Dalal Street is indecisive amid lack of directional cues

    On Thursday, Nifty50 reclaimed the 9,100 level, but formed a bearish candle on the daily chart that resembled a 'Shooting Star' pattern. The index is facing strong resistance near 20- and 50-day moving averages, which does not bode well for the bulls

    The 9,150 level would be a crucial hurdle for Nifty now. If it manages to sustain above 9,150 level, then we may see a bounce towards the 9,300 – 9,350 zone. On the flipside, support is placed at 9,000 and then 8,888-8,800 levels

    Elsewhere in Asia, stocks slipped, with the bulk of losses coming in Hong Kong, as China announced plans to impose a national security law on the city, that may further deteriorate tension between the US and China. Hang Seng opened 2% lower. Losses were more modest in Tokyo and Seoul, while shares edged up in Sydney.

    Wall Street shares to slip from the two-month highs overnight after President Trump said the US would react "very strongly" against Beijing's move to impose a new national security legislation on Hong Kong. S&P500 slipped 0.78%. Dow 0.41% and the Nasdaq 0.97%.

    Oil prices were on the rise on Friday, heading for a fourth straight week of gains, amid more evidence that fuel demand is recovering. Brent rose 14 cents, or 0.4%, to $36.20 a barrel while WTI crude gained 5 cents, or 0.2%, to $33.97

    The rupee appreciated 19 paise to close at 75.61 against the US dollar on Thursday, tracking positive trend in domestic markets

    The dollar held gains against major currencies on Friday amid fresh US-China tensions. The yuan nursed losses in offshore trade. The greenback traded at $1.0950 per euro in Asia, following a 0.3% increase in the previous session.

LOOK WHO'S

Spare time draws Indians to equities... With spare time due to lockdown, uncertainty of income and sharp fall in the stock prices, trading volume on Indian bourses have increased, reflecting rising activity by investors. The combined total volume on the two stock exchanges, BSE and NSE, shot up by 49 per cent in last 30 days and 40% in last 90. A similar trend has been observed in turnover, which increased 44% year on year in last 90 days to Rs 38 lakh crore. In the three months to March 2020, turnover had increased by 26 per cent to Rs 34,00,000 crore. Read More

India heads for current account surplus... India's current account could show a surplus of at least $19-20 billion this year for the first time since FY07, following a sharp drop in domestic demand for investment and consumption goods. The drop in crude and commodity prices and lower demand for them are also contributing to the decline. A current account deficit is seen as a weakness but experts see a bigger problem in a surplus as it stems from demand destruction. Read More

China central bank gets FPI licence... Sebi has extended People's Bank of China's foreign portfolio investor licence by three years, allaying concerns among other China and Hong Kongbased FPIs. The Chinese central bank had sent several representations to Sebi and the finance ministry seeking timely renewal of the licence that was expiring in the first week of May. According to industry estimates, the central bank holds assets to the tune of $3-3.5 billion in India, which includes equities and bonds. Read More

Bank deposits swell through lockdown… Latest RBI data shows bank deposits have risen by over Rs 2.8 lakh crore in three fortnights of the lockdown till May 8, while bank credit during the period dipped by Rs 1.2 lakh crore. This added Rs 4 lakh crore to liquidity in the banking system, resulting in a surge in bank investments. On March 27, bank deposits stood at Rs 135.7 lakh crore. A fortnight later on April 10, outstanding deposits surged to Rs 137.1 lakh crore. Read More

AND WHO'S

Air fares capped for 3 months… The government has fixed minimum and maximum fares, effective till 11.59pm on August 24, for domestic flights that will resume from Monday. Airlines will need to sell 40% seats below midpoint of the fare band on each flight. Based on flying time, there are seven categories: starting at flights below 40 minutes having a range of Rs 2,000-6,000 and going upto those with flying time of 3-3.5 hours with a range of Rs 6,500-18,600. Read More

FII ownership hits six-year low... Overseas investors' ownership of top Indian stocks hit a six-and-a-half year low in March quarter as risk-off sentiment in global markets on account of the Covid-19-led slowdown sparked outflows from emerging markets. Holdings of foreign investors in the top 500 listed companies dropped to 20% as on March 31 — the lowest since December 2013. A Credit Suisse study showed promoter ownership in BSE500 stocks rose to a record high of 44 per cent at the end of March, while DII and retail ownership remained unchanged at 14 per cent. Read More

Investors sue Franklin for refunds… Several Delhi-based investors have sent a legal notice to Franklin Templeton Asset Management Company (AMC) demanding refund of their entire investment at re-determined net asset value within a week, and to withdraw the winding up notices of six investment schemes. Franklin Templeton shut six debt schemes with total assets under management of Rs 25,856 crore on April 23, owing to severe illiquidity and redemption pressures caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. Read More

Birla MF stops fund flow to 2 debt funds… Aditya Birla Sun Life MF has stopped taking money in two of its debt schemes — Medium Term Plan and Credit Risk Fund. But the fund house said that regular redemptions and switch to other funds will continue as usual. It said the decision, which has been taken to safeguard the interests of existing investors, is effective May 22. Together, the two debt schemes currently manage about Rs 5,000 crore. Read More

Meanwhile...
124 companies liquidated... Indian banks let 124 companies slip into liquidation despite resolution plans that – at least theoretically – promised higher recoveries, data with the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India showed. At the end of March, insolvency processes for 914 companies were closed. About 57% of the total insolvency cases ended in liquidation orders, compared with 14% that ended in resolution plans. Read More
KEY INDICES
12,763 + 98.45
10,548 + 75.76
17,735  -105.1
13,648 + 130.5
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

For in-depth stock analysis, live market updates & more, download ET Markets App

Stocks to Watch >>>

Reliance Industries said on Friday US private equity firm KKR will buy 2.32% of its digital unit Jio Platforms for Rs 11,367 crore ($1.50 billion).

Hero MotoCorp on Thursday said state-owned LIC has increased its stake in the company to 7.146 per cent through acquisition of shares from the open market over a period of time.

Serum Institute of India is in advanced talks with British drugmaker AstraZeneca to manufacture and distribute Oxford University's Covid-19 vaccine candidate in low and middle income countries including India.

Vodafone Idea and Bharti Airtel are getting jittery about sourcing equipment from Huawei as the US tightens restrictions on the Chinese vendor, which may, over time, impact Huawei's Indian supplies.

The National Antiprofiteering Authority has ordered Emaar MGF to pass on Rs 13.35 crore, along with interest to 1,239 flat buyers of Emerald Floors Premier' in Gurugram, Haryana, after it found the company profiteered from not passing on input tax credit gained from GST regime.

ONGC and power generator NTPC have signed a pact to form a joint venture company for renewable energy.

Bharti Airtel may be back in the black by the end of December, after a year of losses, driven by strong operational metrics such as Arpu or average revenue per user.

Trent, Wabco India, Supreme Industries, BASF India, Bayer Cropscience, Godrej Industries, IDFC First Bank and JSW Steel are slated to announce March quarter earnings on Friday.

UnQuote: PAUSE, DON'T STOP
If you don't have money, pause the SIP, don't stop it
Radhika Gupta, Edelweiss AMC

The DAY PLANNER

    Q4 Earnings: Bayers | Godrej Ind | JSW Steel | IDFC First Bank I Trent I UPL I
    Japan April Inflation Rate (05.00 am)
    RBI Deposit Growth (05:00 pm)
    RBI Foreign Exchange Reserves May (05:00 pm)
    ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts (05:00 pm)
    China National People's Congress (10.30 pm)

OUTLOOK

Firms with labour on payroll to bounce
    Rakshit Ranjan of Marcellus Investment Managers says sectors where there is contract labour orientation for manufacturing and where labour workforce has migrated to the villages will find it challenging to resume normalcy soon. "Sectors like footwear and textile, which are in heavily labour-intensive manufacturing, actually have the bulk of their labour workforce on payrolls. Their path to normalcy will be much shorter," says he. Read More

Market seeing leadership change
    Chakri Lokapriya of TCG AMC says the market is witnessing a change in leadership. "It is away from financials towards other sectors. In the case of financials, given that just about every segment has been impacted, it will lead to some amount of low profitability for financials in the next couple of quarters. For instance, many of the rural areas remain unimpacted. Fertilisers is a case in point. Metal prices have shown some amount of recovery," says he. Read More

D-Street to underperform for now
    Rajat Rajgarhia of Motilal Oswal says Indian market is likely to underperform purely because of the sheer intensity of this lockdown on the economic parameters and corporate earnings. "Whatever rally we are seeing is just a catchup. Till some time back, our underperformance used to be 8% to 10% to the global markets. That has actually moved up almost to the tune of 12% to 15% now. Some part of this underperformance may get recouped," says he. Read More

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Piramal Enterprises Ltd. 22 May, 2020 | 08:38 AM IST buyBuy
Escorts Ltd. 21 May, 2020 | 01:56 PM IST buyBuy


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