Tuesday 28 January 2020

Retro tax fear haunts FPIs | NRIs set to get FPI status | 3 MFs won't sidepocket Voda

MORNING NEWSLETTER

29 Jan, 2020 | 08:20 AM IST


Good Morning!

There has been a lot of talk about the need to revisit LTCG and DDT in Budget, but not many are talking about the buyback tax, which dried up share buybacks by India Inc this past year. This levy came in the July 2019 Budget as an amendment to a 2013 law, which was in vogue to tax share buybacks by unlisted companies. The idea behind the levy was to discourage use of the buyback route for distributing profits among shareholders in order to avoid tax. Dividend distribution, the other route for profit sharing, is meanwhile taxed at multiple levels. These are factors that have dented investor confidence in the market.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Nifty futures on Singapore Exchange traded 36 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling signs of rebound on Dalal Street. Asian shares rose on Wednesday as better-than-expected Apple Inc earnings drove some regional tech gains although broader confidence was capped by worries about the economic impact of China's virus outbreak. HERE'S WHAT TO WATCH

    MSCI index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.2%, ending four days of losses. Australian shares rose 0.41%, while Japan's Nikkei stock index rose 0.27%.

    US stock indices staged a solid comeback on Tuesday. Dow gained 186 points to 28,722, halting a 5-session slide. The S&P500 advanced 1% to 3,276, while the Nasdaq 1.4% to 9,269

    Oil prices rose for a second day on Wednesday, standing on firmer ground after a five-day fall on talk OPEC could extend oil cuts if a new coronavirus hurts demand, while data showing a decline in US stockpiles helped steady prices. Bent crude rose 33 cents, or 0.6%, to $59.84 a barrel while US crude gained 31 cents to $53.79.

    The rupee clocked its first gain after three days of losses on Tuesday, recovering by 12 paise to close at 71.31 against the US dollar even as concerns remained over fast-spreading coronavirus from China to other regions.

LOOK WHO'S

NRIs as FPIs… Non-resident Indians (NRIs) will soon be able to invest in Indian markets as foreign portfolio investors (FPIs). Sebi is planning to create a third category of investors under the current FPI regime for NRIs to invest in the local markets, said two people aware of the development. The move will enable greater participation of NRIs in the Indian markets as investment limits in listed companies will rise sharply. NRIs will also be able to trade in Indian markets with greater ease since they will be now able to invest through custodian banks. Read More

And, That's a Six… Chennai Super Kings (CSK), the team that is second only to Mumbai Indians in winning the Indian Premier League, has seen its valuation more than double in the past one year on expectations that the country's first listed cricketing entity will fetch an even greater premium when shares are eventually sold to the public. CSK is now trading at Rs 30 per share at a market value of Rs 1,000 crore in the unlisted market. Retail high-net worth individuals are buying the currently unlisted stock. Read More

Now, a US-India Trade Deal… India and the US are likely to finalise a mega trade deal pegged above $10 billion (more than Rs 71,000 crore) next month when United States Trade Representative (USTR) Robert Lighthizer visits New Delhi. The deal, whose legal vetting is underway, will be signed during US President Donald Trump's visit to India, and is a precursor to a free trade agreement between the two nations, officials in the know of the plans said. Read More

WHO'S
Retro Tax Returns to Haunt… Foreign investors have sought grandfathering benefit from the government as a new global tax framework which kicks in from April this year may see them getting slapped with capital gains tax notices unless tax treaties are reworked, consultants and experts said. Taxmen may question or deny tax exemption given under current existing treaties with foreign countries after April 1 as the new multilateral instrument (MLI) regime has no provision for grandfathering or exemption from tax for investments made before a certain period. Read More

No Sidepocketing Voda… UTI Mutual Fund, Nippon India Mutual Fund and Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund have decided not to segregate the debt securities of Vodafone Idea in schemes that hold the bonds after ratings company Crisil downgraded the outstanding debt of the telco to below-investment grade. As per regulatory guidelines, fund houses can segregate portfolios, or create a side pocket, if the rating of a company falls below investment grade. The three fund houses value the security at Rs 35, in line with valuations provided by agencies. Only Franklin Templeton Mutual Fund, the biggest holder of the security, segregated it after the rating downgrade, having marked it down to zero earlier. Read More

Meanwhile...
Risk cover for roads!… The NHAI has proposed insurance cover for road projects, in a step that could help bring in credible project developers and mitigate construction period risks. "We are trying that insurance companies should also give a surety," said an official close to the development. "We have proposed to the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India to come up with an instrument." This mechanism has been proposed since banks are facing difficulties in furnishing bank guarantees, the official said. Read More
KEY INDICES
18,217  -74.75
14,803  -47.67
30,766  -71.65
16,391  -2.55
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Shares of Aptech fell nearly 7% on Tuesday to Rs 161.85 after reports that billionaire investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala is being probed by Sebi for alleged insider trading in the shares of education firm.

    Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan Board, one of the largest institutional investors in Canada, and Capital International Group are in separate talks to buy a minority stake in the NSE ahead of its planned public offering slated later this year

    Tata Sons has started the process of arranging funds for paying off the Rs 13,823 crore AGR dues of Tata Teleservices. The steel-to-salt conglomerate will most likely bank on TCS for sourcing funds.

    The RBI-appointed administrators of DHFL on Tuesday invited bids from interested parties, which are keen to own the company's different assets.

    KEI Industries, manufacturer of wires and cables has raised Rs 500 crore from institutional investors such as L&T Mutual Fund, DSP MF and Sundaram MF,

    Infosys has set up a multi-disciplinary internal team to help scale up its platforms business, as the Bengaluru-headquartered IT services company looks to tap the growing demand for products from clients.

    Bharti Airtel's $3 billion (Rs 21,240 crore) fundraising exercise has eliminated concerns over viability as it's now better equipped to pay statutory dues, Airtel Africa said in its December quarter earnings report.

    Allcargo Logistics Tuesday said it has completed a 7.5% stake purchase in Gati, taking its total ownership in the express logistics company to 20.8%.

UnQuote: BUDGET CUES
Fiscal deficit numbers in Budget will have cues on growth
Nilesh Shah, Envision Capital

The DAY PLANNER

    Q3 Earnings: Bajaj Finserv | Bajaj Finance | Birla Corp | Escorts | Godrej Consumers | IDFC First | Jubilant Foodworks | Pidilite | Tata Power
    US API Crude Oil Stock Change
    BoJ Summary of Opinions
    US Fed Rate Review

OUTLOOK

SBI: WAIT FOR CORRECTION
    Deepak Shenoy of Capital Mind says SBI will see some impact from defaulting NBFCs like DHFL. "One has to see if there is some resolution or if it will continue to be a complication for them. But having said that, there have been a number of other slippages in corporates that we have heard of in the last quarter. It is a very interesting bank, I just think that they are very expensive. We might wait for a correction before buying it," he said.

MARUTI Q3: ALL NEGATIVES IN PRICE
    Nitin Raheja of AQF Advisors says one should not be really surprised by Maruti numbers because volume numbers were out in public domain almost month on month. "Considering the kind of inventory and sales, it is really not surprising what Maruti has delivered. Most of the negatives are already there as far as the stock is concerned. The stock has already reflected that and they have bottomed out much earlier," he said.

CRUDE OIL: OUTLOOK GRIM
    Vandana Hari of Vanda Insights says a recovery in oil prices may not be as quick and steep as the downslide. "Financial markets and oil markets know how things work with endemics and epidemics, and till we continue to see a rising number of cases of infection and casualties in China, the market will not be able to relax and pick up from this slide. There are still pretty big bearish factors on the horizon which will stay even after this subsides," she said.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. 28 Jan, 2020 | 09:20 AM IST SellSell
Cipla Ltd. 28 Jan, 2020 | 09:23 AM IST buyBuy


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