Monday 27 January 2020

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala under Sebi lens | What the Budget may contain | Nobel laureate says India may be in recession

MORNING NEWSLETTER

28 Jan, 2020 | 08:19 AM IST


Good Morning!

Will the much-debated long-term capital gains (LTCG) tax get a relook in the Budget? One idea being floated is to bring all savings under a scheme of taxation in which saving is tax exempt when it is made, tax exempt when it grows with accrued returns but taxed when it is withdrawn as income. If the monetised savings or a part of it is reinvested in an asset, this saving, too, too qualifies to be tax exempt. Sounds like a great concept on paper, but will it get buy-in at the North Block? Wait and watch

73683817

STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Nifty futures on Singapore Exchange traded 18 points lower at 7 am (IST), signalling weakness ahead on Dalal Street. Asian stocks extended a global selloff as China took more drastic steps to combat the coronavirus, while bonds found favour on expectations central banks would need to keep stimulus flowing to offset the likely economic drag. HERE'S WHAT TO WATCH

    MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped 0.8 per cent in early Asian trading on Tuesday. Japan's Nikkei was 0.7 per cent down, Australian shares stumbled 1.3 per cent and South Korea's Kospi index skidded 2.6 per cent.

    Overnight, US stocks fell sharply.The Dow fell 453 points, or 1.6 per cent, to 28,535, S&P500 index dropped 51.84 points and the Nasdaq 175 points, or 1.9 per cent.

    Oil futures slipped, extending losses into a sixth session as the spread of a new virus in China and other countries raised concerns about a hit to economic growth and slower oil demand. Brent crude was down 15 cents, or 0.3 per cent, to $59.17, after touching a three-month low of $58.50 on Monday.

    The rupee weakened by 10 paise to close at 71.43 against the US currency on Monday, extending losses for a third straight session, amid fast-spreading coronavirus outbreak in China stoking fears about more trouble for the global economy.

LOOK WHO'S

What the Budget May Have… Budget 2020 is expected to give a renewed push to disinvestment and asset monetisation as the government strives for capital creation and investment promotion in the economy by augmenting non-tax revenue. A top official told ET that the budget is likely to relax long-term capital gains tax and dividend distribution tax norms, besides setting a clear road map for the government to sell or significantly cut its stake in select PSUs and giving the proceeds to other shareholders for funding their capex. Read More

Suitors for Wockhardt Unit… Cipla and Asian buyout fund PAG are vying with each other to acquire a big chunk of Wockhardt's domestic formulations business for Rs 2,100-2,800 crore ($300-400 million) as the indebted pharmaceutical company looks to deleverage its balance sheet, said people aware of the matter. Both submitted binding offers recently, they said. Habil Khorakiwala-led Wockhardt is expected to finalise one bidder and begin final negotiations to conclude the transaction. Read More

Air India up for 100% Sale… The government invited bids for a 100% stake in Air India, aiming to finalise a sale of the lossmaking national carrier by the end of March, after having sweetened the deal by absorbing about two-thirds of its debt. Control will be retained by a domestic entity as overseas investors can only acquire as much as 49% under the rules. Apart from Air India, also on sale are Air India Express and a 50% stake in ground-handling company Air India Singapore Airport Terminal Services. Read More

WHO'S
Big Bull Under Sebi Lens… Billionaire investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala is being probed by Sebi for alleged insider trading in the shares of Aptech, an education firm owned by him and family. The markets regulator is also investigating the role of other family members who are shareholders, as well as some board members, including investor Ramesh S Damani and director Madhu Jayakumar. Besides Jhunjhunwala, wife Rekha, brother Rajeshkumar and mother-in-law Sushiladevi Gupta were called for questioning by Sebi on January 24. Read More

India in Recession?… Nobel laureate and economist Abhijit Banerjee on Monday said the country could be passing through a phase of recession, and there is "nothing in the data" that suggests otherwise. Banerjee, during an address at the Kolkata Literary Meet, also said the priority of the government should be on refinancing the banking sector, which is in "doldrums". He also advocated imposition of wealth tax and more redistribution. The economist said the banking and infrastructure sectors were in need of funding from the government. Read More

Meanwhile...
Chinese shift has begun… Over a dozen new China-domiciled corporations, venture funds and family offices are aggressively stepping up investment conversations with Indian startups as they look to move beyond the slowing market for technology investment in Asia's largest economy. Boyu Capital, Horizons China, Sinovation Ventures, Legend Capital, ZhenFund, XVC Capital and Integrated Capital are among the new funds scouting for deals, people who have engaged with these firms said. Read More
KEY INDICES
18,291  -65.85
14,850 + 4.43
30,837  -404.35
16,394  -79.2
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Coal India's foreign acquisitions plan has hit a roadblock with all top merchant bankers refusing to offer consultancy or carry out due-diligence of assets shortlisted by the firm.

    Maruti Suzuki has increased prices by up to 4.7% on several models citing higher input costs. The price change, effective immediately, varies across models

    Suspecting fraud, lenders to Cox & Kings have initiated a probe into the matter and role of senior executives and Indian promoters

    Sidbi is set to sell its 8.13% in Bandhan Financial Services, the holding company for Bandhan Bank, for about Rs 4,500 crore. The potential buyer will be offered 25% discount

    Vistara, the airline majority-owned by the Tata Group, may explore opportunities to bid for Air India, executives close to the matter said, even as industry insiders said they expect the national carrier to finally find a buyer with the government offering to sell 100% stak

    IndiGo, the country's biggest airline by market share, more than doubled its net profit in the third quarter, primarily as a result of a fall in fuel expenses.

    The Enforcement Directorate on Monday arrested DHFL promoter Kapil Wadhawan terming him an 'active conspirator' in the money laundering and terror financing case against Iqbal Mirchi.

UnQuote: NEXT BIG BET
The big-will-get-bigger thesis on D-Street is bound to fail
N Jayakumar, MD, Prime Securities

The DAY PLANNER

    Q3 Earnings: Maruti | M&M Financials | Century Textiles | JK Lakshmi | Teamlease
    US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Jan
    Russia GDP YoY Dec
    US Dec Durables Goods Order

OUTLOOK

DR REDDY'S: READY TO REBOUND
    Chakri Lokapriya of TCG AMC says frontline pharma names, like Dr Reddy's are still trading at about 18-20 times earnings, which is not expensive by its own historical standards. "The margins have been better than expected, the revenue growth has been fairly robust at about the mid-teens. Against that backdrop, the valuations for some of the other pharmaceutical companies are far less expensive and trading at a far greater discount to their own historical means," he said.

STOCK PICKING: SPOT GROWTH DRIVERS
    Abhishek Basumallick of Intelsense Capital says in the next couple of years, we may be better off looking at companies which will be able to deliver strong growth within the industries they are operating in. "So, try and back-calculate in industries where growth can actually outperform the expected and where valuations are reasonable but not cheap," he said.

MARKET OUTLOOK: RISK APPETITE RETURNS
    Gautam Duggad of Motilal Oswal says risk appetite is slowly coming back to markets. "You are seeing liquidity back into the system and we are seeing some of the high frequency indicators as far as macros are concerned are showing signs of revival. If this process continues and if the Budget provides a further push, then markets will ignore the short-term valuations for the time being," he said.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
IndusInd Bank Ltd. 27 Jan, 2020 | 09:13 AM IST SellSell
PVR Ltd. 27 Jan, 2020 | 09:12 AM IST buyBuy


No comments:

Post a Comment